Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Southend are the form kings here**, while Tamworth's looking for a spark after three losses in five. This is a winnable home game for the Roots Hall faithful. ⚽
Southend have picked up 2W-2D from their last four, grinding results even in draws. Tamworth, by contrast, have just one win in five and got hammered 1-3 by Harrogate last time out. The head-to-head slightly favors the hosts too.
Key storylines:
- **Southend's midfield balance** between D. Cox and O. Coker will be crucial to controlling tempo against a Tamworth side that likes to press
- **T. Bramble and the Tamworth backline** need a clean sheet to build confidence; they've shipped five goals in their last three matches
- **S. Kamara's movement** up front could exploit space if Tamworth's wide press gets pulled out of position
Expected lineups:
- **Southend United**: J. Duncan, B. Goodliffe, K. Mcadam, V. Daley Campbell, D. Cox, O. Coker, D. Oldaker, H. Cardwell, L. Twamley, S. Kamara, P. Omochere
- **Tamworth**: J. Singh, J. Cullinane-Liburd, L. Fairlamb, J. Rye, T. Lyttle, T. Bramble, T. Kurtaran, M. Roberts, T. McGlinchey, K. Donnelly, D. Creaney
Prediction:
**Southend United 2-1 Tamworth**
Hosts edge it on form and home advantage, though Tamworth will scrap for a goal.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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