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Alessio Dionisi
Watford
Peterborough United
Watford
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Peterborough United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
238772 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
61.0%
-38.0 vs price
Home
500.0 · implied 0.2%
34.0%
+33.8 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
5.0%
+4.9 vs price
Half time
2578 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
90.0%
-8.0 vs price
Home
65.0 · implied 1.5%
6.9%
+5.3 vs price
Draw
19.0 · implied 5.3%
3.0%
-2.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9935 EUR · live
Over
1.18 · implied 84.7%
79.3%
-5.5 vs price
Under
6.8 · implied 14.7%
20.7%
+6.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5548 EUR · live
Under
1.31 · implied 76.3%
82.6%
+6.2 vs price
Over
4.1 · implied 24.4%
17.4%
-7.0 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
⚽
J. Clarridge0–1
23'
⚽
H. Leonard0–2
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
E. Williams ◂ V. Masara
46'
🔁
K. K. Biakolo ◂ Raphael London
46'
🔁
A. Nabizada ◂ R. Vata
51'
⚽
H. Leonard · assist B. Woods0–3
55'
⚽
B. Shofowoke0–4
57'
🔁
H. Kyprianou ◂ L. Ramirez-Espain
64'
⚽
H. Jones · assist B. Woods0–5
65'
🔁
C. Johnston ◂ L. Kelly
65'
🔁
D. Kamara ◂ H. Leonard
65'
🔁
L. Mendonça ◂ D. Okagbue
66'
🔁
O. Maamma ◂ M. Payero
66'
🔁
E. Bove ◂ J. Clarridge
66'
🔁
C. Conn-Clarke ◂ B. Woods
73'
⚽
M. Doumbia · assist A. Nabizada1–5
83'
G. Nevett · Foul
Full-time · 1–5
Coaches
Alessio DionisiLuke Williams 
Recent form
WatfordDAWrexham1-1
WHSouthampton2-1
WHCrawley Town1-0
LHFiorentina0-1
WHFC Hansa Rostock3-0
Peterborough UnitedWHMansfield Town2-1
LABradford City0-2
WABristol Rovers1-0
LHWest Bromwich Albion0-2
WAYork City2-1
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 8
beIN Sports MAX 8
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Stadium
Vicarage Road
City
Watford
Referee
Kickoff
25 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Watford
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Peterborough United
26
D. Bachmann
7.9
56
A. Eames
5.8
8
E. Bove
6.7
↑ 66'
4
K. K. Biakolo
5.8
↑ 46'
75
T. Akinyimika
5.3
39
E. Kayembe
6.7
5
H. Kyprianou
6.9
↑ 57'
48
M. Adu-Poku
6.5
7
O. Maamma
7.3
↑ 66'
21
A. Nabizada
7.3
↑ 46'
20
M. Doumbia
7.6
1
A. Bass
6.5
33
J. Dornelly
7.2
2
C. Johnston
6.4
↑ 65'
15
G. Nevett
6.3
14
H. Mills
7.5
7
H. Jones
7.9
18
L. Mendonça
6.3
↑ 65'
20
C. Conn-Clarke
6.9
↑ 66'
19
B. Shofowoke
7.1
29
D. Kamara
6.2
↑ 65'
10
E. Williams
7.6
↑ 46'
Substitutes
24GS. Walker
80DRaphael London↓ 46'6.4
53DJ. Clarridge↓ 66'5.4
6DM. Pollock
52ML. Ramirez-Espain↓ 57'6.5
22MM. Payero↓ 66'5.4
33MJ. Zemura
11FR. Vata↓ 46'7.3
17FI. Bravo
Coach: Alessio Dionisi
Substitutes
23GC. Andeng-Ndi
26DD. Okagbue↓ 65'7.2
3DE. Weir
16MB. Woods↓ 66'8.0
4ML. Kelly↓ 65'7.4
8MB. Khela
11MO. Edwards
9FH. Leonard↓ 65'7.4
17FV. Masara↓ 46'6.8
Coach: Luke Williams
Top stats
63%Possession37%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
17Total shots19
5Shots on target10
3Big chances6
2Corners2
Shots
9Shots off target6
3Blocked shots3
11Shots inside box14
6Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored4
2Big chances missed2
Attack
19Touches in box25
74Final third entries37
2Offsides0
9Free kicks7
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
579Passes327
516Accurate passes278
24/44 (55%)Long balls21/43 (49%)
4/21 (19%)Crosses7/16 (44%)
28Throw-ins12
Duels
52Duels48
37/65 (57%)Ground duels28/65 (43%)
9/24 (38%)Aerial duels15/24 (63%)
8/17 (47%)Dribbles5/15 (33%)
7Dispossessed11
Defending
21Tackles16
48Tackles won75
9Interceptions6
17Clearances28
46Recoveries47
Discipline
7Fouls9
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
6Saves3
6Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsWatford to win (DNB) 77% · 1.30 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Watford to win 61% · 2.38 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 3.50 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.84 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 2.75 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 21% · 2.97 @ marathonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.67 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.59 @ betika
1X2Peterborough Utd to win 17% · 5.20 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.52
Watford ▲
4.34
Draw ▼
5.36
Peterborough United ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.14
Watford or Draw ▲
1.19
Watford or Peterborough United
2.38
Draw or Peterborough United ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.63
Yes ▲
2.16
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.20
YES
1.30
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.00
YES
1.13
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.98
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
14.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
4.77
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.53
Over 2.50 ▲
2.36
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.32
Over 3.50 ▲
1.55
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.33
Over 4.50
1.18
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.20
Watford
4.10
Peterborough United ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.16
Over 6.50
4.40
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
3.76
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.42
Over 8.50
2.60
Under 8.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Watford to win or draw
✗
83% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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