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Neil Gibson
Altrincham FC
Eastleigh
Altrincham FC
4-3-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Eastleigh
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
11562 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
74.0%
-24.1 vs price
Draw
20.0 · implied 5.0%
14.7%
+9.7 vs price
Away
490.0 · implied 0.2%
12.8%
+12.6 vs price
Half time
358 EUR · live
Home
1.25 · implied 80.0%
70.1%
-9.9 vs price
Draw
1.24 · implied 80.6%
25.2%
-55.5 vs price
Away
9.2 · implied 10.9%
4.5%
-6.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
2652 EUR · live
Over
1.38 · implied 72.5%
66.1%
-6.4 vs price
Under
3.6 · implied 27.8%
34.0%
+6.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4907 EUR · live
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
64.9%
-22.1 vs price
Over
7.2 · implied 13.9%
35.1%
+21.2 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
8'
J. Cousins
13'
⚽
T. Crawford · assist A. Barlow1–0
32'
⚽
J. Lundstram1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
D. Rankine ◂ N. Akoto
55'
⚽
L. Humbles · assist C. Kirk2–1
70'
🔁
K. Reddin ◂ C. Kirk
70'
🔁
K. Hemmings ◂ J. Knowles
71'
🔁
W. Randall ◂ M. Dickov
76'
🔁
I. Duku ◂ O. Hawkins
81'
A. Blair
85'
🔁
R. L. White ◂ A. Barlow
85'
K. Hemmings
87'
🔁
R. Johnson ◂ N. Khumbeni
87'
🔁
I. Bakare ◂ T. Dobson-Ventura
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Neil GibsonMatt Gray 
Recent form
Altrincham FCWAForest Green Rovers2-1
WHFC Halifax Town2-1
LABoston United0-1
LASutton United0-1
LHSouthend United1-3
EastleighDHAldershot Town1-1
WAHartlepool United1-0
WHScunthorpe United3-2
LAKidderminster Harriers0-1
WHGateshead2-1
Match facts
Stadium
Moss Lane
City
Altrincham
Kickoff
04 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
National League
Highlights & clips
Altrincham FC
4-3-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Eastleigh
1
O. Evans
14
M. Kosylo
2
L. Banks
5
J. Southern-Cooper
15
S. Taylor
8
L. Humbles
⚽1
22
T. Crawford
⚽1
7
O. Khan
21
R. L. White
↑ 85'
20
K. Reddin
↑ 70'
28
K. Hemmings
↑ 70'
1
N. Townsend
17
D. Rankine
↑ 46'
6
T. Eweka
5
I. Bakare
↑ 87'
27
R. Johnson
↑ 87'
4
H. Sidwell
24
J. Cousins
11
A. Blair
8
J. Lundstram
⚽1
10
W. Randall
↑ 71'
9
I. Duku
↑ 76'
Substitutes
13GA. Firth
24DS. Barnes
23MC. Kirk↓ 70'
10MA. Barlow↓ 85'
4MJ. Hinchy
12MK. Breckin
11FJ. Knowles↓ 70'
Coach: Neil Gibson
Substitutes
15GJ. Jeffries
14DN. Akoto↓ 46'
18DT. Dobson-Ventura↓ 87'
16DA. Pierre
7MM. Dickov↓ 71'
21MN. Khumbeni↓ 87'
12FO. Hawkins↓ 76'
Coach: Matt Gray
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.43Expected goals (xG)1.54
11Total shots10
5Shots on target3
1Corners4
Shots
3Shots off target3
2Blocked shots4
7Shots inside box5
4Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork0
Attack
21Touches in box19
2Offsides0
3Free kicks2
Passing
495Passes422
400Accurate passes320
28/64 (43%)Long balls20/53 (37%)
3/11 (27%)Crosses9/29 (31%)
21Throw-ins21
Duels
48Duels51
48/97 (49%)Ground duels49/99 (49%)
13/30 (43%)Aerial duels17/30 (57%)
6/9 (67%)Dribbles5/8 (63%)
10Dispossessed4
Defending
0Tackles0
20Interceptions14
37Clearances16
Discipline
6Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
12Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.32 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365
Who winsAltrincham to win (DNB) 64% · 1.55 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.95 @ 10bet
1X2Altrincham to win 45% · 2.50 @ William Hill
1X2Eastleigh to win 28% · 3.46 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.03
Altrincham FC
3.40
Draw
3.20
Eastleigh
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Altrincham FC or Draw
1.25
Altrincham FC or Eastleigh
1.65
Draw or Eastleigh
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.61
Yes
2.15
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
10.80
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.90
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
1.99
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.80
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.44
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.53
Altrincham FC
2.38
Eastleigh
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.13
Over 7.50
4.35
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
2.93
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.60
Over 9.50
2.21
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.00
Over 10.50
1.75
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.51
Over 11.50
1.46
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.60
Altrincham FC
2.20
Draw
3.65
Eastleigh
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.38
Altrincham FC
2.53
Draw
3.30
Eastleigh
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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