← All matches
Paul Hurst
Boston United
Hornchurch
Boston United
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Hornchurch
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
53894 EUR · live
Away
1.05 · implied 95.2%
63.3%
-31.9 vs price
Home
950.0 · implied 0.1%
29.1%
+28.9 vs price
Draw
23.0 · implied 4.3%
7.6%
+3.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
2123 EUR · live
Over
1.91 · implied 52.4%
74.1%
+21.7 vs price
Under
2.06 · implied 48.5%
25.9%
-22.6 vs price
3 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
13'
J. Powell
33'
R. Inniss
34'
⚽
K. Aboh · assist T. Agyemang1–0
41'
⚽
J. Rooney1–1
42'
⚽
S. Sachdev · assist K. Aboh2–1
Half-time · 2–1
46'
🔁
A. Rowe ◂ D. Poleon
46'
🔁
C. Pegrum ◂ J. Powell
79'
🔁
B. Kelman ◂ H. Hearn
80'
⚽
A. Rowe · assist B. Kelman2–2
81'
🔁
L. John-Lewis ◂ T. Cursons
81'
🔁
C. McBride ◂ K. Aboh
87'
⚽
B. Kelman2–3
88'
🔁
K. Mauro ◂ L. Shipley
89'
🔁
J. Holmes ◂ C. Teale
Full-time · 2–3
90'
🔁
G. Ward ◂ S. Sachdev
Coaches
Paul HurstDaryl McMahon 
Recent form
Boston UnitedLABoreham Wood1-2
WHAltrincham FC1-0
WASolihull Moors2-0
LHAldershot Town0-1
LAHednesford Town0-2
HornchurchWHWoking1-0
LACarlisle United1-4
WABarrow AFC2-1
WHKidderminster Harriers3-0
WHCoventry City U212-0
Where to watch
DAZN UK
Match facts
Stadium
Boston Community Stadium
City
Boston
Kickoff
31 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
National League
Highlights & clips
Boston United
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Hornchurch
13
L. Chadwick
23
J. Holmes
↑ 89'
6
N. Canavan
20
J. Rooney
5
G. Ward
↑ 90'
8
G. Holohan
28
T. Agyemang
27
K. Mauro
↑ 88'
21
C. McBride
↑ 81'
14
L. John-Lewis
↑ 81'
18
L. Wheeldon
1
A. Nasta
12
J. Kizzi
3
R. Inniss
22
F. L. Edwards
19
S. Ling
15
C. Pegrum
↑ 46'
8
T. Wraight
7
J. Walker
25
M. Bracking
26
A. Rowe
↑ 46'
24
B. Kelman
↑ 79'
Substitutes
32GL. Faxon
3DL. Shipley↓ 88'
4DC. Teale↓ 89'
11MK. Aboh↓ 81'
2MS. Sachdev↓ 90'
22MB. Hammond
9FT. Cursons↓ 81'
Coach: Paul Hurst
Substitutes
13GR. Byrne
14DT. Dallison
4MJ. Powell↓ 46'
17MN. Ferguson
24MA. Yearwood
21FD. Poleon↓ 46'
9FH. Hearn↓ 79'
Coach: Daryl McMahon
Top stats
59%Possession41%
1.86Expected goals (xG)2.82
16Total shots16
6Shots on target6
10Corners5
Shots
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots7
8Shots inside box14
8Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
28Touches in box30
3Offsides0
3Free kicks0
Passing
435Passes290
355Accurate passes226
33/56 (58%)Long balls9/29 (31%)
8/19 (42%)Crosses4/12 (33%)
26Throw-ins22
Duels
51Duels48
44/80 (55%)Ground duels36/81 (44%)
26/56 (46%)Aerial duels30/56 (54%)
8/12 (67%)Dribbles8/11 (73%)
3Dispossessed6
Defending
0Tackles0
8Interceptions8
23Clearances22
Discipline
6Fouls15
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
11Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.95 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ Bet365
1X2Boston to win 47% · 2.40 @ William Hill
Who winsBoston to win (DNB) 59% · 1.48 @ Betsson
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.60 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.10 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.32 @ Pinnacle
1X2Hornchurch to win 26% · 3.75 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.49 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.95
Boston United
3.38
Draw
3.40
Hornchurch
Double Chanceconsensus
1.23
Boston United or Draw
1.24
Boston United or Hornchurch
1.75
Draw or Hornchurch
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.00
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.51
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50
1.85
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.23
Over 3.50
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.36
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.46
Boston United
2.50
Hornchurch
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.25
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.54
Over 8.50
2.31
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.90
Over 9.50
1.81
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.45
Over 10.50
1.48
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.22
Over 11.50
1.26
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.60
Boston United
2.15
Draw
4.00
Hornchurch
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.34
Boston United
2.45
Draw
3.60
Hornchurch
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.