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Marko Nikolić
AEK Athens
Levski Sofia
AEK Athens
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Levski Sofia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
192630 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.2%
-13.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.5%
+9.4 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.3%
+5.2 vs price
Half time
3624 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
45.3%
-52.7 vs price
Draw
5.5 · implied 18.2%
37.6%
+19.4 vs price
Away
9.8 · implied 10.2%
17.1%
+6.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
39496 EUR · live
Over
1.12 · implied 89.3%
59.2%
-30.1 vs price
Under
8.4 · implied 11.9%
40.9%
+29.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6324 EUR · live
Over
2.2 · implied 45.5%
73.7%
+28.2 vs price
Under
1.83 · implied 54.6%
26.3%
-28.3 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
7'
⚽
L. Jović · assist L. Rota1–0
12'
⚽
B. Varga · assist F. Relvas2–0
29'
⚽
B. Varga · assist L. Majer3–0
Half-time · 3–0
51'
R. Marin · Foul
55'
⚽
R. Marin (pen)4–0
63'
🔁
G. Trdin ◂ E. Bala
63'
🔁
D. Kusso ◂ Maicon
63'
🔁
Perea ◂ Reinaldo
72'
🔁
P. Mantalos ◂ A. Koita
74'
S. Pilios · Foul
76'
🔁
M. Soula ◂ A. Oko-Flex
81'
🔁
O. Zubkov ◂ L. Majer
81'
🔁
Zini ◂ B. Varga
82'
🔁
A. Mitkov ◂ Serginho
86'
🔁
K. Arriaga ◂ R. Marin
86'
🔁
M. Gaćinović ◂ L. Jović
89'
Zini · Foul
Full-time · 4–0
Coaches
Julio Velazquez 
Recent form
WHPOT Iraklis4-0
DALevski Sofia0-0
WHAthens Kallithea FC4-0
WHSint-Truidense VV3-0
LHSamsunspor1-2
WHFK Spartak Varna6-0
DHAEK Athens0-0
WAFC Kairat Almaty1-0
WHLokomotiv Plovdiv2-0
WHFC Kairat Almaty1-0
Where to watch
M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaFox Sports ArgentinaViX
Paramount+
Play Sports 4
Voyo Sport
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 5 SurViX
HBO Max
ESPN 2 Norte
Blue Sport 1 Live
Disney+ Premium ChileViX
ESPN 5 SurViX
ESPN 2 NorteTUDNViX
Cytavision Sports 3HDCytavision Sports 4K 1
DAZN
Viaplay
TUDN
ESPN 5 Sur
M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Canal+ Foot
TNT Sports 4
Viaplay
COSMOTE SPORT | 2HD
TUDN
TUDN
Arena Sport 6 HR
TNT Sports 4
NOWSky Sport Calcio
Qazsport
ESPN 2 NorteTUDNViX
TUDN
TV2 Play
TUDN
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 5 Sur
Canal+ Extra 3
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 5 Sur
Viaplay
TUDN
Paramount+TUDNTUDN AppTUDN USATUDN.comViX
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 5 Sur
ESPN 5 Sur
Match facts
Stadium
Allwyn Arena
City
Athens
Kickoff
26 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Champions League
1
T. Strakosha
7.7
12
L. Rota
7.8
2
H. Moukoudi
7.1
44
F. Relvas
7.9
3
S. Pilios
7.3
10
O. Zubkov
6.9
↑ 81'
8
M. Gaćinović
6.2
↑ 86'
6
K. Kairinen
7.2
20
P. Mantalos
6.9
↑ 72'
90
Zini
6.6
↑ 81'
16
K. Arriaga
6.7
↑ 86'
92
S. Vutsov
5.0
21
Aldair
5.9
50
K. Dimitrov
7.1
31
N. Serafimov
6.5
20
Á. Centelles
5.8
10
A. Mitkov
6.8
↑ 82'
19
E. M. Moubarik
6.7
18
G. Trdin
6.6
↑ 63'
22
M. Soula
6.2
↑ 76'
27
D. Kusso
6.6
↑ 63'
9
Perea
6.2
↑ 63'
Substitutes
41GM. Balamotis
91GA. Brignoli
15DM. Georgiev
21DD. Vida
14ML. Majer↓ 81'7.8
18MR. Marin↓ 86'7.6
11MA. Koita↓ 72'6.6
7MD. Kutesa
17MD. Kaloskamis
25FB. Varga↓ 81'9.0
9FL. Jović↓ 86'7.7
Coach: Marko Nikolić
Substitutes
1GO. Vladimirov
78GM. Lukov
3DMaicon↓ 63'6.0
2DH. Santos
4DC. Makoun
17ME. Bala↓ 63'7.1
11MA. Oko-Flex↓ 76'6.8
35MSerginho↓ 82'6.4
77MA. Raychev
7FReinaldo↓ 63'6.2
28FS. Stoyanchov
Coach: Julio Velazquez
Top stats
48%Possession52%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
18Total shots11
7Shots on target3
5Big chances0
6Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target7
6Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box3
6Shots outside box8
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed0
Attack
29Touches in box12
52Final third entries39
0Offsides1
8Free kicks16
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
437Passes482
385Accurate passes429
28/50 (56%)Long balls29/46 (63%)
4/17 (24%)Crosses2/15 (13%)
8Throw-ins10
Duels
48Duels52
36/72 (50%)Ground duels36/72 (50%)
8/19 (42%)Aerial duels11/19 (58%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles8/19 (42%)
4Dispossessed12
Defending
23Tackles12
61Tackles won83
10Interceptions3
20Clearances19
43Recoveries42
Discipline
16Fouls9
3Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
1Big saves1
7Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 57 bookmakers
Who winsAEK to win (DNB) 79% · 1.27 @ Novibet
1X2AEK to win 63% · 2.00 @ BET-AT-HOME
BTTSBTTS: No 57% · 1.22 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.14 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.37 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.04 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.73 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 23% · 2.59 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.30 @ 888Sport
1X2Levski Sofia to win 14% · 6.40 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.54
AEK Athens ▼
3.89
Draw ▲
6.17
Levski Sofia ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.12
AEK Athens or Draw
1.24
AEK Athens or Levski Sofia
2.34
Draw or Levski Sofia ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.10
Yes ▼
1.66
No ▲
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
9.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50 ▼
3.08
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.04
Over 2.50 ▼
1.72
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.57
Over 3.50 ▼
1.25
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.50
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.18
AEK Athens
4.34
Levski Sofia
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.43
Over 7.50
2.67
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.72
Over 8.50
2.02
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.16
Over 9.50
1.62
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.84
Over 10.50
1.35
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.45
Over 11.50
1.21
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
AEK Athens to win or draw
✓
86% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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