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Graham Alexander
Bradford City
Burnley
Bradford City
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Burnley
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
448051 EUR · live
Away
30.0 · implied 3.3%
52.3%
+49.0 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
31.5%
-64.6 vs price
Home
150.0 · implied 0.7%
16.2%
+15.5 vs price
Half time
1882 EUR · live
Away
7.0 · implied 14.3%
45.8%
+31.5 vs price
Draw
1.23 · implied 81.3%
44.2%
-37.1 vs price
Home
15.0 · implied 6.7%
10.0%
+3.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
78719 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
78.7%
-20.3 vs price
Over
400.0 · implied 0.2%
21.3%
+21.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8005 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.9%
-2.1 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
3.1%
+2.2 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
44'
H. Cartwright · Time wasting
Half-time · 0–0
62'
🔁
C. Connolly ◂ H. Cartwright
62'
🔁
A. Sarcevic ◂ G. Lapslie
62'
🔁
J. Neufville ◂ K. Jackson
62'
🔁
N. Powell ◂ J. Beesley
79'
🔁
Z. Flemming ◂ A. Broja
80'
🔁
M. Edwards ◂ M. Trésor
80'
🔁
J. Bruun Larsen ◂ D. Satpayev
80'
🔁
H. Mejbri ◂ U. Raghouber
83'
🔁
B. Pointon ◂ W. Swan
Full-time · 0–0
90'
🔁
K. Walker ◂ C. Roberts
90'+3
I. Touray · Off the ball foul
PEN · 4–2
Coaches
Graham AlexanderNicky Hayen 
Recent form
Bradford CityWASheffield Wednesday1-0
WHPeterborough United2-0
WHRochdale2-0
DASalford City2-2
WHPreston North End3-2
BurnleyLAWest Bromwich Albion1-3
DHWest Ham United2-2
DHNotts County1-1
LHTorino0-1
DHEspanyol2-2
Where to watch
Paramount+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
Valley Parade
City
Bradford
Kickoff
26 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Bradford City
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Burnley
21
J. McCracken
9.3
2
R. Welch
7.2
28
M. Pennington
7.7
5
M. Gillesphey
7.5
6
C. Connolly
7.0
↑ 62'
25
N. Powell
6.7
↑ 62'
7
J. Neufville
6.8
↑ 62'
3
I. Touray
8.0
8
A. Phillips
6.7
23
B. Pointon
6.4
↑ 83'
10
A. Sarcevic
7.4
↑ 62'
37
G. Coudert
7.2
2
K. Walker
↑ 90'
18
H. Ekdal
6.8
15
A. Ahmedhodžić
6.6
23
L. Pires
7.3
29
J. Laurent
6.7
28
H. Mejbri
6.6
↑ 80'
7
J. Bruun Larsen
5.9
↑ 80'
11
Z. Amdouni
6.7
10
M. Edwards
7.0
↑ 80'
19
Z. Flemming
6.9
↑ 79'
Substitutes
1GC. Dawson
30DO. Lunn
4DJ. Wright
20MH. Cartwright↓ 62'7.0
19FK. Jackson↓ 62'7.1
24FW. Swan↓ 83'7.0
32FG. Lapslie↓ 62'6.5
9FJ. Beesley↓ 62'6.4
29FH. Ibbitson
Coach: Graham Alexander
Substitutes
1GM. Weiss
14DC. Roberts↓ 90'7.1
3DM. Alleyne
22DO. Sonne
8MU. Raghouber↓ 80'6.6
31MM. Trésor↓ 80'6.6
21MA. Ramsey
12FD. Satpayev↓ 80'7.1
27FA. Broja↓ 79'6.0
Coach: Nicky Hayen
Top stats
32%Possession68%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
16Total shots23
4Shots on target6
5Corners14
Shots
8Shots off target8
4Blocked shots9
10Shots inside box14
6Shots outside box9
1Hit woodwork0
Attack
20Touches in box37
56Final third entries37
1Offsides1
9Free kicks7
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
244Passes532
171Accurate passes457
23/57 (40%)Long balls24/54 (44%)
5/18 (28%)Crosses6/24 (25%)
28Throw-ins33
Duels
55Duels45
30/63 (48%)Ground duels33/63 (52%)
24/36 (67%)Aerial duels12/36 (33%)
3/11 (27%)Dribbles12/20 (60%)
7Dispossessed10
Defending
18Tackles15
78Tackles won80
15Interceptions8
26Clearances18
44Recoveries48
Discipline
7Fouls9
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
6Saves4
2Big saves1
13Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
Who winsBurnley to win (DNB) 60% · 1.63 @ merkurxtip
1X2Burnley to win 43% · 2.70 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 2.05 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.60 @ betfair
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.30 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.22 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
1X2Bradford to win 29% · 3.60 @ fanatics
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.23
Bradford City ▼
3.35
Draw ▼
2.14
Burnley ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.64
Bradford City or Draw
1.29
Bradford City or Burnley
1.31
Draw or Burnley
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.79
Yes
1.92
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.55
YES
1.25
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.95
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.17
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.99
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.49
Over 3.50 ▲
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.78
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.32
Bradford City ▼
1.54
Burnley
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.18
Over 6.50
4.20
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.30
Over 7.50
3.04
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.60
Over 8.50
2.19
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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