Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
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Average positions
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**Yeovil bring the home heat** — both sides are flying in the National League, but the Glovers have the crowd advantage and a perfect record at Huish Park this season. 📍
Yeovil sit pretty on three wins from their last five, while Fylde match that form exactly. The catch? **Yeovil own the h2h**, winning three of the last four meetings. Fylde haven't beaten them in living memory at this fixture, so the pressure's all on the away side.
Key storylines:
- **Yeovil's attacking punch** — S. Walker and M. Obeng have been clinical up top in recent wins, and home soil should suit them fine
- **Fylde's defensive resolve** — E. Mitchell and the back line need to stay organized; C. Main offers threat on the break but can't afford sloppy transitions
- **Midfield battle** — Z. Westbrooke and B. McGavin vs D. Mayor and T. Whelan will decide the tempo
Expected lineups:
- **Yeovil Town**: J. Barker, R. Jones, B. Radcliffe, J. Norville-Williams, A. Davies, Z. Westbrooke, B. McGavin, L. McCormick, M. Obeng, S. Spasov, S. Walker
- **AFC Fylde**: Z. Jones, H. Broad, C. Whelan, E. Mitchell, A. Drewe, D. Mayor, T. Whelan, C. Merrie, Z. Stritch, C. Main, L. Thomas
Prediction:
**Yeovil 2–1 AFC Fylde** — the home side edges it on balance and pedigree in this fixture. Slight favorite. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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