Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Worthing welcome Hornchurch in a midweek clash where neither side can afford to stumble** 🔴⚪ Both teams are treading water in the National League, and Tuesday night could prove pivotal for momentum.
Worthing have leaked goals but shown resilience with two draws in their last three. Hornchurch's form is shakier — three losses in five including a heavy defeat at Halifax — though they showed fight with a win over Boston United. This is a match where consistency punches above chaos.
Key storylines:
- **Worthing's home fortress**: The Bibby Financial Services Stadium has been a mixed blessing, with back-to-back 2-2 draws suggesting vulnerability in defence.
- **Hornchurch's attacking spark**: After blanks against Halifax and Forest Green, they need **J. Walker** and **H. Sandat** to rediscover the form that beat Boston.
- **Midfield battle**: **R. Aguiar** and **J. Wadham** will be crucial to controlling the tempo for Worthing's chances.
Expected lineups:
- **Worthing FC**: H. Foulkes, J. Moore, C. Adjetey-Brew, J. Cook, J. Colbran, R. Aguiar, J. Wadham, R. Moulton, D. Hutchinson, R. Carter, J. Marquez
- **Hornchurch**: A. Nasta, M. Welch, J. Kizzi, J. Baldwin, R. Inniss, J. Powell, T. Wraight, M. Weston, H. Sandat, H. Hearn, J. Walker
Prediction:
**Worthing 2–1 Hornchurch** — home advantage and fractionally better recent rhythm edge it. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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