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Tonda Eckert
Southampton
West Ham United
Southampton
4-3-3 · 4-4-1-1
West Ham United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
400407 EUR · live
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
51.8%
+51.7 vs price
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
42.1%
-57.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.2%
+6.1 vs price
Half time
3255 EUR · live
Home
1.11 · implied 90.1%
82.3%
-7.8 vs price
Away
44.0 · implied 2.3%
8.9%
+6.6 vs price
Draw
10.5 · implied 9.5%
8.8%
-0.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
34208 EUR · live
Under
4.5 · implied 22.2%
55.9%
+33.7 vs price
Over
1.29 · implied 77.5%
44.1%
-33.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3606 EUR · live
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
88.3%
+2.9 vs price
Over
6.4 · implied 15.6%
11.7%
-4.0 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
⚽
L. Scienza1–0
26'
C. Bragg · Foul
34'
L. Scienza · Foul
41'
⚽
J. Ajala · assist L. Orford1–1
Half-time · 1–1
53'
⚽
J. Ajala1–2
59'
🔁
A. Engels ◂ M. Kanté
59'
🔁
J. Bowen ◂ K. Lamadrid
59'
🔁
M. Solomon ◂ J. Ajala
59'
🔁
T. Castellanos ◂ J. Piroe
60'
🔁
F. Downes ◂ C. Bragg
60'
🔁
S. Edozie ◂ L. Scienza
60'
🔁
K. Matsuki ◂ T. Fellows
66'
🔁
F. Azaz ◂ R. Akachukwu
75'
⚽
T. Castellanos · assist J. Veltman1–3
79'
🔁
C. Larin ◂ L. Dobbin
84'
⚽
J. Bowen · assist L. Orford1–4
87'
🔁
K. Casey ◂ D. Mukasa
Full-time · 1–4
Coaches
Tonda EckertNuno Espírito Santo 
Recent form
SouthamptonWHStoke City3-1
LAWatford1-2
WAColchester United2-0
WAPreußen Münster2-1
LASC Paderborn 071-2
West Ham UnitedLHCharlton Athletic1-2
DABurnley2-2
WHPortsmouth3-1
DA1. FC Magdeburg1-1
DARangers0-0
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 4
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Disney+ESPN 4
Cytavision Sports 7HD
Viaplay
beIN Sports MAX 4
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
beIN Sports MAX 4
Sport 2
Sky Sports+
Sport 2
Arena 5 Premium
Arena 5 Premium
Viaplay
Sport TV2
Arena 5 Premium
Viaplay
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium
City
Southampton
Kickoff
25 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Southampton
4-3-3 · 4-4-1-1
West Ham United
1
D. Peretz
5.8
14
J. Bree
5.4
15
N. Wood
6.8
5
J. Stephens
6.2
34
Welington
6.2
10
F. Azaz
6.3
↑ 66'
23
S. Edozie
6.6
↑ 60'
27
K. Matsuki
6.5
↑ 60'
4
F. Downes
6.6
↑ 60'
28
D. Mubama
6.5
9
C. Larin
6.4
↑ 79'
49
F. Herrick
6.1
34
J. Veltman
7.6
58
A. Golambeckis
6.5
3
M. Kilman
7.3
63
E. Mayers
6.4
7
A. Engels
6.9
↑ 59'
61
L. Orford
7.6
20
J. Bowen
7.8
↑ 59'
11
T. Castellanos
7.1
↑ 59'
42
K. Casey
6.7
↑ 87'
10
M. Solomon
6.6
↑ 59'
Substitutes
25GG. Long
17DJ. Quarshie
7ML. Scienza↓ 60'7.5
18MT. Fellows↓ 60'7.0
26MC. Bragg↓ 60'6.6
29MR. Akachukwu↓ 66'6.6
3MR. Manning
11FL. Dobbin↓ 79'6.2
19FC. Archer
Coach: Tonda Eckert
Substitutes
1GM. Hermansen
30DO. Scarles
2DK. Walker-Peters
14MD. Mukasa↓ 87'7.0
21MK. Lamadrid↓ 59'6.6
17MM. Kanté↓ 59'6.4
27MS. Magassa
66FJ. Ajala↓ 59'8.4
9FJ. Piroe↓ 59'6.6
Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Top stats
58%Possession42%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
12Total shots18
5Shots on target8
0Big chances4
2Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target2
3Blocked shots8
6Shots inside box14
6Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed2
Attack
17Touches in box29
59Final third entries33
8Free kicks7
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
600Passes439
532Accurate passes386
11/32 (34%)Long balls19/41 (46%)
1/8 (13%)Crosses2/10 (20%)
20Throw-ins9
Duels
48Duels52
31/67 (46%)Ground duels36/67 (54%)
8/14 (57%)Aerial duels6/14 (43%)
9/21 (43%)Dribbles7/15 (47%)
10Dispossessed6
Defending
14Tackles22
57Tackles won68
6Interceptions8
11Clearances25
49Recoveries48
Discipline
7Fouls8
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
5Goal kicks6
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.36 @ Unibet
Who winsWest Ham to win (DNB) 53% · 1.82 @ merkurxtip
1X2West Ham to win 39% · 3.46 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.70 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 4.20 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.86 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.74 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.02 @ betsensation
1X2Southampton to win 35% · 3.05 @ kto
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.77 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.66
Southampton ▼
3.52
Draw ▲
2.41
West Ham United ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.51
Southampton or Draw ▼
1.27
Southampton or West Ham United ▼
1.43
Draw or West Ham United ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.56
Yes ▼
2.28
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.90
YES
1.22
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.90
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50 ▼
4.11
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.67
Over 2.50 ▼
2.11
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.65
Over 3.50 ▼
1.43
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.15
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.97
Southampton ▲
1.76
West Ham United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.18
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50
2.85
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.60
Over 9.50
2.16
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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