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Niels Frederiksen
Lech Poznań
Jagiellonia Białystok
Lech Poznań
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1
Jagiellonia Białystok
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
101038 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
62.8%
-35.2 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
29.7%
+26.8 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.7%
+7.6 vs price
Half time
1124 EUR · live
Draw
1.13 · implied 88.5%
48.0%
-40.5 vs price
Home
8.6 · implied 11.6%
39.1%
+27.4 vs price
Away
14.0 · implied 7.1%
12.8%
+5.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
44932 EUR · live
Under
1.35 · implied 74.1%
54.5%
-19.6 vs price
Over
4.4 · implied 22.7%
45.5%
+22.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8057 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
92.5%
-4.6 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
7.6%
+4.8 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
43'
⚽
P. Rodríguez · assist J. Pereira1–0
Half-time · 1–1
45'+4
⚽
Y. Kobayashi · assist B. Vital1–1
46'
🔁
G. Montóia ◂ Y. Kobayashi
59'
🔁
F. Klynge ◂ S. Lozano
59'
🔁
K. Szmyt ◂ O. Sow
63'
🔁
F. Jagiełło ◂ G. Berggren
64'
🔁
Y. Agnero ◂ A. Sayyad
68'
🔁
H. Finndell ◂ E. Kozlowski
72'
🔁
L. Bengtsson ◂ L. Palma
73'
🔁
M. Ishak ◂ P. Rodríguez
80'
R. Conceição
80'
P. Wålemark · Argument
82'
🔁
Y. Sylla ◂ N. Prelec
83'
🔁
R. Gumny ◂ P. Wålemark
87'
⚽
R. Gumny · assist M. Gurgul2–1
87'
VAR
Goal check · W. Mońka
Full-time · 2–1
90'+2
H. Finndell · Foul
Coaches
Adrian Siemieniec 
Recent form
WAWidzew Łódź3-2
DAFC Thun2-2
WHFC Thun7-0
WAKlaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag5-0
WHPiast Gliwice3-0
WARaków Częstochowa5-2
WAFC Iberia 19992-1
WHFC Iberia 19994-0
DARangers1-1
LHWidzew Łódź0-2
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Enea Poznań
City
Poznan
Kickoff
03 Sep, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
1
M. Lis
6.2
2
J. Pereira
7.7
72
M. Skrzypczak
6.3
27
W. Mońka
6.5
15
M. Gurgul
6.5
22
R. Murawski
7.5
24
F. Jagiełło
6.7
↑ 63'
20
R. Gumny
7.7
↑ 83'
9
M. Ishak
6.7
↑ 73'
14
L. Bengtsson
6.3
↑ 72'
7
Y. Agnero
6.5
↑ 64'
50
S. Abramowicz
7.3
15
N. Wojtuszek
5.9
5
B. Vital
6.7
23
G. Montóia
7.0
↑ 46'
2
C. Polak
5.9
7
K. Szmyt
6.4
↑ 59'
6
T. Romanczuk
7.2
14
H. Finndell
6.6
↑ 68'
27
R. Conceição
7.2
19
F. Klynge
6.6
↑ 59'
17
Y. Sylla
6.5
↑ 82'
Substitutes
33GM. Pruchniewski
4DJ. Moutinho
59DT. Yegbe
21MP. Rodríguez↓ 73'8.1
77ML. Palma↓ 72'6.4
5MG. Berggren↓ 63'6.2
10MP. Wålemark↓ 83'6.2
17MA. Sayyad↓ 64'6.0
Coach: Niels Frederiksen
Top stats
48%Possession52%
1.78Expected goals (xG)0.48
16Total shots10
6Shots on target2
3Big chances0
5Corners2
Shots
5Shots off target4
5Blocked shots4
9Shots inside box3
7Shots outside box7
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
-0.82Goals prevented0.21
Attack
19Touches in box17
55Final third entries43
1Offsides3
20Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
410Passes455
330Accurate passes382
18/43 (42%)Long balls18/38 (47%)
1/13 (8%)Crosses4/12 (33%)
24Throw-ins10
Duels
43Duels57
24/56 (43%)Ground duels32/56 (57%)
7/16 (44%)Aerial duels9/16 (56%)
1/12 (8%)Dribbles7/10 (70%)
5Dispossessed3
Defending
6Tackles16
50Tackles won75
12Interceptions6
14Clearances30
44Recoveries42
Discipline
10Fouls20
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks7
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
Who winsLech to win (DNB) 74% · 1.32 @ Betano
1X2Lech to win 58%
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 1.48 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61%
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82%
1X2Draw 21%
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57%
1X2Jagiellonia to win 21%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61%
Odds consensus
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.45
Yes
2.58
No
Draw No Betconsensus
1.28
Lech Poznań
3.30
Jagiellonia Białystok
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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