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Álvaro Arbeloa
Fulham
AFC Wimbledon
Fulham
4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
185525 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.8%
-2.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.7%
+1.6 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
1.6%
+1.5 vs price
Half time
6688 EUR · live
Home
1.87 · implied 53.5%
98.1%
+44.6 vs price
Away
14.0 · implied 7.1%
1.0%
-6.2 vs price
Draw
2.52 · implied 39.7%
0.9%
-38.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
244491 EUR · live
Under
1.18 · implied 84.7%
82.3%
-2.5 vs price
Over
6.8 · implied 14.7%
17.8%
+3.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1989 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
54.7%
-37.9 vs price
Over
14.0 · implied 7.1%
45.3%
+38.1 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
37'
⚽
E. Smith Rowe · assist R. Sessegnon1–0
42'
⚽
R. Muniz · assist K. Tete2–0
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
M. Zepa ◂ O. Bobb
48'
K. Tete · Foul
62'
🔁
C. Bassey ◂ J. Andersen
67'
🔁
Z. Nelson ◂ C. Maycock
67'
🔁
J. Stockley ◂ A. Sasu
68'
🔁
C. Nwoko ◂ L. D. Fougerolles
73'
🔁
G. García ◂ R. Muniz
73'
🔁
C. Palacios ◂ Kevin
80'
🔁
A. Hackford ◂ M. Hippolyte
80'
🔁
J. Nkeng ◂ J. Tilley
82'
Z. Nelson · Foul
86'
🔁
D. McCoy-Splatt ◂ O. Harrison
Full-time · 3–0
90'+3
⚽
G. García · assist M. Zepa3–0
Coaches
Johnnie Jackson 
Recent form
LHChelsea2-3
WHVfB Stuttgart1-0
DAMálaga CF2-2
LHCrystal Palace1-2
WASC Farense2-1
DHReading0-0
LAHuddersfield Town0-3
DHNewport County1-1
LHQueens Park Rangers2-3
LAWealdstone0-1
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 5
Diema Sport 3 HD
Nova Sport 6
Viaplay
beIN Sports MAX 5
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Arena Sport 6 HR
Sky Sports+
Viaplay Netherlands
Viaplay
Viaplay
Nova Sport 6
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
Craven Cottage
City
London
Kickoff
27 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
23
B. Lecomte
6.9
2
K. Tete
7.3
3
C. Bassey
7.0
↑ 62'
34
C. Nwoko
6.7
↑ 68'
30
R. Sessegnon
7.6
19
S. Charles
7.6
6
H. Reed
7.4
35
M. Zepa
7.3
↑ 46'
32
E. Smith Rowe
8.0
8
C. Palacios
7.0
↑ 73'
7
G. García
7.9
↑ 73'
1
N. Bishop
6.5
30
J. Nkeng
6.4
↑ 80'
17
A. Yiadom
6.8
26
D. Sweeney
6.9
3
S. Seddon
6.4
2
S. Sessegnon
5.9
10
Z. Nelson
6.4
↑ 67'
18
D. McCoy-Splatt
6.6
↑ 86'
12
A. Smith
6.8
16
A. Hackford
6.5
↑ 80'
9
J. Stockley
6.4
↑ 67'
Substitutes
1GB. Leno
44DL. D. Fougerolles↓ 68'7.5
5DJ. Andersen↓ 62'7.2
21DT. Castagne
40DB. Slade
11MKevin↓ 73'7.4
14MO. Bobb↓ 46'6.8
24MJ. King
9FR. Muniz↓ 73'8.1
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Substitutes
20GJ. McDonnell
33DI. Ogundere
22DR. Moran
5MO. Harrison↓ 86'6.7
21MM. Hippolyte↓ 80'6.6
8MC. Maycock↓ 67'6.1
7MJ. Tilley↓ 80'5.9
34MH. Hedges
29FA. Sasu↓ 67'6.5
Coach: Johnnie Jackson
Top stats
79%Possession21%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
29Total shots5
8Shots on target2
5Big chances0
10Corners4
Shots
12Shots off target3
9Blocked shots0
23Shots inside box1
6Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed0
Attack
50Touches in box6
80Final third entries37
0Offsides3
9Free kicks6
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
741Passes189
673Accurate passes117
31/53 (58%)Long balls12/50 (24%)
10/27 (37%)Crosses1/10 (10%)
14Throw-ins16
Duels
58Duels42
32/58 (55%)Ground duels26/58 (45%)
18/28 (64%)Aerial duels10/28 (36%)
13/22 (59%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
8Dispossessed4
Defending
10Tackles17
80Tackles won71
7Interceptions9
16Clearances42
32Recoveries27
Discipline
6Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks13
0Punches4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 59 bookmakers
1X2Fulham to win 80% · 1.40 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 3.25 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.73 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.34 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.28 @ Bet365
Who winsFulham to win (DNB) 55% · 1.07 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.95 @ betfair
1X2Draw 13% · 3.90 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.81 @ 1xBet
1X2Wimbledon to win 7% · 11.20 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.18
Fulham
6.74
Draw
12.27
AFC Wimbledon
Double Chanceconsensus
1.03
Fulham or Draw
1.09
Fulham or AFC Wimbledon
4.39
Draw or AFC Wimbledon
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.03
Yes
1.70
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
1.77
YES
1.95
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
11.00
YES
1.02
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
1.93
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
26.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
18.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.11
Over 1.50
5.53
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.41
Over 2.50
2.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.07
Over 3.50
1.69
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.37
Over 4.50
1.30
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.06
Fulham
9.50
AFC Wimbledon
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.11
Over 7.50
4.64
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.28
Over 8.50
3.08
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.55
Over 9.50
2.27
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Fulham to win or draw
✓
93% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
Fulham win
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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