Paris Saint-Germain vs Aston Villa — live & stats

Where the money is

10973197 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 7530020 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

90.3%

-8.7 vs price

Draw 110.0 · implied 0.9%

5.4%

+4.5 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.3%

+4.2 vs price

Half time 42474 EUR · live

Home 1.16 · implied 86.2%

73.3%

-12.9 vs price

Draw 8.0 · implied 12.5%

15.0%

+2.5 vs price

Away 65.0 · implied 1.5%

11.7%

+10.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 594504 EUR · live

Under 3.3 · implied 30.3%

59.8%

+29.5 vs price

Over 1.44 · implied 69.4%

40.2%

-29.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 20659 EUR · live

Under 1.15 · implied 87.0%

86.2%

-0.7 vs price

Over 7.6 · implied 13.2%

13.8%

+0.6 vs price

20 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

20' ⚽ K. Kvaratskhelia · assist D. Doué1–0

Half-time · 1–1

45' ⚽ B. Madjo · assist J. McGinn1–1

46' 🔁 O. Dembélé ◂ M. Akliouche

51' P. Torres · Foul

61' ⚽ D. Doué · assist O. Dembélé2–1

61' VAR Goal check · D. Doué

64' J. Gomes · Foul

72' J. McGinn · Argument

72' 🔁 L. Bogarde ◂ B. Kamara

72' 🔁 T. Abraham ◂ B. Madjo

73' 🔁 Alysson ◂ J. McGinn

75' 🔁 F. Ruiz ◂ J. Neves

75' 🔁 L. Hernández ◂ N. Mendes

79' 🔁 R. Barkley ◂ J. Gomes

79' 🔁 T. Mings ◂ P. Torres

87' 🔁 S. Mayulu ◂ D. Doué

88' 🔁 L. Beraldo ◂ K. Kvaratskhelia

Full-time · 2–1

Coaches

Luis Enrique

Unai Emery

Recent form

Paris Saint-Germain

DHManchester United1-1

LAMallorca0-3

DHArsenal1-1

LAParis FC1-2

WARC Lens2-0

Aston Villa

LHFC Bayern München1-2

WABG Pathum United3-1

WAIndonesia XI3-1

LHReal Sociedad2-4

LAFC Porto1-2

Where to watch

TODbeIN SPORTS ENGLISH 1

Match facts

Stadium

Red Bull Arena

City

Salzburg

Referee

Omar Abdulkadir Artan

Kickoff

12 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Competition

UEFA Super Cup

Highlights & clips

Paris Saint-Germain 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1 Aston Villa

39 M. Safonov 7.0 2 A. Hakimi 7.0 5 Marquinhos 7.0 51 W. Pacho 7.3 21 L. Hernández 6.7 ↑ 75' 33 W. Zaïre-Emery 6.9 17 Vitinha 7.4 8 F. Ruiz 6.5 ↑ 75' 24 S. Mayulu 6.6 ↑ 87' 10 O. Dembélé 6.9 ↑ 46' 4 L. Beraldo 6.8 ↑ 88' 40 M. Bizot 6.6 2 M. Cash 6.6 3 V. Lindelöf 6.4 5 T. Mings 6.6 ↑ 79' 22 I. Maatsen 6.8 26 L. Bogarde 6.8 ↑ 72' 6 R. Barkley 6.8 ↑ 79' 47 Alysson 6.1 ↑ 73' 10 E. Buendía 6.4 53 G. Hemmings 6.2 18 T. Abraham 6.6 ↑ 72'

Top stats

61%Possession39%

0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0

12Total shots15

6Shots on target4

3Big chances5

0Corners2

Shots

6Shots off target8

1Blocked shots3

7Shots inside box14

5Shots outside box1

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed4

Attack

31Touches in box37

55Final third entries41

2Offsides0

13Free kicks11

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

588Passes368

524Accurate passes288

41/62 (66%)Long balls22/37 (59%)

1/6 (17%)Crosses6/14 (43%)

10Throw-ins30

Duels

57Duels43

49/88 (56%)Ground duels39/88 (44%)

8/12 (67%)Aerial duels4/12 (33%)

14/21 (67%)Dribbles10/17 (59%)

11Dispossessed16

Defending

23Tackles18

74Tackles won56

9Interceptions6

28Clearances13

63Recoveries57

Discipline

11Fouls13

0Yellow cards3

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

12Goal kicks3

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

PSG 53%

25%

Aston Villa 21%

Who winsPSG to win (DNB) 71% · 1.26 @ Novibet

1X2PSG to win 53% · 1.66 @ Novibet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.55 @ Interwetten

1X2Draw 25% · 4.33 @ Marathon

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 1.66 @ Novibet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.26 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.55 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.57 @ 888Sport

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.95 @ 888Sport

1X2Aston Villa to win 21% · 5.65 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.61

Paris Saint-Germain

3.87

Draw ▼

5.30

Aston Villa ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

1.15

Paris Saint-Germain or Draw ▼

1.23

Paris Saint-Germain or Aston Villa ▲

2.24

Draw or Aston Villa ▼

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.66

Yes

2.13

No ▼

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50 ▼

13.23

Under 0.50 ▼

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.21

Over 1.50

4.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.66

Over 2.50

2.25

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.60

Over 3.50

1.50

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.60

Over 4.50 ▲

1.20

Under 4.50 ▲

Draw No Betconsensus

1.23

Paris Saint-Germain

3.93

Aston Villa ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus

15.50

Under 3.50

Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus

1.01

Over 4.50

12.75

Under 4.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus

1.04

Over 5.50

8.82

Under 5.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus

1.12

Over 6.50

5.35

Under 6.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.27

Over 7.50

3.47

Under 7.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.50

Over 8.50

2.44

Under 8.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.83

Over 9.50 ▼

1.87

Under 9.50 ▲

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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