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Mattia Croci-Torti
FC Lugano
Maccabi Tel Aviv
FC Lugano
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
126258 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
84.6%
-12.4 vs price
Draw
17.5 · implied 5.7%
10.9%
+5.2 vs price
Away
160.0 · implied 0.6%
4.7%
+4.1 vs price
Half time
725 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.5%
-13.5 vs price
Away
5.7 · implied 17.5%
8.7%
-8.9 vs price
Draw
8.2 · implied 12.2%
5.7%
-6.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
19295 EUR · live
Over
1.3 · implied 76.9%
66.7%
-10.3 vs price
Under
4.3 · implied 23.3%
33.4%
+10.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5580 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
98.3%
-0.7 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
1.7%
-2.1 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
30'
⚽
K. Behrens · assist Y. Cimignani1–0
Half-time · 1–0
47'
⚽
I. Shahar · assist R. Revivo1–1
54'
⚽
A. Grgić (pen)2–1
56'
🔁
S. A. Farchi ◂ E. Sokler
56'
🔁
N. Ben Harosh ◂ T. Asante
71'
🔁
D. Moncada ◂ K. Behrens
71'
🔁
M. Marques ◂ D. Dos Santos
81'
🔁
E. Pihlstrom ◂ R. Steffen
89'
🔁
A. Kendouci ◂ Y. Cimignani
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Mattia Croci-TortiKenny Miller 
Recent form
FC LuganoDANSÍ Runavík2-2
WHFC Zürich5-0
WHNSÍ Runavík2-0
WAGrasshopper Club Zürich4-1
WADukagjini5-1
Maccabi Tel AvivWACSKA Sofia3-1
LHCSKA Sofia0-3
WHSheriff Tiraspol1-0
WASheriff Tiraspol5-0
LAFK IMT Beograd0-1
Match facts
Stadium
AIL Arena
City
Lugano
Referee
Kickoff
20 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Conference League
FC Lugano
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
16
D. von Ballmoos
6.4
6
A. Papadopoulos
6.4
17
L. Mai
6.8
3
H. Delcroix
6.8
46
M. Zanotti
7.5
25
U. Bislimi
7.1
8
A. Grgić
7.6
14
A. Kendouci
↑ 89'
24
E. Pihlstrom
6.6
↑ 81'
26
M. Marques
7.0
↑ 71'
30
D. Moncada
6.8
↑ 71'
22
O. Melika
5.9
21
N. Ben Harosh
7.5
↑ 56'
5
M. Camara
6.5
13
R. Shlomo
7.1
3
R. Revivo
7.2
42
D. Peretz
6.1
28
I. Sissokho
6.8
36
I. Shahar
7.5
77
O. Davida
7.3
34
S. A. Farchi
6.2
↑ 56'
29
H. Varela
6.6
Substitutes
39GA. Ndiaye
28GF. Gebhardt
4DD. Kelvin
18DJ. Bichsel
21MY. Cimignani↓ 89'7.4
27MD. Dos Santos↓ 71'6.3
23MG. Ajdin
22MB. Castro
91FK. Behrens↓ 71'7.3
11FR. Steffen↓ 81'6.6
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
Substitutes
90GR. Mishpati
51GS. Saadia
6DT. Asante↓ 56'6.0
41DI. B. Hamo
25DS. Rosen
33MH. Layous
18MD. Glazer
30MI. Noy
60MI. B. Simon
9FE. Sokler↓ 56'6.7
19FE. Madmon
23FO. Azo
Coach: Kenny Miller
Top stats
41%Possession59%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
11Total shots11
2Shots on target1
3Big chances1
0Corners4
Shots
8Shots off target6
1Blocked shots4
6Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed1
Attack
11Touches in box20
38Final third entries64
2Offsides0
14Free kicks17
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
403Passes562
341Accurate passes491
19/53 (36%)Long balls50/77 (65%)
3/10 (30%)Crosses7/26 (27%)
16Throw-ins15
Duels
47Duels53
32/64 (50%)Ground duels32/64 (50%)
9/24 (38%)Aerial duels15/24 (63%)
1/5 (20%)Dribbles7/18 (39%)
5Dispossessed6
Defending
17Tackles9
82Tackles won67
8Interceptions5
20Clearances6
58Recoveries52
Discipline
17Fouls15
Goalkeeping
6Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 64 bookmakers
Who winsLugano to win (DNB) 62% · 1.56 @ forbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.48 @ Betway
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.83 @ hardrock
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.80 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ forbet
1X2Lugano to win 46% · 2.50 @ fonbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.95 @ hardrock
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
1X2M. Tel-Aviv to win 27% · 3.75 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.40 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.00
FC Lugano ▼
3.52
Draw ▲
3.39
Maccabi Tel Aviv ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.28
FC Lugano or Draw ▲
1.27
FC Lugano or Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.72
Draw or Maccabi Tel Aviv ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes ▲
1.98
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.12
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.27
Over 1.50 ▲
3.41
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.87
Over 2.50 ▲
1.85
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.16
Over 3.50 ▲
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.48
FC Lugano ▲
2.45
Maccabi Tel Aviv ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
8.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50
5.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.30
Over 7.50
3.25
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.54
Over 8.50
2.30
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.77
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.50
Over 10.50
1.45
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.90
Over 11.50
1.34
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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