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Gary Waddock
Wealdstone
Carlisle United
Wealdstone
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Carlisle United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
16328 EUR · live
Away
260.0 · implied 0.4%
81.6%
+81.2 vs price
Draw
1.08 · implied 92.6%
11.4%
-81.2 vs price
Home
14.0 · implied 7.1%
7.0%
-0.1 vs price
Half time
467 EUR · live
Away
1.13 · implied 88.5%
93.1%
+4.6 vs price
Home
5.0 · implied 20.0%
5.1%
-14.9 vs price
Draw
8.8 · implied 11.4%
1.5%
-9.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6101 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
68.4%
-27.8 vs price
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
32.4%
+23.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
702 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
96.7%
+0.5 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
3.1%
-0.7 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
22'
🔁
M. Feeney ◂ T. Mullarkey
34'
⚽
D. Ajiboye0–1
Half-time · 0–1
58'
🔁
S. Wearne ◂ D. Ajiboye
58'
🔁
J. Luamba ◂ R. Linney
58'
🔁
J. Williams ◂ L. Duru
61'
M. Barrett
61'
G. Kelly
66'
🔁
J. Harris ◂ L. Norris
66'
🔁
D. Chesters ◂ O. Olomola
69'
🔁
J. Newton ◂ J. Mundle-Smith
75'
🔁
A. F. Clarke ◂ M. Barrett
86'
B. Nicholson
89'
M. Azeez
Full-time · 1–1
90'
⚽
A. Henry1–1
90'+4
S. Wearne
Coaches
Gary WaddockRobert Elliot 
Recent form
WealdstoneLAWorthing FC0-1
LHHarrogate Town1-3
DAAFC Fylde2-2
WASlough Town2-0
WHAFC Wimbledon1-0
Carlisle UnitedWHHornchurch4-1
DAYeovil Town1-1
LHWorthing FC2-3
WADerby County U213-0
LHSalford City0-2
Match facts
Stadium
St Georges Stadium
City
Ruislip
Kickoff
28 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
National League
Highlights & clips
Wealdstone
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Carlisle United
1
D. Baptiste
2
A. F. Clarke
↑ 75'
5
D. Conroy
22
C. McAvoy
3
J. Newton
↑ 69'
18
K. Smith
15
A. Henry
⚽1
4
J. Wells-Morrison
7
J. Harris
↑ 66'
14
M. Obiero
11
D. Chesters
↑ 66'
1
A. Desbois
22
J. Williams
↑ 58'
5
M. Feeney
↑ 22'
15
B. Nicholson
12
R. Galvin
6
M. Azeez
11
J. Luamba
↑ 58'
18
J. Ellis
4
H. Bunker
20
S. Wearne
↑ 58'
9
G. Kelly
Substitutes
13GE. Johnson
23DJ. Mundle-Smith↓ 69'
6DM. Barrett↓ 75'
50DJ. Mullins
9FO. Olomola↓ 66'
7FL. Norris↓ 66'
7FW. Waweru
Coach: Gary Waddock
Substitutes
13GA. Mair
40DT. Mullarkey↓ 22'
17DL. Duru↓ 58'
7MD. Ajiboye↓ 58'
10MR. Linney↓ 58'
19ML. Skinner
25MJ. Lowes
Coach: Robert Elliot
Top stats
49%Possession51%
2.01Expected goals (xG)1.48
14Total shots8
5Shots on target5
6Corners1
Shots
3Shots off target2
6Blocked shots1
8Shots inside box5
6Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
18Touches in box17
0Offsides0
2Free kicks3
Passing
398Passes426
302Accurate passes327
19/58 (32%)Long balls32/59 (54%)
5/21 (23%)Crosses4/15 (26%)
23Throw-ins18
Duels
51Duels49
32/66 (48%)Ground duels34/64 (53%)
24/42 (57%)Aerial duels18/42 (43%)
5/6 (83%)Dribbles3/6 (50%)
8Dispossessed5
Defending
1Tackles0
21Interceptions16
43Clearances35
Discipline
13Fouls8
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
6Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Carlisle to win 48% · 2.38 @ 10bet
Who winsCarlisle to win (DNB) 56% · 1.41 @ Betsson
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.50 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.80 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.44 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.75 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.00 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
1X2Wealdstone to win 27% · 3.80 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.70
Wealdstone
3.70
Draw
1.80
Carlisle United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.86
Wealdstone or Draw
1.20
Wealdstone or Carlisle United
1.22
Draw or Carlisle United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.51
Yes
2.35
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
13.35
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
4.67
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.57
Over 2.50
2.30
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.40
Over 3.50
1.51
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.25
Over 4.50
1.18
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.80
Wealdstone
1.40
Carlisle United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.58
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.51
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50
1.97
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.21
Over 10.50
1.60
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.93
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
4.00
Wealdstone
2.38
Draw
2.40
Carlisle United
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.70
Wealdstone
2.70
Draw
2.20
Carlisle United
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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