Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Genoa looks to shake off those weird preseason vibes against Ascoli in what should be a routine Coppa Italia cruise.** 🏟️ The Rossoblu have the clear edge in pedigree, though recent form has been all over the map — a demolition at Bournemouth sandwiched around solid wins keeps things messy.
Ascoli's sitting on thin ice after dropping three of their last five, including losses to Frosinone and Lazio. They'll need a miracle to trouble a Serie A side hunting for rhythm in this competition.
Key storylines:
- **Genoa's depth** up front with Vitinha and L. Colombo will test an **Ascoli backline** that's been leaking goals
- B. Norton-Cuffy and the wingback system needs to click early; preseason jank dies fast in knockout rounds
- **Ascoli** can't afford to get chased — they need to stay compact and hope for a set-piece chance or counter
Expected lineups:
- **Genoa**: F. Stolz, D. Puczka, L. Østigård, M. Ellertsson, Vitinha, Amorim, F. Meichtry, B. Norton-Cuffy
- **Ascoli**: D. Barosi, S. D'Uffizi, A. Caucci, M. Alagna, S. Perciun, L. L. Scalzo, F. Palazzino, K. Gorica
Prediction:
**Genoa 2-0 Ascoli.** Clinical performance to advance; Ascoli puts up little fight. 💪
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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