Birmingham City 1-6 Brentford: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Birmingham City 1-6 Brentford.

90'

Brentford

Corner, Brentford.

90'

M. Sangare

Attempt blocked. M. Sangare (Brentford), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

83'

S. Paik

Substitution, Birmingham City: T. Iwata comes on for S. Paik.

81'

M. Sangare

Attempt missed. M. Sangare (Brentford), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

77'

N. Collins

Goal! Birmingham City 1-6 Brentford. N. Collins (Brentford) scores, assisted by M. Sangare.

76'

Brentford

Corner, Brentford.

75'

D. Gray

Substitution, Birmingham City: P. Neumann comes on for D. Gray.

73'

I. Thiago

Goal! Birmingham City 1-5 Brentford. I. Thiago (Brentford) scores, assisted by J. Anthony.

71'

R. Henry

Substitution, Brentford: K. Lewis-Potter comes on for R. Henry.

71'

V. Janelt

Substitution, Brentford: M. Kayode comes on for V. Janelt.

70'

M. Damsgaard

Goal! Birmingham City 1-4 Brentford. M. Damsgaard (Brentford) scores, assisted by J. Anthony.

69'

J. Solís

Attempt blocked. J. Solís (Birmingham City), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

69'

Birmingham City

Corner, Birmingham City.

66'

D. Gray

Attempt saved. D. Gray (Birmingham City), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

62'

C. Vicente

Attempt missed. C. Vicente (Birmingham City), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

62'

C. Wilson

Substitution, Brentford: I. Thiago comes on for C. Wilson.

61'

K. Fujimoto

Substitution, Birmingham City: J. Stansfield comes on for K. Fujimoto.

61'

L. Vázquez

Substitution, Birmingham City: A. Priske comes on for L. Vázquez.

61'

K. Lund

Substitution, Birmingham City: A. Cochrane comes on for K. Lund.

60'

Birmingham City

Corner, Birmingham City.

57'

M. Damsgaard

Attempt missed. M. Damsgaard (Brentford), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.

55'

B. Osayi-Samuel

Yellow card for B. Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham City) for foul.

55'

A. Hickey

Attempt missed. A. Hickey (Brentford), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

54'

J. Anthony

Attempt blocked. J. Anthony (Brentford), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

54'

M. Damsgaard

Attempt blocked. M. Damsgaard (Brentford), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

53'

J. Schuster

Attempt missed. J. Schuster (Brentford), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

47'

L. Vázquez

Attempt blocked. L. Vázquez (Birmingham City), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

46'

D. Ouattara

Substitution, Brentford: K. Schade comes on for D. Ouattara.

46'

Y. Yarmoliuk

Substitution, Brentford: M. Sangare comes on for Y. Yarmoliuk.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Birmingham City 1-3 Brentford.

43'

D. Gray

Attempt missed. D. Gray (Birmingham City), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

40'

N. Collins

Goal! Birmingham City 1-3 Brentford. N. Collins (Brentford) scores, assisted by J. Anthony.

38'

Brentford

Offside, Brentford.

37'

J. Solís

Yellow card for J. Solís (Birmingham City) for foul.

35'

A. Hickey

Goal! Birmingham City 1-2 Brentford. A. Hickey (Brentford) scores.

30'

N. Collins

Attempt saved. N. Collins (Brentford), header from a corner. xG 0.23.

30'

Brentford

Corner, Brentford.

28'

D. Gray

Goal! Birmingham City 1-1 Brentford. D. Gray (Birmingham City) scores, assisted by S. Paik.

26'

J. Schuster

Yellow card for J. Schuster (Brentford) for foul.

23'

C. Klarer

Attempt missed. C. Klarer (Birmingham City), header from a corner. xG 0.17.

22'

Birmingham City

Corner, Birmingham City.

15'

D. Gray

Attempt missed. D. Gray (Birmingham City), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

14'

N. Collins

Attempt missed. N. Collins (Brentford), header from a corner. xG 0.17.

14'

Y. Yarmoliuk

Attempt missed. Y. Yarmoliuk (Brentford), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

13'

Brentford

Corner, Brentford.

12'

D. Ouattara

Attempt saved. D. Ouattara (Brentford), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

10'

Brentford

Corner, Brentford.

6'

C. Wilson

Goal! Birmingham City 0-1 Brentford. C. Wilson (Brentford) scores, assisted by Y. Yarmoliuk.

5'

J. Anthony

Attempt missed. J. Anthony (Brentford), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

1'

Kick-off: Birmingham City vs Brentford.

Where the money is

221151 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 3 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 128734 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

