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Matthias Jaissle
Newcastle United
West Bromwich Albion
Newcastle United
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
West Bromwich Albion
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
889639 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.8%
-10.3 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
5.9%
+4.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.7%
+5.6 vs price
Half time
12532 EUR · live
Home
5.6 · implied 17.9%
54.3%
+36.5 vs price
Away
21.0 · implied 4.8%
23.4%
+18.6 vs price
Draw
1.3 · implied 76.9%
22.3%
-54.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
58436 EUR · live
Over
1.18 · implied 84.7%
72.2%
-12.6 vs price
Under
6.8 · implied 14.7%
27.8%
+13.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
19365 EUR · live
Under
1.21 · implied 82.6%
91.4%
+8.7 vs price
Over
5.5 · implied 18.2%
8.6%
-9.6 vs price
19 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
18'
S. Steur · Foul
19'
⚽
I. Price0–1
38'
⚽
B. Touré · assist A. Dedić1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
H. Barnes ◂ B. Touré
48'
⚽
H. Barnes · assist M. Thiaw2–1
52'
R. Nzingoula · Foul
55'
O. Diakité · Foul
62'
B. Stewart · Foul
64'
🔁
A. Elanga ◂ J. Murphy
64'
🔁
Y. Wissa ◂ J. Willock
65'
🔁
L. Miley ◂ S. Steur
70'
🔁
F. Myhre ◂ J. Morgan
70'
🔁
C. Styles ◂ R. Nzingoula
71'
🔁
J. Molumby ◂ O. Diakité
77'
⚽
I. Price (pen)2–2
77'
E. Jaouen · Time wasting
80'
🔁
O. Bostock ◂ I. Price
80'
🔁
T. Bany ◂ H. Whitwell
81'
⚽
H. Barnes · assist A. Dedić3–2
89'
J. Ramsey · Foul
Full-time · 3–2
Coaches
James Morrison 
Recent form
DHLiverpool FC2-2
DHRC Strasbourg1-1
LHBayer 04 Leverkusen1-2
LAEverton1-3
WAValencia2-1
WHBurnley3-1
WANorwich City2-1
WARotherham United4-1
WAPeterborough United2-0
WAShrewsbury Town4-1
Where to watch
Paramount+
Arena Sport Premium 1
Sky Sport Premier LeagueSky Sport Top EventWOW
Viaplay
beIN SPORTS 2
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Arena Sport 5 HR
Sport 1
Viaplay
Sport TV2
Arena Sport Premium 1
Viaplay
CBS Sports GolazoParamount+
Match facts
Stadium
St James' Park
City
Newcastle upon Tyne
Kickoff
26 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
24
E. Jaouen
5.8
37
A. Dedić
7.3
12
M. Thiaw
7.3
4
S. Botman
7.0
3
L. Hall
6.1
67
L. Miley
6.8
↑ 65'
41
J. Ramsey
6.9
19
A. Elanga
6.7
↑ 64'
9
Y. Wissa
6.1
↑ 64'
11
H. Barnes
9.4
↑ 46'
27
N. Woltemade
7.2
13
M. Ingram
5.7
28
A. Williams
6.3
2
C. Mepham
6.5
6
G. Campbell
6.8
22
C. Townsend
5.9
37
O. Bostock
6.4
↑ 80'
4
C. Styles
6.3
↑ 70'
8
J. Molumby
6.5
↑ 71'
23
T. Bany
6.6
↑ 80'
9
B. Stewart
5.9
7
F. Myhre
6.6
↑ 70'
Substitutes
21GL. Horníček
51DL. Shahar
5DF. Schär
17MB. Touré↓ 46'7.6
14MS. Steur↓ 65'6.8
28MJ. Willock↓ 64'6.3
8MA. Bamba
23FJ. Murphy↓ 64'7.2
62FS. Neave
Coach: Matthias Jaissle
Substitutes
1GM. O'Leary
3DN. Phillips
25DN. Galves
21MI. Price↓ 80'8.4
29MH. Whitwell↓ 80'6.8
11MJ. Morgan↓ 70'6.7
17MO. Diakité↓ 71'6.3
20MR. Nzingoula↓ 70'6.0
35MM. Crowther
Coach: James Morrison
Top stats
57%Possession43%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
16Total shots12
7Shots on target3
3Big chances2
6Corners2
Shots
5Shots off target2
4Blocked shots7
11Shots inside box4
5Shots outside box8
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
Attack
36Touches in box16
58Final third entries36
3Offsides2
13Free kicks13
4Fouled in final third5
Passing
518Passes394
460Accurate passes327
21/43 (49%)Long balls9/28 (32%)
7/19 (37%)Crosses3/12 (25%)
18Throw-ins11
Duels
52Duels48
33/69 (48%)Ground duels36/69 (52%)
16/26 (62%)Aerial duels10/26 (38%)
7/18 (39%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
7Dispossessed6
Defending
13Tackles18
62Tackles won61
12Interceptions8
26Clearances27
47Recoveries46
Discipline
14Fouls13
3Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
1Big saves1
8Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
1X2Newcastle to win 69% · 1.74 @ Novibet
Who winsNewcastle to win (DNB) 83% · 1.20 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 3.30 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.75 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.36 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 2.16 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 18% · 3.25 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.69 @ 1xBet
1X2West Brom to win 12% · 6.50 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.38
Newcastle United
4.78
Draw ▼
7.08
West Bromwich Albion ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.09
Newcastle United or Draw ▲
1.16
Newcastle United or West Bromwich Albion
2.82
Draw or West Bromwich Albion ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▲
1.98
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.25
YES
1.57
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
8.00
YES
1.05
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.58
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
15.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
17.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
4.84
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.52
Over 2.50 ▲
2.40
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.29
Over 3.50 ▼
1.56
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.72
Over 4.50
1.26
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.12
Newcastle United
5.47
West Bromwich Albion ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
4.26
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50
2.80
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.67
Over 9.50
2.13
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Newcastle United to win or draw
✓
88% confidence
Newcastle United to avoid defeat
✓
83% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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