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Oliver Glasner
Nottingham Forest
Leeds United
Nottingham Forest
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1
Leeds United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
388096 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
63.8%
-35.2 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
27.0%
+26.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.2%
+9.1 vs price
Half time
1331 EUR · live
Draw
1.65 · implied 60.6%
46.9%
-13.7 vs price
Away
5.4 · implied 18.5%
39.6%
+21.1 vs price
Home
4.8 · implied 20.8%
13.4%
-7.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
188247 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.7%
-15.3 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
16.3%
+13.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2793 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
80.5%
-17.6 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
19.5%
+16.6 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
26'
A. Tanaka · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
X. Schlager · Foul
50'
⚽
D. James · assist S. Longstaff0–1
60'
🔁
C. Hudson Odoi ◂ A. Kalimuendo
60'
🔁
D. Ndoye ◂ I. Jesus
60'
🔁
Murillo ◂ O. Diomande
61'
🔁
L. Netz ◂ O. Aina
67'
🔁
B. Aaronson ◂ N. Okafor
67'
🔁
H. Wilson ◂ S. Longstaff
67'
S. Longstaff · Foul
68'
🔁
A. Stach ◂ A. Tanaka
71'
🔁
J. Bogle ◂ D. James
73'
Jair · Foul
75'
⚽
J. Justin0–2
79'
🔁
O. Hutchinson ◂ N. Williams
79'
Murillo · Foul
83'
🔁
D. Calvert-Lewin ◂ L. Nmecha
84'
N. Domínguez · Foul
86'
E. Ampadu · Foul
Full-time · 0–2
Coaches
Oliver GlasnerDaniel Farke 
Recent form
Nottingham ForestLHLeeds United0-1
WHStade Brestois2-0
WHBayer 04 Leverkusen2-1
LAFC Barcelona0-1
LAUdinese0-1
Leeds UnitedWANottingham Forest1-0
WHFC Augsburg4-0
DAManchester United1-1
WHRB Leipzig2-0
WALiverpool FC4-2
Where to watch
beIN SPORTS 1
BetanoDisney+ESPN
Cytavision Sports 8HD
beIN SPORTS 1
ITVSky Sports FootballSky Sports Main Event
Arena Sport 3 HR
ITVSky Sports FootballSky Sports Main Event
beIN SPORTS 1
Match facts
Stadium
City Ground
City
Nottingham
Kickoff
25 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Nottingham Forest
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1
Leeds United
26
M. Sels
6.6
5
Murillo
6.5
↑ 60'
31
N. Milenković
7.3
23
Jair
6.1
25
L. Netz
6.7
↑ 61'
21
X. Schlager
6.6
8
N. Domínguez
6.4
20
O. Hutchinson
6.8
↑ 79'
14
D. Ndoye
6.4
↑ 60'
9
C. Wood
6.4
7
C. Hudson Odoi
6.4
↑ 60'
1
J. Trafford
6.8
6
J. Rodon
6.7
30
N. Elvedi
7.3
5
T. Muharemović
8.0
2
J. Bogle
6.6
↑ 71'
4
E. Ampadu
7.2
18
A. Stach
6.6
↑ 68'
24
J. Justin
7.9
10
H. Wilson
6.5
↑ 67'
11
B. Aaronson
6.7
↑ 67'
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
6.5
↑ 83'
Substitutes
12GJ. Victor
3DN. Williams↓ 79'7.0
2DO. Diomande↓ 60'6.7
34DO. Aina↓ 61'6.6
44DZ. Abbott
24MJ. McAtee
6MI. Sangaré
11FI. Jesus↓ 60'6.3
15FA. Kalimuendo↓ 60'6.2
Coach: Oliver Glasner
Substitutes
23GL. Perri
65DJ. Lienou
15DJ. Bijol
7MD. James↓ 71'7.8
8MS. Longstaff↓ 67'6.5
22MA. Tanaka↓ 68'6.5
50MA. Cresswell
14FL. Nmecha↓ 83'6.8
19FN. Okafor↓ 67'6.7
Coach: Daniel Farke
Top stats
50%Possession50%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
8Total shots13
3Shots on target5
1Big chances6
3Corners2
Shots
3Shots off target6
2Blocked shots2
6Shots inside box9
2Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed4
Attack
18Touches in box21
59Final third entries47
1Offsides1
12Free kicks15
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
453Passes450
344Accurate passes368
32/71 (45%)Long balls18/54 (33%)
6/19 (32%)Crosses4/17 (24%)
23Throw-ins19
Duels
50Duels50
30/63 (48%)Ground duels33/63 (52%)
25/46 (54%)Aerial duels21/46 (46%)
3/8 (38%)Dribbles6/15 (40%)
8Dispossessed6
Defending
15Tackles13
73Tackles won54
4Interceptions14
24Clearances25
56Recoveries64
Discipline
15Fouls12
4Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves1
7Goal kicks4
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ fanatics
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 5.00 @ 888Sport
Who winsForest to win (DNB) 59% · 1.64 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.20 @ 888Sport
1X2Leeds to win 30% · 3.50 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.60 @ Unibet
1X2Forest to win 42% · 2.60 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.37 @ betika
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.16
Nottingham Forest
3.40
Draw ▼
3.14
Leeds United ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Nottingham Forest or Draw ▲
1.29
Nottingham Forest or Leeds United ▲
1.63
Draw or Leeds United ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.66
Yes ▲
2.10
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.88
YES
1.36
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.70
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.88
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
9.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50 ▲
3.65
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.81
Over 2.50 ▲
1.93
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.98
Over 3.50 ▲
1.35
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.57
Nottingham Forest
2.26
Leeds United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50
2.43
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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