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Gary O'Neil
Ipswich Town
Leicester City
Ipswich Town
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Leicester City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
364800 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.5%
-13.5 vs price
Draw
330.0 · implied 0.3%
8.5%
+8.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.0%
+5.9 vs price
Half time
2901 EUR · live
Home
4.5 · implied 22.2%
77.2%
+55.0 vs price
Draw
1.47 · implied 68.0%
11.7%
-56.3 vs price
Away
12.0 · implied 8.3%
11.0%
+2.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
77819 EUR · live
Under
2.76 · implied 36.2%
50.8%
+14.5 vs price
Over
1.56 · implied 64.1%
49.4%
-14.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3811 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.3%
-13.7 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
14.7%
+13.7 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
40'
O. Aluko · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
49'
C. Humphreys · Foul
54'
J. Clarke · Foul
61'
🔁
B. De Cordova-Reid ◂ C. Chaplin
61'
🔁
L. Cullen ◂ A. Bristrić
62'
⚽
S. W. Egeli · assist J. Clarke1–0
63'
🔁
L. Davis ◂ A. Ouattara
65'
C. Kipré · Foul
67'
⚽
O. Aluko · assist B. De Cordova-Reid1–1
70'
L. Page · Foul
71'
⚽
M. Núñez · assist C. Akpom2–1
74'
🔁
W. Burns ◂ O. Aluko
74'
🔁
J. Joseph ◂ W. Coulibaly
80'
🔁
T. Mendel-Idowu ◂ K. McAteer
81'
🔁
W. Alves ◂ H. Howell
81'
🔁
D. Maeda ◂ J. Clarke
Full-time · 3–1
90'+1
⚽
M. Núñez · assist C. Humphreys3–1
90'+4
🔁
C. Compton ◂ M. Núñez
Coaches
Gary O'NeilRussell Martin 
Recent form
Ipswich TownWHSunderland2-1
WA1. FC Union Berlin4-2
WHRayo Vallecano3-0
WHLe Havre1-0
WAWycombe Wanderers2-1
Leicester CityLHBurton Albion1-2
DANotts County1-1
WHNorthampton Town1-0
LHGenoa0-1
DAMálaga CF3-3
Where to watch
beIN Sports 3
Viaplay
beIN Sports 3
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Sport 3
beIN Sports 3
Viaplay
Arena Sport 1x2 SRB
Viaplay
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
Portman Road Stadium
City
Ipswich
Kickoff
25 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Ipswich Town
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Leicester City
28
C. Walton
8.8
2
D. Furlong
6.5
26
D. O'Shea
7.4
4
C. Kipré
7.1
3
L. Davis
6.6
↑ 63'
30
C. Humphreys
7.0
8
S. W. Egeli
7.3
38
D. Maeda
6.5
↑ 81'
40
C. Compton
↑ 90'
43
T. Mendel-Idowu
6.9
↑ 80'
29
C. Akpom
7.2
1
J. Stolarczyk
7.2
2
J. Joseph
6.7
↑ 74'
7
W. Burns
6.4
↑ 74'
33
L. Thomas
6.5
18
C. McFarlane
6.4
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
6.7
↑ 61'
37
W. Alves
6.8
↑ 81'
36
S. Braybrooke
6.3
25
L. Page
6.2
23
T. Watson
6.6
11
L. Cullen
6.4
↑ 61'
Substitutes
37GK. Scherpen
24DJ. Greaves
32MM. Núñez↓ 90'8.8
47MJ. Clarke↓ 81'7.7
42MA. Ouattara↓ 63'7.1
20MK. McAteer↓ 80'6.4
10MJ. Enciso
21MC. Ogbene
23MS. Lukić
Coach: Gary O'Neil
Substitutes
29GA. McCarthy
32DO. Aluko↓ 74'6.7
26DW. Coulibaly↓ 74'6.6
15DH. Souttar
8MC. Chaplin↓ 61'6.6
20MH. Howell↓ 81'6.6
50MT. Neale
9FA. Bristrić↓ 61'6.3
60FR. Carr
Coach: Russell Martin
Top stats
43%Possession57%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
15Total shots22
9Shots on target9
2Big chances3
5Corners3
Shots
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots9
9Shots inside box12
6Shots outside box10
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed2
Attack
22Touches in box30
54Final third entries48
11Offsides1
13Free kicks11
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
366Passes501
301Accurate passes427
17/48 (35%)Long balls16/32 (50%)
6/20 (30%)Crosses2/9 (22%)
27Throw-ins14
Duels
56Duels44
33/60 (55%)Ground duels27/60 (45%)
5/8 (63%)Aerial duels3/8 (38%)
5/11 (45%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
4Dispossessed7
Defending
15Tackles10
47Tackles won60
8Interceptions9
14Clearances21
51Recoveries47
Discipline
11Fouls13
3Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
7Saves6
3Big saves1
5Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
Who winsIpswich to win (DNB) 70% · 1.43 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.37 @ Unibet
1X2Ipswich to win 54% · 2.12 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.60 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.86 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 24% · 2.97 @ 1xBet
1X2Leicester to win 22% · 5.71 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.77 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.74
Ipswich Town ▲
3.84
Draw ▼
4.17
Leicester City ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
Ipswich Town or Draw ▲
1.24
Ipswich Town or Leicester City ▲
1.98
Draw or Leicester City ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.61
Yes
2.18
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.30
YES
1.55
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
6.50
YES
1.08
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.67
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
10.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.23
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.64
Over 2.50 ▲
2.16
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.57
Over 3.50 ▲
1.45
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.49
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.32
Ipswich Town
3.15
Leicester City
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.18
Over 6.50
4.20
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
4.28
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.89
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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