Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
11'
⚽
D. Kerr · assist F. Bernardeschi1–0
17'
🔁
L. Barroso ◂ J. Dean
29'
⚽
A. Gutman · assist J. Bamba1–1
44'
⚽
H. Cuypers · assist L. Barroso1–2
45'
⚽
1–2
45'
⚽
45'+5
🔁
L. Stefanovic ◂ K. Long
62'
🔁
M. Haile-Selassie ◂ J. Bamba
62'
🔁
O. Glasgow ◂ P. Zinckernagel
73'
⚽
H. Cuypers
75'
🔁
D. Flores ◂ A. Coello
75'
🔁
T. Corbeanu ◂ T. Spicer
81'
🔁
D. Etienne ◂ D. Kerr
81'
🔁
M. Cimermancic ◂ M. Longstaff
86'
🔁
S. Williams ◂ B. Gutierrez
86'
🔁
T. Barlow ◂ H. Cuypers
90'
⚽
1–2
90'
⚽
Coaches
Robin FraserGregg Berhalter 
Recent form
Toronto FCLFC Cincinnati2-0Toronto FC
LOrlando City SC4-2Toronto FC
DDC United2-2Toronto FC
Chicago FireWFC Dallas1-3Chicago Fire
DChicago Fire2-2DC United
LColumbus Crew4-2Chicago Fire
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Field
City
Toronto
Referee
Allen Chapman
Kickoff
15 Mar, 18:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Toronto FC
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Chicago Fire
1
S. Johnson
6.5
6
K. Thompson
6.7
12
Z. Monlouis
6.7
5
K. Long
6.4
15
N. Gomis
6.5
8
M. Longstaff
6.6
14
A. Coello
7.4
21
J. Osorio
6.6
10
F. Bernardeschi
7.1
29
D. Kerr
7.2
16
T. Spicer
6.7
1
C. Brady
6.7
24
J. Dean
6.1
5
S. Rogers
6.8
3
J. Elliott
7.1
15
A. Gutman
7.9
35
S. Oregel
6.9
22
M. Pineda
7.3
17
B. Gutierrez
6.9
11
P. Zinckernagel
6.8
9
H. Cuypers
6.9
19
J. Bamba
6.8
Substitutes
76L. Stefanovic6.720D. Flores6.67T. Corbeanu6.471M. Cimermancic6.711D. Etienne6.790L. Gavran19K. Franklin28R. Petretta
Coach: Robin Fraser
Substitutes
2L. Barroso7.67M. Haile-Selassie6.526O. Glasgow6.947S. Williams6.512T. Barlow6.525J. Gal34O. Gonzalez38C. Cupps45H. Osorio
Coach: Gregg Berhalter
48%Possession52%
0.61Expected goals (xG)1.08
5Total shots11
1Shots on target4
2Big chances3
5Corners3
7Fouls11