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Gurban Gurbanov
Qarabağ FK
FC Twente
Qarabağ FK
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
FC Twente
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
823587 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
43.4%
-54.6 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
40.2%
+40.1 vs price
Draw
60.0 · implied 1.7%
16.8%
+15.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
251325 EUR · live
Under
1.23 · implied 81.3%
84.4%
+3.1 vs price
Over
5.4 · implied 18.5%
15.6%
-2.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2153 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
92.8%
+2.7 vs price
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
7.1%
-2.4 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
22'
R. Zerrouki · Foul
23'
B. Langa · Simulation
Half-time · 0–0
58'
S. Lobato · Foul
59'
⚽
K. Borges · assist M. Qurbanlı1–0
70'
🔁
P. Bicalho ◂ S. Lobato
70'
🔁
C. Makreckis ◂ M. Qurbanlı
70'
🔁
L. V. o. Hesselink ◂ R. Pröpper
70'
🔁
M. Pjaca ◂ S. Ørjasæter
76'
🔁
Dani Bolt ◂ B. Langa
79'
⚽
M. Pjaca · assist W. Weghorst1–1
86'
🔁
J. Montiel ◂ K. Borges
Full-time · 1–2
90'
M. Janković · Foul
90'+2
⚽
M. Bruns · assist M. Pjaca1–2
90'+4
B. Várkonyi · Foul
90'+5
🔁
A. Adelgaard ◂ R. Nijstad
91'
🔁
T. V. d. Belt ◂ D. Rots
92'
J. Mouaddib · Foul
94'
⚽
W. Weghorst · assist D. Weidmann1–3
97'
🔁
M. Kjølø ◂ D. Weidmann
106'
W. Weghorst · Foul
106'
M. Janković · Argument
109'
🔁
F. Thorvaldsen ◂ W. Weghorst
114'
⚽
Y. Taha1–4
114'
🔁
H. Cabrayilzada ◂ J. Mouaddib
114'
🔁
B. Mustafazada ◂ B. Huseynov
116'
Y. Taha
ET · 1–4
Coaches
Gurban GurbanovJohn van den Brom 
Recent form
Qarabağ FKWAFC Twente1-0
WHDynamo Kyiv2-0
LADynamo Kyiv0-1
DACSKA Sofia0-0
DHCSKA Sofia0-0
FC TwenteLHQarabağ FK0-1
WHPEC Zwolle3-1
DADAC 19043-3
LASC Heerenveen0-1
WHDAC 19046-0
Where to watch
ESPN
Match facts
Stadium
Tofiq Bəhramov
City
Baku
Kickoff
27 Aug, 16:15 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Highlights & clips
Qarabağ FK
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
FC Twente
23
M. Zlomislić
5.1
2
M. Silva
5.8
13
B. Mustafazada
↑ 114'
4
B. Várkonyi
6.1
18
Dani Bolt
5.6
↑ 76'
25
C. Makreckis
6.0
↑ 70'
8
M. Janković
6.1
21
O. Kashchuk
6.6
9
J. Montiel
6.3
↑ 86'
32
H. Cabrayilzada
↑ 114'
35
P. Bicalho
6.5
↑ 70'
1
L. Unnerstall
5.8
28
B. van Rooij
6.6
38
M. Bruns
8.0
7
M. Pjaca
8.0
↑ 70'
29
A. Adelgaard
6.8
↑ 90'
4
M. Kjølø
6.7
↑ 97'
6
R. Zerrouki
7.6
19
Y. Taha
8.3
20
T. V. d. Belt
6.9
↑ 91'
25
L. V. o. Hesselink
6.5
↑ 70'
17
F. Thorvaldsen
6.4
↑ 109'
Top stats
39%Possession61%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
9Total shots29
1Shots on target10
1Big chances5
0Corners9
Shots
4Shots off target8
4Blocked shots11
5Shots inside box18
4Shots outside box11
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored3
0Big chances missed2
Attack
14Touches in box56
65Final third entries135
2Offsides2
16Free kicks21
1Fouled in final third7
Passing
428Passes651
324Accurate passes551
31/92 (34%)Long balls57/95 (60%)
3/9 (33%)Crosses9/31 (29%)
21Throw-ins25
Duels
45Duels55
44/95 (46%)Ground duels51/95 (54%)
11/28 (39%)Aerial duels17/28 (61%)
5/19 (26%)Dribbles12/23 (52%)
5Dispossessed13
Defending
24Tackles19
58Tackles won53
11Interceptions7
40Clearances15
70Recoveries64
Discipline
21Fouls16
6Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves0
16Goal kicks10
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Twente to win 44% · 2.50 @ Bet365
Who winsTwente to win (DNB) 50% · 1.60 @ Betsson
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 3.00 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.80 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.95 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.52 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
1X2Qarabağ to win 31% · 3.35 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.00
Qarabağ FK
3.60
Draw
2.10
FC Twente
Double Chanceconsensus
1.62
Qarabağ FK or Draw
1.25
Qarabağ FK or FC Twente
1.33
Draw or FC Twente
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.31
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.35
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
3.90
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.12
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.73
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.30
Qarabağ FK
1.57
FC Twente
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.28
Over 7.50
3.04
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.52
Over 8.50
2.22
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.89
Over 9.50
1.82
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.37
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.99
Over 11.50
1.29
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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