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Daryl McMahon
Hornchurch
Forest Green Rovers
Hornchurch
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Forest Green Rovers
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
6002 EUR · live
Home
12.5 · implied 8.0%
63.7%
+55.7 vs price
Away
1.42 · implied 70.4%
29.9%
-40.5 vs price
Draw
4.3 · implied 23.3%
6.5%
-16.8 vs price
3 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
8'
⚽
R. Rees · assist S. Etaluku0–1
20'
H. Hearn
25'
🔁
H. Sandat ◂ H. Hearn
30'
J. Walker
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
J. Powell ◂ C. Pegrum
61'
J. Clarke
71'
🔁
A. Yearwood ◂ M. Bracking
74'
H. Sandat
78'
🔁
B. Kelman ◂ J. Walker
78'
🔁
K. Mitchell ◂ K. Kelly
78'
🔁
O. Ewing ◂ R. Rees
80'
🔁
D. Poleon ◂ F. Edwards
86'
🔁
G. N. Kircough ◂ S. Etaluku
Full-time · 0–1
90'+3
🔁
D. Mellor ◂ J. Clarke
Coaches
Daryl McMahonRobbie Savage 
Recent form
HornchurchWABoston United3-2
WHWoking1-0
LACarlisle United1-4
WABarrow AFC2-1
WHKidderminster Harriers3-0
Forest Green RoversLHAltrincham FC1-2
LAAFC Fylde0-2
LHBoreham Wood0-3
WAWorthing FC2-1
WHFC Halifax Town3-2
Match facts
Stadium
Hornchurch Stadium
City
Hornchurch
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
National League
Highlights & clips
Hornchurch
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Forest Green Rovers
1
A. Nasta
19
S. Ling
3
R. Inniss
12
J. Kizzi
22
F. Edwards
17
A. Yearwood
↑ 71'
8
T. Wraight
18
M. Weston
4
J. Powell
↑ 46'
24
B. Kelman
↑ 78'
11
H. Sandat
↑ 25'
1
E. Ross
2
K. Abrefa
26
F. Mabete
4
K. Ajayi
27
F. Sass
6
T. Campbell
4
J. Clarke
9
D. Mellor
↑ 90'
7
K. McAllister
17
O. Ewing
↑ 78'
29
K. Mitchell
↑ 78'
Substitutes
13GR. Byrne
6DT. Dallison
14MC. Pegrum↓ 46'
25MM. Bracking↓ 71'
26MA. Rowe
9FH. Hearn↓ 25'
7FJ. Walker↓ 78'
Coach: Daryl McMahon
Substitutes
12GL. McNicholas
25DG. Kircough
25MK. Kelly↓ 78'
20MS. Etaluku↓ 86'
8MN. Haughton
14MO. Patrick
10FR. Rees↓ 78'
Coach: Robbie Savage
Top stats
51%Possession49%
1.52Expected goals (xG)0.79
15Total shots13
4Shots on target3
6Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target6
4Blocked shots4
9Shots inside box7
6Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
17Touches in box10
1Offsides2
3Free kicks3
Passing
284Passes261
199Accurate passes174
25/55 (45%)Long balls21/51 (41%)
5/8 (62%)Crosses5/11 (45%)
36Throw-ins24
Duels
47Duels52
41/93 (44%)Ground duels52/94 (55%)
30/57 (53%)Aerial duels27/57 (47%)
6/7 (86%)Dribbles4/5 (80%)
10Dispossessed2
Defending
2Tackles0
11Interceptions12
34Clearances46
Discipline
15Fouls13
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
9Goal kicks13
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.37 @ 1xBet
1X2Forest Green to win 43% · 2.60 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.75 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.86 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ Bet365
Who winsHornchurch to win (DNB) 59% · 2.45 @ Bwin
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.73 @ Pinnacle
1X2Hornchurch to win 31% · 3.30 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.85
Hornchurch
3.50
Draw
2.12
Forest Green Rovers
Double Chanceconsensus
1.62
Hornchurch or Draw
1.22
Hornchurch or Forest Green Rovers
1.29
Draw or Forest Green Rovers
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.30
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.34
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.11
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.66
Over 3.50
1.43
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.94
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.13
Hornchurch
1.65
Forest Green Rovers
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50
4.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50
2.74
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.66
Over 9.50
2.12
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.05
Over 10.50
1.71
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.66
Over 11.50
1.39
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.46
Hornchurch
2.27
Draw
2.65
Forest Green Rovers
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.06
Hornchurch
2.59
Draw
2.50
Forest Green Rovers
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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