Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Brazil's been ruthless in this stretch — three wins in five — and Australia? They're stuck in a rut with draws and losses.** This friendly's looking like a classic mismatch on paper. 🇧🇷
Australia are missing key defensive reinforcements (Burgess, Bos, Trewin all out), which doesn't help when you're already leaking goals. Brazil just put three past Scotland and beat Japan; they're in cruise control. Even without Neymar, this lineup screams quality.
Key storylines:
- **Casemiro and Fabinho** anchoring Brazil's midfield against an Australian side that's struggled to break down opponents lately
- Australia's backline depth being tested hard; **H. Souttar and A. Circati** will have their hands full with **Vinícius Jr. and Endrick** flying at them
- **M. Touré** leading Australia's attack will need service, but Brazil's defensive structure (Marquinhos, G. Magalhães) is tight
Expected lineups:
- **Australia**: P. Beach, A. Circati, H. Souttar, L. Herrington, A. Behich, N. Irankunda, J. Italiano, A. O'Neill, C. Metcalfe, J. Irvine, M. Touré
- **Brazil**: Alisson, D. Santos, Marquinhos, G. Magalhães, Danilo, Fabinho, Casemiro, B. Guimarães, Vinícius Jr., Endrick, Rayan
Prediction:
**Brazil 2–0 Australia.** Australia will hold on for a bit, but Brazil's class and form give them a clear edge. 🎯
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 86.7% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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