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Alex Revell
Stevenage
Reading
Stevenage
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Reading
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Half time
778 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
59.7%
-39.3 vs price
Draw
2.16 · implied 46.3%
40.0%
-6.3 vs price
Home
530.0 · implied 0.2%
0.0%
-0.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
11098 EUR · live
Over
3.85 · implied 26.0%
54.2%
+28.2 vs price
Under
1.34 · implied 74.6%
45.8%
-28.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6796 EUR · live
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
94.8%
+5.5 vs price
Over
9.2 · implied 10.9%
5.2%
-5.7 vs price
5 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
J. Brown · assist P. Lane0–1
24'
⚽
P. Lane0–2
29'
D. Butler · Foul
41'
J. Dorsett · Foul
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
C. Piergianni ◂ T. Vancooten
59'
🔁
J. Knight ◂ T. Taylor
59'
🔁
M. Mellon ◂ J. Roberts
71'
🔁
D. Kemp ◂ O. Sanderson
71'
🔁
J. Magennis ◂ P. Patterson
81'
🔁
K. Lisbie ◂ G. Earthy
85'
⚽
R. Williams · assist K. Lisbie0–3
89'
B. Ward · Argument
89'
C. Piergianni · Argument
Full-time · 0–3
90'
🔁
D. Kyerewaa ◂ P. Lane
Coaches
Alex RevellLeam Richardson 
Recent form
StevenageLHOxford United1-2
DABurton Albion1-1
WAWycombe Wanderers2-1
WHColchester United1-0
WHMillwall1-0
ReadingDAAFC Wimbledon0-0
LHLuton Town3-4
DABromley1-1
WHCharlton Athletic3-0
WACrawley Town1-0
Match facts
Stadium
Broadhall Way
City
Stevenage
Referee
Kickoff
25 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Stevenage
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Reading
1
F. Marschall
5.9
5
C. Piergianni
7.0
↑ 46'
22
J. Taylor
6.7
6
L. Freestone
6.2
8
D. Phillips
7.0
26
J. Knight
6.3
↑ 59'
4
J. Houghton
6.8
3
D. Butler
7.3
10
D. Kemp
6.8
↑ 71'
28
M. Mellon
6.6
↑ 59'
9
J. Magennis
6.4
↑ 71'
1
J. Pereira
7.1
39
A. Ahmed
6.9
23
C. Masterson
7.5
16
B. Ward
7.4
3
J. Dorsett
6.7
6
L. Fraser
6.7
8
C. Savage
6.9
14
R. Williams
7.1
19
K. Lisbie
6.7
↑ 81'
11
D. Kyerewaa
↑ 90'
18
J. Brown
7.3
Substitutes
12GD. Barden
15DT. Vancooten↓ 46'6.3
11MJ. Roberts↓ 59'6.8
44MP. Patterson↓ 71'6.8
7MT. Taylor↓ 59'6.3
43MC. Brown
14MS. Earley
18FO. Sanderson↓ 71'6.4
19FJ. Reid
Coach: Alex Revell
Substitutes
25GJ. Stevens
5DH. Roberts
42DB. Beacroft
49DE. Osho
17MG. Earthy↓ 81'6.3
10ML. Wing
4MA. Rinomhota
28MJ. Stokes
32FP. Lane↓ 90'7.7
Coach: Leam Richardson
Top stats
57%Possession43%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
13Total shots10
3Shots on target5
3Big chances4
5Corners5
Shots
5Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box8
5Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored3
3Big chances missed1
Attack
20Touches in box19
76Final third entries52
2Offsides1
13Free kicks6
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
521Passes393
442Accurate passes308
35/72 (49%)Long balls25/66 (38%)
9/27 (33%)Crosses4/18 (22%)
19Throw-ins16
Duels
62Duels38
25/37 (68%)Ground duels12/37 (32%)
21/37 (57%)Aerial duels16/37 (43%)
7/9 (78%)Dribbles2/5 (40%)
4Dispossessed2
Defending
5Tackles6
80Tackles won33
8Interceptions12
29Clearances27
39Recoveries41
Discipline
6Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
1Big saves0
5Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.14 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 30% · 2.40 @ msport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.25 @ boylesports
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.35 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.75 @ Unibet
Who winsStevenage to win (DNB) 58% · 1.69 @ forbet
1X2Reading to win 30% · 3.80 @ betcity
1X2Stevenage to win 41% · 2.95 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.45 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.28
Stevenage ▲
3.13
Draw ▲
3.15
Reading ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Stevenage or Draw ▲
1.33
Stevenage or Reading ▲
1.57
Draw or Reading ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.89
Yes ▲
1.82
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.88
YES
1.36
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.05
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.55
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
7.80
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
2.87
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.18
Over 2.50 ▲
1.62
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.94
Over 3.50 ▲
1.22
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.92
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.60
Stevenage ▼
2.20
Reading ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.44
Over 7.50
2.55
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.71
Over 8.50
2.03
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.19
Over 9.50
1.58
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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