Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Hartlepool's in freefall and Worthing's steadier — but there's still a match to win here.** A struggling Pool side (1W in 5) hosts a Worthing team that's grinding draws and the occasional W, which honestly might be enough if Pool keeps gifting goals away.
Hartlepool have conceded in three straight defeats. Worthing haven't lost since mid-August and thrive on defensive solidity. If Pool can't break down **Worthing's back four** early, this becomes a long afternoon. **N. Sheron** and **J. Nolan** will need to spark something creative.
Key storylines:
- **Hartlepool's** defensive frailty vs **Worthing's** compact shape — Pool have shipped 6 goals in their last two road losses, can they tighten up at home?
- **J. Hunter** and **J. Miley** must control the midfield or Worthing's **R. Aguiar** and **J. Wadham** will dominate possession
- **W. Harris** as the focal point up top — Hartlepool need him clinical after a lean run
Expected lineups:
- **Hartlepool United**: M. Merrick, C. John, R. McNally, L. Gibson, N. Eccleston, J. Miley, J. Hunter, C. McKeown, N. Sheron, J. Nolan, W. Harris
- **Worthing FC**: H. Foulkes, J. Moore, C. Adjetey-Brew, J. Cook, J. Colbran, R. Aguiar, J. Wadham, R. Moulton, D. Hutchinson, J. Marquez, R. Carter
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Hartlepool scrapes a goal but can't hold it; Worthing steal a point and keep climbing. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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