Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Sutton hosting a wounded Scunthorpe side that's lost 4 of their last 5** — this should be a home banker if the U's keep their defensive wits. 🎯
Sutton are buzzing with three wins in their last five despite some heavy defeats, while Scunthorpe are in freefall (1W, 4L recently). The head-to-head leans Sutton's way too, having won 2 of the last 4 meetings.
Key storylines:
- **Sutton's back line** under **W. Nightingale**, **D. Urpens**, and **B. Topalloj** has looked shaky in losses but should feast on a misfiring Scunthorpe attack
- **D. Ogbonna** and **T. Babalola** spearheading Sutton's front two against a leaky **Scunthorpe defence** that's conceded 6 in two games
- Scunthorpe's **J. Gale** needs support up top as the visitors desperately hunt a second consecutive win
Expected lineups:
- **Sutton United**: S. Brits, B. Topalloj, W. Nightingale, D. Urpens, K. Donkor, E. Osadebe, O. Mussa, C. Bell, S. Folarin, T. Babalola, D. Ogbonna
- **Scunthorpe United**: L. Jones, B. Horton, C. Howe, W. Evans, R. Barrows, J. Richards, J. Butterfield, P. Jones, A. Beestin, D. Howe, J. Gale
Prediction:
**Sutton 2-0 Scunthorpe.** Home advantage and form give Sutton the edge here.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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