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Scott Davies
Aldershot Town
Harrogate Town
Aldershot Town
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Harrogate Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
27000 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.0%
-13.0 vs price
Away
60.0 · implied 1.7%
10.0%
+8.4 vs price
Draw
38.0 · implied 2.6%
4.8%
+2.2 vs price
Half time
260 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.3%
-4.7 vs price
Draw
2.12 · implied 47.2%
5.0%
-42.2 vs price
Away
2.9 · implied 34.5%
0.0%
-34.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
3159 EUR · live
Under
6.6 · implied 15.2%
65.0%
+49.9 vs price
Over
1.17 · implied 85.5%
34.9%
-50.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
219 EUR · live
Under
1.29 · implied 77.5%
55.7%
-21.8 vs price
Over
4.5 · implied 22.2%
43.8%
+21.6 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
24'
⚽
T. Abrahams · assist M. Dinanga1–0
31'
⚽
T. Abrahams · assist K. Oshilaja2–0
40'
C. Lawless
Half-time · 3–0
45'+3
⚽
T. Abrahams · assist T. Dyce3–0
46'
🔁
M. Williams ◂ L. Payne
46'
🔁
J. Hmami ◂ B. Dolaghan
48'
B. N. Johnson
53'
⚽
J. Hmami3–1
55'
S. McCoulsky
71'
🔁
W. McGowan ◂ G. Thomson
71'
🔁
C. McGuckin ◂ S. McCoulsky
72'
🔁
M. Wyllie ◂ T. Abrahams
79'
🔁
B. Peart ◂ M. Dinanga
85'
🔁
K. Frimpong ◂ C. Lawless
Full-time · 3–1
90'+4
L. Cass
Coaches
Scott DaviesSimon Weaver 
Recent form
Aldershot TownDAKidderminster Harriers1-1
LHHartlepool United0-1
WABoston United1-0
WABraintree Town2-1
WAHanwell Town2-0
Harrogate TownDHBarrow AFC2-2
WAWealdstone3-1
WHSolihull Moors5-2
WHScarborough2-1
WHScarborough Athletic2-1
Match facts
Stadium
Recreation Ground
City
Aldershot
Referee
Kickoff
28 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
National League
Highlights & clips
Aldershot Town
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Harrogate Town
1
N. Hayes
17
T. Dyce
5
K. Oshilaja
12
M. Stickland
18
S. Adom-Malaki
2
M. Efete
6
D. Odusanya
15
K. Frimpong
↑ 85'
10
Tuma
21
B. Peart
↑ 79'
20
M. Wyllie
↑ 72'
1
M. Oxley
24
L. Cass
4
A. Baptiste
5
T. Bradbury
14
M. Williams
↑ 46'
24
W. McGowan
↑ 71'
44
B. N. Johnson
3
E. Bristow
35
C. McGuckin
↑ 71'
15
B. Hobson
8
J. Hmami
↑ 46'
Substitutes
13GC. Patmore
16DJ. Matton
24DE. Oladunjoye
23MC. Lawless↓ 85'
27MJ. Alves
7FT. Abrahams↓ 72'
9FM. Dinanga↓ 79'
Coach: Scott Davies
Substitutes
16GR. Watson
2DL. Payne↓ 46'
6DW. Burrell
7MG. Thomson↓ 71'
54MO. Pimlott
23FB. Dolaghan↓ 46'
9FS. McCoulsky↓ 71'
Coach: Simon Weaver
Top stats
40%Possession60%
1.17Expected goals (xG)1.0
9Total shots13
4Shots on target3
7Corners5
Shots
3Shots off target4
2Blocked shots6
8Shots inside box6
1Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
14Touches in box23
1Offsides1
7Free kicks2
Passing
237Passes452
153Accurate passes336
29/60 (48%)Long balls34/64 (53%)
3/8 (37%)Crosses8/20 (40%)
15Throw-ins36
Duels
57Duels43
55/96 (57%)Ground duels42/97 (43%)
48/84 (57%)Aerial duels36/84 (43%)
5/9 (56%)Dribbles9/15 (60%)
8Dispossessed6
Defending
2Tackles1
18Interceptions12
35Clearances23
Discipline
9Fouls24
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
7Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Harrogate to win 46% · 2.50 @ William Hill
Who winsAldershot to win (DNB) 67% · 2.25 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.75 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.33 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.87 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.75 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.19 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.48 @ 10bet
1X2Aldershot to win 28% · 3.40 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.90
Aldershot Town
3.50
Draw
2.15
Harrogate Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.62
Aldershot Town or Draw
1.22
Aldershot Town or Harrogate Town
1.33
Draw or Harrogate Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.30
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.60
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.37
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.62
Over 2.50
2.20
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.54
Over 3.50
1.46
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.84
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.15
Aldershot Town
1.61
Harrogate Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.27
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.89
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.62
Over 9.50
2.17
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.00
Over 10.50
1.74
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.53
Over 11.50
1.43
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.45
Aldershot Town
2.30
Draw
2.63
Harrogate Town
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.21
Aldershot Town
2.60
Draw
2.38
Harrogate Town
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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