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Chris Davies
Birmingham City
Brentford
Birmingham City
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Brentford
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
128734 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.1%
-13.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.4%
+9.3 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.5%
+5.4 vs price
Half time
2710 EUR · live
Away
1.17 · implied 85.5%
96.4%
+10.9 vs price
Home
5.2 · implied 19.2%
2.4%
-16.8 vs price
Draw
6.8 · implied 14.7%
1.1%
-13.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
7492 EUR · live
Over
1.15 · implied 87.0%
68.3%
-18.7 vs price
Under
7.0 · implied 14.3%
31.9%
+17.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2281 EUR · live
Over
6.6 · implied 15.2%
52.0%
+36.9 vs price
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
47.9%
-39.0 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
C. Wilson · assist Y. Yarmoliuk0–1
26'
J. Schuster · Foul
28'
⚽
D. Gray · assist S. Paik1–1
35'
⚽
A. Hickey1–2
37'
J. Solís · Foul
40'
⚽
N. Collins · assist J. Anthony1–3
Half-time · 1–3
46'
🔁
M. Sangare ◂ Y. Yarmoliuk
46'
🔁
K. Schade ◂ D. Ouattara
55'
B. Osayi-Samuel · Foul
61'
🔁
A. Cochrane ◂ K. Lund
61'
🔁
A. Priske ◂ L. Vázquez
61'
🔁
J. Stansfield ◂ K. Fujimoto
62'
🔁
I. Thiago ◂ C. Wilson
70'
⚽
M. Damsgaard · assist J. Anthony1–4
71'
🔁
M. Kayode ◂ V. Janelt
71'
🔁
K. Lewis-Potter ◂ R. Henry
73'
⚽
I. Thiago · assist J. Anthony1–5
75'
🔁
P. Neumann ◂ D. Gray
77'
⚽
N. Collins · assist M. Sangare1–6
83'
🔁
T. Iwata ◂ S. Paik
Full-time · 1–6
Coaches
Keith Andrews 
Recent form
DHBristol City2-2
DASheffield United0-0
WASwansea City1-0
DHFC Barcelona2-2
WACrewe Alexandra2-1
WHTottenham Hotspur3-0
WHEintracht Frankfurt7-0
WAStade Rennais4-2
DALiverpool FC1-1
DHCrystal Palace2-2
Where to watch
beIN SPORTS 2
Arena Sport 1 SRB
Viaplay
beIN SPORTS 2
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Arena Sport 5 HR
Sky Sports+
beIN SPORTS 2
Arena Sport 1 SRB
Arena Sport 1 SRB
Viaplay
Arena Sport 1 SRB
Viaplay
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
City
Birmingham
Kickoff
25 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
21
R. Allsop
5.8
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
5.4
23
D. Fry
5.8
4
C. Klarer
5.8
20
A. Cochrane
6.1
↑ 61'
14
J. Solís
5.7
24
T. Iwata
6.7
↑ 83'
7
C. Vicente
5.8
9
A. Priske
6.4
↑ 61'
5
P. Neumann
6.3
↑ 75'
28
J. Stansfield
6.3
↑ 61'
12
H. R. Valdimarsson
6.4
2
A. Hickey
7.4
44
J. Schuster
6.8
22
N. Collins
9.9
33
M. Kayode
6.8
↑ 71'
18
M. Sangare
7.4
↑ 46'
23
K. Lewis-Potter
6.5
↑ 71'
7
K. Schade
6.4
↑ 46'
24
M. Damsgaard
8.1
19
J. Anthony
7.9
9
I. Thiago
7.4
↑ 62'
Substitutes
1GJ. Beadle
25DK. Lund↓ 61'5.9
2DE. Laird
10MD. Gray↓ 75'7.1
8MS. Paik↓ 83'6.9
27MK. Fujimoto↓ 61'6.5
16MP. Roberts
32FL. Vázquez↓ 61'6.5
33FM. Ducksch
Coach: Chris Davies
Substitutes
1GC. Kelleher
3DR. Henry↓ 71'6.2
20DK. Ajer
27MV. Janelt↓ 71'7.3
6MY. Yarmoliuk↓ 46'6.9
11MD. Ouattara↓ 46'6.2
8MM. Jensen
13FC. Wilson↓ 62'7.1
14FF. Carvalho
Coach: Keith Andrews
Top stats
32%Possession68%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
8Total shots18
2Shots on target8
1Big chances2
4Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
2Shots inside box13
6Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed0
Attack
6Touches in box32
51Final third entries73
0Offsides1
12Free kicks9
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
238Passes520
155Accurate passes435
24/71 (34%)Long balls26/52 (50%)
2/7 (29%)Crosses9/16 (56%)
13Throw-ins27
Duels
47Duels53
34/65 (52%)Ground duels31/65 (48%)
13/35 (37%)Aerial duels22/35 (63%)
1/10 (10%)Dribbles10/21 (48%)
3Dispossessed10
Defending
21Tackles12
67Tackles won67
16Interceptions6
21Clearances10
37Recoveries46
Discipline
9Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
13Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsBrentford to win (DNB) 67% · 1.50 @ merkurxtip
1X2Brentford to win 50% · 2.25 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.15 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.04 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.85 @ fanatics
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.47 @ fanduel
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.61 @ Unibet
1X2Birmingham to win 25% · 4.20 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.79
Birmingham City ▲
3.64
Draw ▼
1.86
Brentford
Double Chanceconsensus
1.86
Birmingham City or Draw
1.26
Birmingham City or Brentford ▲
1.24
Draw or Brentford
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes ▲
2.20
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.00
YES
1.14
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.14
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.66
Over 2.50 ▲
2.11
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.63
Over 3.50 ▲
1.43
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.79
Birmingham City
1.39
Brentford
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.18
Over 6.50
4.10
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.69
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.51
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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