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Craig Mahon
AFC Fylde
Worthing FC
AFC Fylde
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Worthing FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
77 EUR · live
Under
1.27 · implied 78.7%
95.1%
+16.4 vs price
Over
5.0 · implied 20.0%
3.8%
-16.2 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
16'
⚽
J. Marquez · assist D. Hutchinson0–1
Half-time · 0–1
60'
⚽
L. Thomas · assist H. Broad1–1
62'
🔁
R. Moulton ◂ D. Hutchinson
62'
🔁
A. Nathaniel-George ◂ R. Carter
65'
R. Aguiar
68'
🔁
D. Mayor ◂ G. Olley
69'
🔁
O. Godziemski ◂ J. Marquez
69'
🔁
S. Packham ◂ R. Aguiar
70'
S. Packham
73'
⚽
L. Thomas2–1
79'
A. Nathaniel-George
80'
🔁
L. Butterfield ◂ E. Mitchell
89'
⚽
R. d. Graft2–2
Full-time · 2–2
90'
L. Thomas
Coaches
Adam Hinshelwood 
Recent form
WASolihull Moors3-1
WHForest Green Rovers2-0
LAWoking2-3
WATamworth2-1
DHWealdstone2-2
LHBoreham Wood2-3
LATamworth2-3
WHWealdstone1-0
LHForest Green Rovers1-2
WACarlisle United3-2
Match facts
Stadium
Mill Farm
City
Wesham
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
National League
Highlights & clips
1
Z. Jones
29
A. Drewe
15
W. Lancaster
17
C. Whelan
31
A. Lewis
18
T. Upton
6
C. Merrie
16
L. Butterfield
↑ 80'
7
L. Thomas
⚽2
10
D. Mayor
↑ 68'
3
H. Broad
13
T. Seymour
2
J. Colbran
12
H. Ransom
6
J. Moore
3
C. Adjetey-Brew
4
J. Wadham
16
S. Packham
↑ 69'
7
R. d. Graft
⚽1
11
A. Nathaniel-George
↑ 62'
26
R. Moulton
↑ 62'
19
O. Godziemski
↑ 69'
Substitutes
25GP. Boyes
24DC. Meadowcroft
5DM. Taylor
14MG. Olley↓ 68'
4ME. Mitchell↓ 80'
22MJ. Morris
16MB. Jackson
Coach: Craig Mahon
Substitutes
32GG. D. L. Cruz
10MD. Hutchinson↓ 62'
15MR. Aguiar↓ 69'
18MO. G. Spicer
23FR. Carter↓ 62'
21FJ. Marquez↓ 69'
9FW. Makowski
Coach: Adam Hinshelwood
Top stats
58%Possession42%
1.82Expected goals (xG)2.1
11Total shots14
5Shots on target7
9Corners2
Shots
4Shots off target3
2Blocked shots4
7Shots inside box9
4Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
18Touches in box23
4Offsides2
1Free kicks4
Passing
578Passes368
494Accurate passes305
21/37 (56%)Long balls18/37 (48%)
6/15 (40%)Crosses4/6 (66%)
18Throw-ins21
Duels
52Duels48
48/88 (55%)Ground duels41/88 (47%)
6/14 (43%)Aerial duels8/14 (57%)
10/12 (83%)Dribbles4/6 (67%)
6Dispossessed12
Defending
1Tackles0
12Interceptions14
24Clearances24
Discipline
14Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
3Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.30 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 2.62 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.81 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.47 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.73 @ William Hill
1X2Fylde to win 52% · 2.10 @ William Hill
Who winsFylde to win (DNB) 63% · 1.39 @ Betano
1X2Draw 24% · 2.80 @ Unibet
1X2Worthing to win 24% · 3.90 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.75
AFC Fylde
3.76
Draw
3.70
Worthing FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
AFC Fylde or Draw
1.18
AFC Fylde or Worthing FC
1.89
Draw or Worthing FC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.44
Yes
2.57
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.12
Over 1.50
5.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.49
Over 2.50
2.44
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.25
Over 3.50
1.57
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.00
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.38
AFC Fylde
2.85
Worthing FC
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.46
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.50
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50
1.94
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.26
Over 10.50
1.57
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.03
Over 11.50
1.30
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.25
AFC Fylde
2.44
Draw
4.00
Worthing FC
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.08
AFC Fylde
2.76
Draw
3.75
Worthing FC
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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