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Simon Weaver
Harrogate Town
Barrow AFC
Harrogate Town
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Barrow AFC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
17877 EUR · live
Home
1.05 · implied 95.2%
77.9%
-17.3 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
17.5%
+13.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.0%
+4.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
3491 EUR · live
Over
3.6 · implied 27.8%
52.3%
+24.5 vs price
Under
1.38 · implied 72.5%
47.7%
-24.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
336 EUR · live
Under
1.24 · implied 80.6%
72.6%
-8.0 vs price
Over
5.4 · implied 18.5%
27.4%
+8.9 vs price
5 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
15'
⚽
E. Bristow1–0
35'
⚽
C. Heffernan1–1
42'
B. Hobson
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
K. Digie ◂ X. Benjamin
57'
🔁
S. McCoulsky ◂ B. Dolaghan
57'
G. Walker
58'
🔁
G. Thomson ◂ W. McGowan
58'
🔁
B. N. Johnson ◂ M. Williams
62'
🔁
B. Whitfield ◂ T. Latty-Fairweather
64'
L. Barnes
68'
🔁
A. Reid ◂ D. Rose
68'
🔁
K. Ward ◂ R. Harper
74'
🔁
C. McGuckin ◂ L. Barnes
77'
🔁
O. Pimlott ◂ E. Bristow
85'
⚽
C. Heffernan2–1
86'
🔁
I. Cameron ◂ G. Walker
Full-time · 2–2
90'+7
Unknown
90'+7
⚽
I. Cameron · assist K. Ward2–2
Coaches
Adam Murray 
Recent form
WAWealdstone3-1
WHSolihull Moors5-2
WHScarborough2-1
WHScarborough Athletic2-1
DHDoncaster Rovers2-2
LHHornchurch1-2
LAHartlepool United0-2
WAMorecambe1-0
WHBlackpool2-0
DARadcliffe FC0-0
Match facts
Stadium
EnviroVent Stadium
City
Harrogate
Kickoff
22 Aug, 11:45 UTC
Competition
National League
Highlights & clips
1
M. Oxley
24
L. Cass
31
C. Heffernan
⚽1
4
A. Baptiste
2
L. Payne
35
C. McGuckin
↑ 74'
7
G. Thomson
↑ 58'
54
O. Pimlott
↑ 77'
44
B. N. Johnson
↑ 58'
15
B. Hobson
9
S. McCoulsky
↑ 57'
1
B. Winterbottom
2
M. Oakley
6
K. Digie
↑ 46'
25
P. Kalambayi
22
D. Amos
9
A. Reid
↑ 68'
34
B. Whitfield
↑ 62'
10
K. Ward
↑ 68'
11
G. Walker
18
I. Cameron
↑ 86'
27
I. Marriott
Substitutes
16GR. Watson
14DM. Williams↓ 58'
5DT. Bradbury
11MW. McGowan↓ 58'
29ML. Barnes↓ 74'
3ME. Bristow↓ 77'
23FB. Dolaghan↓ 57'
Coach: Simon Weaver
Substitutes
33DX. Benjamin↓ 46'
4DM. Williams↓ 58'
36DT. Latty-Fairweather↓ 62'
26MR. Harper↓ 68'
8MS. Smith
32FD. Rose↓ 68'
7FO. Crankshaw
Coach: Adam Murray
Top stats
46%Possession54%
0.71Expected goals (xG)0.72
7Total shots10
5Shots on target3
3Corners6
Shots
1Shots off target5
1Blocked shots2
5Shots inside box9
2Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
9Touches in box21
2Offsides1
4Free kicks2
Passing
288Passes300
191Accurate passes197
33/74 (44%)Long balls33/71 (46%)
1/6 (16%)Crosses7/21 (33%)
30Throw-ins37
Duels
42Duels57
45/103 (44%)Ground duels57/99 (58%)
45/107 (42%)Aerial duels62/107 (58%)
3/5 (60%)Dribbles4/7 (57%)
8Dispossessed6
Defending
3Tackles3
15Interceptions9
49Clearances28
Discipline
12Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
9Goal kicks3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 46 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.36 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.60 @ Unibet
1X2Harrogate to win 44% · 2.48 @ Unibet
1X2Barrow to win 30% · 3.46 @ 1xBet
Who winsHarrogate to win (DNB) 56% · 1.73 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.40 @ Betway
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.14 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.06
Harrogate Town
3.52
Draw
3.10
Barrow AFC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.31
Harrogate Town or Draw
1.25
Harrogate Town or Barrow AFC
1.62
Draw or Barrow AFC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.09
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
11.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.69
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.76
Over 2.50
1.95
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.90
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.32
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.65
Harrogate Town
2.10
Barrow AFC
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.08
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50
2.78
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.65
Over 9.50
2.12
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.05
Over 10.50
1.70
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.62
Over 11.50
1.40
Under 11.50
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.85
Odd
1.83
Even
Team Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.30
Over 0.50
3.20
Under 0.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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