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Ignazio Abate
Torino
Monza
Torino
5-3-2 · 3-4-2-1
Monza
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
661889 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
55.4%
-42.7 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
34.0%
+33.9 vs price
Draw
50.0 · implied 2.0%
10.7%
+8.7 vs price
Half time
1522 EUR · live
Home
3.8 · implied 26.3%
58.4%
+32.0 vs price
Away
6.6 · implied 15.2%
33.1%
+17.9 vs price
Draw
1.78 · implied 56.2%
8.5%
-47.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
83865 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
81.7%
-17.3 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
18.3%
+17.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6124 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.5%
-4.5 vs price
Over
60.0 · implied 1.7%
5.5%
+3.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
37'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · A. Bakoune
38'
S. Kulenović · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
45'+3
⚽
D. Mota0–1
56'
🔁
D. Zapata ◂ S. Kulenović
56'
🔁
N. Vlašić ◂ G. Oristanio
64'
🔁
Z. Aboukhlal ◂ A. Cacciamani
64'
🔁
T. Anjorin ◂ A. Luongo
70'
🔁
A. Colpani ◂ O. Forson
70'
🔁
P. Cutrone ◂ D. Mota
76'
🔁
J. Ziółkowski ◂ Y. Maye
76'
🔁
S. Birindelli ◂ J. Robinson
79'
🔁
C. Adams ◂ A. Ismajli
80'
M. Folorunsho · Foul
Full-time · 0–1
90'
🔁
I. Touré ◂ E. Akinsanmiro
90'+4
VAR
Penalty not given after review · C. Adams
Coaches
Ignazio AbateIvan Jurić 
Recent form
TorinoLASassuolo1-2
LHAC Milan1-2
WHCarrarese1-0
DAUS Avellino 19121-1
WHVado3-1
MonzaLHUdinese2-3
LAInter1-4
WHUS Avellino 19123-0
DHPadova3-3
LHAris Thessaloniki1-3
Where to watch
DGO
YouTube - SportyNet
DAZN
DAZN
Premier Sports 1 HD
Arena Sport 1 HR
Premier Sports 1 HD
Italia 1
Ziggo GoZiggo SportZiggo Sport 3
Sport TV2
Italia 1
Match facts
Highlights & clips
Torino
5-3-2 · 3-4-2-1
Monza
20
L. Perri
7.8
29
N. Fortini
6.7
23
S. Coco
7.1
19
C. Adams
6.5
↑ 79'
15
P. Comuzzo
6.9
14
T. Anjorin
7.3
↑ 64'
10
N. Vlašić
7.0
↑ 56'
7
Z. Aboukhlal
6.8
↑ 64'
66
G. Gineitis
6.8
18
G. Simeone
6.3
91
D. Zapata
6.2
↑ 56'
20
D. Thiam
6.6
60
E. Kouadio
7.4
3
L. Lucchesi
7.4
4
J. Ziółkowski
6.7
↑ 76'
24
A. Bakoune
7.2
27
I. Touré
6.6
↑ 90'
90
M. Folorunsho
7.3
7
R. Mangas
7.5
28
A. Colpani
6.5
↑ 70'
19
S. Birindelli
6.5
↑ 76'
10
P. Cutrone
6.5
↑ 70'
Top stats
54%Possession46%
1.43Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.91
16Total shots19
0Shots on target8
2Big chances3
8Corners8
Shots
8Shots off target7
8Blocked shots4
11Shots inside box13
5Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork2
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed2
Attack
31Touches in box35
60Final third entries48
0Offsides3
12Free kicks18
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
382Passes330
306Accurate passes258
20/54 (37%)Long balls16/52 (31%)
6/24 (25%)Crosses4/17 (24%)
23Throw-ins23
Duels
46Duels54
37/81 (46%)Ground duels44/81 (54%)
17/37 (46%)Aerial duels20/37 (54%)
5/15 (33%)Dribbles9/21 (43%)
11Dispossessed8
Defending
20Tackles21
55Tackles won57
9Interceptions11
33Clearances37
50Recoveries51
Discipline
18Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
7Saves0
3Big saves0
6Goal kicks5
2Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsTorino to win (DNB) 81% · 1.25 @ 10bet
1X2Torino to win 52% · 2.12 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.15 @ William Hill
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.29 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.30 @ 10bet
1X2Monza to win 21% · 5.00 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.67
Torino
3.65
Draw
5.07
Monza
Double Chanceconsensus
1.15
Torino or Draw
1.24
Torino or Monza
2.10
Draw or Monza
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.95
Yes
1.78
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.15
YES
1.62
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.65
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.01
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.62
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.50
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.23
Torino
3.90
Monza
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.56
Over 7.50
2.29
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.91
Over 8.50
1.80
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.53
Over 9.50
1.45
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Torino to avoid defeat
✗
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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