Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Two sides stuck in the mud collide** — Hornchurch and Scunthorpe are both limping through September with identical 2-0-3 records, and neither can afford another stumble. 📉
Hornchurch's home form is brittle (1W in last 3), while Scunthorpe just shipped back-to-back defeats. Both teams are screaming for a win here, which usually means a scrappy, tight affair rather than a shootout.
Key storylines:
- **Hornchurch's attack** needs to spark — Walker, Sandat, and Hearn have combined for a rough patch, and the pressure mounts at home
- **Scunthorpe's defense** under fire — Howe, Evans, and Horton have leaked goals in stretches; a clean sheet feels crucial
- **Midfield battle** between **Powell & Wraight** vs **Richards & Butterfield** could dictate possession and tempo
Expected lineups:
- **Hornchurch**: Nasta, Welch, Kizzi, Baldwin, Inniss, Powell, Wraight, Weston, Sandat, Hearn, Walker
- **Scunthorpe United**: Jones, Horton, Howe, Evans, Barrows, Richards, Butterfield, P. Jones, Beestin, Parker, Gale
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both sides are too fragile to break down and too desperate to lose. A point apiece feels fair. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.