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Alfred Johansson
Motherwell
SC Freiburg
Motherwell
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
SC Freiburg
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
208078 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
79.4%
-19.6 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.8%
+10.7 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
10.2%
+7.4 vs price
Half time
6463 EUR · live
Home
15.5 · implied 6.5%
56.1%
+49.6 vs price
Away
17.5 · implied 5.7%
25.2%
+19.5 vs price
Draw
1.11 · implied 90.1%
18.7%
-71.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
71997 EUR · live
Over
1.6 · implied 62.5%
69.7%
+7.2 vs price
Under
2.74 · implied 36.5%
30.5%
-6.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
9984 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
75.9%
-19.3 vs price
Over
14.5 · implied 6.9%
24.1%
+17.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
2'
⚽
R. Charles-Cook · assist E. Longelo1–0
21'
J. Hodge · Foul
28'
⚽
M. Ginter · assist I. Matanović1–1
39'
L. Fadinger · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
S. Palmer-Houlden ◂ R. Charles-Cook
59'
J. Beste · Foul
61'
VAR
Card check · M. Moormann
65'
⚽
M. Ginter (pen)1–2
65'
M. Moormann · Violent conduct
67'
A. Lowry · Foul
70'
🔁
E. Wilson ◂ A. Lowry
71'
🔁
W. Vogt ◂ T. Maswanhise
74'
🔁
C. Irié ◂ J. Beste
74'
🔁
V. Grifo ◂ Y. Suzuki
78'
🔁
S. O'Donnell ◂ J. Girdwood-Reich
78'
🔁
O. Whyte ◂ J. Hodge
80'
🔁
P. Lienhart ◂ M. Rosenfelder
80'
🔁
K. Goto ◂ I. Matanović
Full-time · 1–3
90'
🔁
B. Yılmaz ◂ D. Scherhant
90'+6
⚽
K. Goto · assist V. Grifo1–3
Coaches
Alfred JohanssonJulian Schuster 
Recent form
MotherwellWHHJK2-0
DHFalkirk FC0-0
DAHJK1-1
WAHibernian2-1
WAHB Tórshavn3-0
SC FreiburgWHCrystal Palace3-0
WHRC Strasbourg2-0
LASpVgg Greuther Fürth0-3
WADerby County3-1
LHAston Villa0-3
Where to watch
Canal Gol Brazil
RTL+
Match facts
Stadium
Fir Park
City
Motherwell
Kickoff
20 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Motherwell
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
SC Freiburg
1
A. Paulsen
7.4
2
S. O'Donnell
6.3
↑ 78'
4
J. Knight-Lebel
6.8
5
M. Moormann
5.7
45
E. Longelo
6.3
23
E. Wilson
6.4
↑ 70'
8
L. Fadinger
6.7
25
O. Whyte
6.6
↑ 78'
77
W. Vogt
6.5
↑ 71'
47
S. Palmer-Houlden
6.7
↑ 46'
19
I. Said
6.6
1
M. Backhaus
6.8
29
P. Treu
7.2
28
M. Ginter
8.5
3
P. Lienhart
7.0
↑ 80'
33
J. Makengo
6.6
8
M. Eggestein
7.3
16
Y. Engelhardt
7.3
22
C. Irié
6.4
↑ 74'
32
V. Grifo
6.7
↑ 74'
27
B. Yılmaz
↑ 90'
42
K. Goto
7.4
↑ 80'
Top stats
40%Possession60%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
4Total shots26
1Shots on target10
1Big chances3
2Corners8
Shots
3Shots off target8
0Blocked shots8
2Shots inside box17
2Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored3
Attack
4Touches in box43
31Final third entries51
1Offsides2
15Free kicks13
1Fouled in final third5
Passing
384Passes566
305Accurate passes509
15/52 (29%)Long balls27/35 (77%)
2/5 (40%)Crosses9/27 (33%)
27Throw-ins12
Duels
46Duels54
37/78 (47%)Ground duels41/78 (53%)
12/28 (43%)Aerial duels16/28 (57%)
4/23 (17%)Dribbles5/14 (36%)
4Dispossessed9
Defending
18Tackles23
83Tackles won70
7Interceptions8
32Clearances13
36Recoveries43
Discipline
14Fouls15
3Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
7Saves0
3Big saves0
10Goal kicks3
Forecast BSD engine
Who winsFreiburg to win (DNB) 76% · mkt 1.21
1X2Freiburg to win 64% · mkt 1.45
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 75%
CornersUnder 8.5 corners 51%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 63%
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · mkt 1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · mkt 1.15
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · mkt 1.68
1X2Draw 20% · mkt 4.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · mkt 1.53
1X2Motherwell to win 16% · mkt 5.92
Odds closing line
1X2consensus
6.25
4.60
Draw
1.42
Freiburg
Over / Under 2.5consensus
1.54
Over 2.5
2.35
Under 2.5
Over / Under 1.5consensus
1.15
Over 1.5
4.66
Under 1.5
Both teams to scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes
2.00
No
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
SC Freiburg to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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