85.1%

-13.9 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

9.4%

+9.3 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.5%

+5.4 vs price

Half time 2710 EUR · live

Away 1.17 · implied 85.5%

96.4%

+10.9 vs price

Home 5.2 · implied 19.2%

2.4%

-16.8 vs price

Draw 6.8 · implied 14.7%

1.1%

-13.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 7492 EUR · live

Over 1.15 · implied 87.0%

68.3%

-18.7 vs price

Under 7.0 · implied 14.3%

31.9%

+17.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2281 EUR · live

Over 6.6 · implied 15.2%

52.0%

+36.9 vs price

Under 1.15 · implied 87.0%

47.9%

-39.0 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

6' ⚽ C. Wilson · assist Y. Yarmoliuk0–1

26' J. Schuster · Foul

28' ⚽ D. Gray · assist S. Paik1–1

35' ⚽ A. Hickey1–2

37' J. Solís · Foul

40' ⚽ N. Collins · assist J. Anthony1–3

Half-time · 1–3

46' 🔁 M. Sangare ◂ Y. Yarmoliuk

46' 🔁 K. Schade ◂ D. Ouattara

55' B. Osayi-Samuel · Foul

61' 🔁 A. Cochrane ◂ K. Lund

61' 🔁 A. Priske ◂ L. Vázquez

61' 🔁 J. Stansfield ◂ K. Fujimoto

62' 🔁 I. Thiago ◂ C. Wilson

70' ⚽ M. Damsgaard · assist J. Anthony1–4

71' 🔁 M. Kayode ◂ V. Janelt

71' 🔁 K. Lewis-Potter ◂ R. Henry

73' ⚽ I. Thiago · assist J. Anthony1–5

75' 🔁 P. Neumann ◂ D. Gray

77' ⚽ N. Collins · assist M. Sangare1–6

83' 🔁 T. Iwata ◂ S. Paik

Full-time · 1–6

Coaches

Chris Davies

Keith Andrews

Recent form

Birmingham City

DHBristol City2-2

DASheffield United0-0

WASwansea City1-0

DHFC Barcelona2-2

WACrewe Alexandra2-1

Brentford

WHTottenham Hotspur3-0

WHEintracht Frankfurt7-0

WAStade Rennais4-2

DALiverpool FC1-1

DHCrystal Palace2-2

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 2

Match facts

Stadium

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

City

Birmingham

Referee

Tim Robinson

4.34 yellows/match · 29 matches

Kickoff

25 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Competition

Carabao Cup

Highlights & clips

Birmingham City 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Brentford

21 R. Allsop 5.8 26 B. Osayi-Samuel 5.4 23 D. Fry 5.8 4 C. Klarer 5.8 20 A. Cochrane 6.1 ↑ 61' 14 J. Solís 5.7 24 T. Iwata 6.7 ↑ 83' 7 C. Vicente 5.8 9 A. Priske 6.4 ↑ 61' 5 P. Neumann 6.3 ↑ 75' 28 J. Stansfield 6.3 ↑ 61' 12 H. R. Valdimarsson 6.4 2 A. Hickey 7.4 44 J. Schuster 6.8 22 N. Collins 9.9 33 M. Kayode 6.8 ↑ 71' 18 M. Sangare 7.4 ↑ 46' 23 K. Lewis-Potter 6.5 ↑ 71' 7 K. Schade 6.4 ↑ 46' 24 M. Damsgaard 8.1 19 J. Anthony 7.9 9 I. Thiago 7.4 ↑ 62'

Substitutes

1GJ. Beadle 25DK. Lund↓ 61'5.9 2DE. Laird 10MD. Gray↓ 75'7.1 8MS. Paik↓ 83'6.9 27MK. Fujimoto↓ 61'6.5 16MP. Roberts 32FL. Vázquez↓ 61'6.5 33FM. Ducksch

Coach: Chris Davies

Substitutes

1GC. Kelleher 3DR. Henry↓ 71'6.2 20DK. Ajer 27MV. Janelt↓ 71'7.3 6MY. Yarmoliuk↓ 46'6.9 11MD. Ouattara↓ 46'6.2 8MM. Jensen 13FC. Wilson↓ 62'7.1 14FF. Carvalho

Coach: Keith Andrews

Top stats

32%Possession68%

0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0

8Total shots18

2Shots on target8

1Big chances2

4Corners6

Shots

4Shots off target7

2Blocked shots3

2Shots inside box13

6Shots outside box5

0Hit woodwork0

0Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed0

Attack

6Touches in box32

51Final third entries73

0Offsides1

12Free kicks9

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

238Passes520

155Accurate passes435

24/71 (34%)Long balls26/52 (50%)

2/7 (29%)Crosses9/16 (56%)

13Throw-ins27

Duels

47Duels53

34/65 (52%)Ground duels31/65 (48%)

13/35 (37%)Aerial duels22/35 (63%)

1/10 (10%)Dribbles10/21 (48%)

3Dispossessed10

Defending

21Tackles12

67Tackles won67

16Interceptions6

21Clearances10

37Recoveries46

Discipline

9Fouls12

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

13Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers

Birmingham 25%

26%

Brentford 50%

Who winsBrentford to win (DNB) 67% · 1.50 @ merkurxtip

1X2Brentford to win 50% · 2.25 @ efbet.net

CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.15 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.04 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 26% · 2.85 @ fanatics

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.47 @ fanduel

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.61 @ Unibet

1X2Birmingham to win 25% · 4.20 @ 10bet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.79

Birmingham City ▲

3.64

Draw ▼

1.86

Brentford

Double Chanceconsensus

1.86

Birmingham City or Draw

1.26

Birmingham City or Brentford ▲

1.24

Draw or Brentford

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.60

Yes ▲

2.20

No ▼

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

5.00

YES

1.14

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

2.55

YES

1.45

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

7.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.25

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

10.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.20

Over 1.50

4.14

Under 1.50 ▼

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.66

Over 2.50 ▲

2.11

Under 2.50 ▼

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.63

Over 3.50 ▲

1.43

Under 3.50 ▼

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.50

Over 4.50

1.12

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.79

Birmingham City

1.39

Brentford

Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus

1.18

Over 6.50

4.10

Under 6.50

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.22

Over 7.50

3.69

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.44

Over 8.50

2.51

Under 8.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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