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Neil Harris
Cambridge United
Millwall
Cambridge United
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
Millwall
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
106047 EUR · live
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
76.5%
-19.7 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
16.1%
+16.0 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
7.5%
+2.9 vs price
Half time
3810 EUR · live
Away
1.08 · implied 92.6%
91.5%
-1.1 vs price
Draw
7.8 · implied 12.8%
4.4%
-8.4 vs price
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
4.0%
-19.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
28504 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
69.0%
-30.0 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
31.1%
+29.2 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
J. Cooper · assist Z. Lovelace0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
L. Appéré ◂ G. Ahadme
50'
P. Bauer · Foul
55'
🔁
C. Perry ◂ P. Bauer
63'
🔁
J. Metcalfe ◂ D. Kelly
63'
🔁
M. Sykes ◂ J. Osei-Tutu
64'
🔁
S. Lavery ◂ S. Kaikai
64'
🔁
D. Fraser ◂ D. Ball
64'
🔁
C. Neghli ◂ Z. Lovelace
70'
🔁
Z. Sturge ◂ D. Batth
78'
🔁
A. Matthews ◂ R. Bangura-Williams
87'
G. McConnell · Foul
89'
🔁
L. Mcdougald ◂ I. Heath
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Alex Neil 
Recent form
DABromley1-1
WHWigan Athletic3-2
WHBarnet2-1
DANorwich City0-0
DHNorthampton Town0-0
WHNorwich City3-0
WABristol City2-0
DAQueens Park Rangers1-1
WHRoyal Antwerp FC1-0
DABromley1-1
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 7
beIN Sports MAX 7
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Stadium
Cledara Abbey Stadium
City
Cambridge
Referee
Kickoff
25 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
1
J. Eastwood
6.7
2
L. Bennett
6.8
3
C. Perry
6.7
↑ 55'
6
K. Watts
6.6
22
Z. Bradshaw
7.1
33
D. Fraser
6.9
↑ 64'
17
P. Mpanzu
6.4
30
L. Mcdougald
6.7
↑ 89'
27
G. McConnell
6.5
19
S. Lavery
6.4
↑ 64'
9
L. Appéré
6.1
↑ 46'
15
M. Crocombe
6.8
3
Z. Sturge
6.4
↑ 70'
5
J. Cooper
9.1
12
E. Baggott
7.6
44
A. Massey
6.9
14
J. Metcalfe
6.8
↑ 63'
28
A. Matthews
6.2
↑ 78'
25
L. Cundle
7.3
17
M. Sykes
7.6
↑ 63'
10
C. Neghli
6.5
↑ 64'
13
L. Dykes
6.1
Substitutes
25GB. Hughes
31GJ J Briggs
5DP. Bauer↓ 55'6.5
23DM. Jobe
4MD. Ball↓ 64'6.6
7MI. Heath↓ 89'6.5
11FS. Kaikai↓ 64'7.3
14FG. Ahadme↓ 46'6.9
Coach: Neil Harris
Top stats
44%Possession56%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
9Total shots10
1Shots on target4
0Big chances2
4Corners1
Shots
5Shots off target4
3Blocked shots2
4Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork2
0Big chances missed2
Attack
15Touches in box21
64Final third entries76
1Offsides1
17Free kicks11
6Fouled in final third2
Passing
348Passes470
255Accurate passes364
23/68 (34%)Long balls29/76 (38%)
4/21 (19%)Crosses4/10 (40%)
29Throw-ins31
Duels
47Duels53
35/68 (51%)Ground duels33/68 (49%)
23/55 (42%)Aerial duels32/55 (58%)
6/16 (38%)Dribbles3/8 (38%)
11Dispossessed8
Defending
13Tackles21
69Tackles won62
5Interceptions13
29Clearances49
59Recoveries57
Discipline
11Fouls17
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
3Goal kicks7
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
Who winsMillwall to win (DNB) 62% · 1.60 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Millwall to win 45% · 2.75 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ msport
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.22 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ 10bet
1X2Cambridge to win 27% · 3.77 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.44
Cambridge United ▲
3.31
Draw ▼
2.07
Millwall ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.69
Cambridge United or Draw ▼
1.30
Cambridge United or Millwall
1.28
Draw or Millwall
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▲
1.98
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.60
YES
1.25
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.80
YES
1.38
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.12
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.90
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
8.90
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50 ▲
3.32
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.93
Over 2.50 ▲
1.81
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.30
Over 3.50 ▲
1.29
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.96
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.43
Cambridge United
1.50
Millwall
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.10
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.38
Over 7.50
2.75
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.54
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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