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Mark Robins
Stoke City
Hull City
Stoke City
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Hull City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
172184 EUR · live
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
44.2%
-51.9 vs price
Home
250.0 · implied 0.4%
31.8%
+31.4 vs price
Away
36.0 · implied 2.8%
24.0%
+21.2 vs price
Half time
1355 EUR · live
Draw
8.6 · implied 11.6%
44.3%
+32.7 vs price
Home
1.14 · implied 87.7%
31.0%
-56.7 vs price
Away
9.0 · implied 11.1%
24.6%
+13.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
78559 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
60.4%
-35.7 vs price
Over
25.0 · implied 4.0%
39.6%
+35.6 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
39'
⚽
R. Boženík · assist S. Thomas1–0
Half-time · 1–1
45'
⚽
K. Dowell · assist L. Millar1–1
46'
🔁
D. Soumaré ◂ E. Galbraith
59'
🔁
H. Morita ◂ J. Hjertø-Dahl
63'
🔁
G. Hirst ◂ R. Boženík
64'
🔁
B. Lawal ◂ B. Johnson
64'
🔁
S. Gallagher ◂ M. Manhoef
77'
🔁
M. Belloumi ◂ A. Ömür
77'
🔁
E. Stroud ◂ M. Targett
81'
🔁
F. Anderson ◂ L. Giani
81'
🔁
R. Slater ◂ D. Babajide
81'
🔁
T. Sellars-Fleming ◂ K. Dowell
82'
L. Herrington · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
90'+5
G. Hirst · Foul
PEN · 4–5
Coaches
Mark RobinsSergej Jakirović 
Recent form
Stoke CityLASouthampton1-3
LHSwansea City1-2
WHOldham Athletic2-0
DHValencia1-1
WHEverton1-0
Hull CityWHManchester United2-0
DHNice0-0
LAEintracht Frankfurt0-2
DAKasımpaşa1-1
WAÇaykur Rizespor2-1
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
Arena Sport 4 HR
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
bet365 Stadium
City
Stoke
Kickoff
25 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Stoke City
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Hull City
24
J. Griffiths
7.8
18
B. Lawal
7.3
↑ 64'
16
B. Wilmot
6.6
5
L. Graham
6.5
43
F. Anderson
6.7
↑ 81'
4
B. Pearson
6.8
27
D. Soumaré
7.5
↑ 46'
20
S. Gallagher
7.2
↑ 64'
19
T. Rigo
6.5
7
S. Thomas
7.5
15
G. Hirst
5.9
↑ 63'
12
D. Phillips
7.2
18
C. Drameh
7.0
22
L. Herrington
6.8
17
P. McNair
7.3
10
M. Belloumi
7.0
↑ 77'
29
L. Gourna-Douath
6.6
5
H. Morita
7.3
↑ 59'
21
E. Stroud
7.3
↑ 77'
27
R. Slater
6.6
↑ 81'
7
L. Millar
7.5
41
T. Sellars-Fleming
6.1
↑ 81'
Substitutes
34GF. Fielding
2DB. Johnson↓ 64'6.9
52DL. Giani↓ 81'6.5
42MM. Manhoef↓ 64'7.1
8ME. Galbraith↓ 46'6.7
59MG. Kelly
10MB. Jun-Ho
9FR. Boženík↓ 63'7.4
58FT. Martin
Coach: Mark Robins
Substitutes
19GK. Tzolakis
23DM. Targett↓ 77'7.0
3DR. Giles
15DJ. Egan
32DN. Mendy
26MK. Dowell↓ 81'8.4
14MJ. Hjertø-Dahl↓ 59'6.4
33MA. Ömür↓ 77'6.2
30FD. Babajide↓ 81'6.9
Coach: Sergej Jakirović
Top stats
44%Possession56%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
10Total shots18
4Shots on target6
2Big chances2
1Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target8
1Blocked shots4
9Shots inside box12
1Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed2
Attack
18Touches in box28
49Final third entries55
1Offsides2
6Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
440Passes563
369Accurate passes498
21/49 (43%)Long balls31/60 (52%)
5/19 (26%)Crosses2/15 (13%)
15Throw-ins14
Duels
55Duels45
33/64 (52%)Ground duels31/64 (48%)
14/22 (64%)Aerial duels8/22 (36%)
8/13 (62%)Dribbles8/14 (57%)
7Dispossessed13
Defending
19Tackles12
63Tackles won58
4Interceptions9
18Clearances14
56Recoveries60
Discipline
11Fouls6
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
2Big saves0
8Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
Who winsHull to win (DNB) 55% · 1.74 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.83 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
1X2Hull to win 39% · 3.44 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.50 @ fanatics
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.15 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.33 @ betika
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.35 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ 10bet
1X2Stoke to win 32% · 3.30 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.96
Stoke City ▲
3.20
Draw ▼
2.36
Hull City ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.54
Stoke City or Draw ▲
1.32
Stoke City or Hull City ▲
1.36
Draw or Hull City ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes ▲
2.00
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.17
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.56
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50 ▲
3.26
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.96
Over 2.50 ▲
1.78
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.36
Over 3.50 ▲
1.28
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.45
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.04
Stoke City ▲
1.70
Hull City ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50 ▼
4.60
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.35
Over 7.50
2.85
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.56
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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