Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**USA should have enough firepower to breeze past a Peru side battered by injuries** — the visitors are missing three key players and haven't won against the Americans in their last two meetings. 🔥
USA are streaky (3 wins, 2 losses in their last five) but generally get results at home; Peru have lost twice recently and are coming off a shaky 2-2 draw with Honduras. This is a golden chance for the hosts to build momentum.
Key storylines:
- **C. Pulišić** and **W. McKennie** need to dominate the midfield and create early chances against a Peru side stretched thin by absences
- USA's backline anchored by **T. Ream** and **C. Richards** should handle Peru's attack, but staying sharp is key after that 1-4 loss to Belgium
- Peru's **A. Valera** will be crucial upfront with limited options — he's been Peru's main threat lately
Expected lineups:
- **USA**: M. Freese, A. Robinson, T. Ream, C. Richards, A. Freeman, M. Tillman, T. Adams, S. Berhalter, W. McKennie, F. Balogun, C. Pulišić
- **Peru**: D. Enríquez, M. López, R. Garces, M. Araujo, O. Sonne, E. Noriega, J. Murrugarra, J. Grimaldo, J. P. Goicochea, K. Quevedo, A. Valera
Prediction:
**USA 2–0 Peru**
Home edge plus Peru's injury crisis should be enough for a comfortable win.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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