Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
🔁M. Ilenič ◂ T. Gray
8'
K. Parks
41'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
M. Bakrar
45'+1
N. Ordaz
57'
🔁A. Perea ◂ M. Moralez
60'
🔁A. Ojeda ◂ M. Bakrar
60'
🔁R. Hollingshead ◂ Marlon
61'
🔁M. Delgado ◂ Igor Jesus
61'
🔁D. M. Morales ◂ N. Ordaz
62'
🔁J. Fernández ◂ H. Wolf
74'
🔁T. Martins ◂ S. Tanasijević
75'
🔁A. Smoliakov ◂ S. Palencia
77'
🔁O. Giroud ◂ J. Ebobisse
77'
⚽R. Hollingshead
86'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Coaches
Marc Dos SantosPascal Jansen 
Recent form
Los Angeles FCWLos Angeles FC1-0Minnesota United
New York City FCDInter Miami CF2-2New York City FC
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Stadium
City
Los Angeles
Referee
Chris Penso
Kickoff
02 Mar, 03:30 UTC
Los Angeles FC
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
New York City FC
1
H. Lloris
7.0
91
N. Tafari
7.4
5
Marlon
7.3
4
E. Segura
7.3
14
S. Palencia
6.5
11
T. Tillman
7.7
6
Igor Jesus
7.0
20
Y. Yeboah
7.1
27
N. Ordaz
6.5
17
J. Ebobisse
6.5
99
D. Bouanga
6.9
49
M. Freese
7.1
24
T. Gray
6.4
19
S. Tanasijević
6.8
5
B. Risa
6.8
22
K. O'Toole
6.8
80
J. Haak
7.1
55
K. Parks
6.8
17
H. Wolf
6.6
10
M. Moralez
7.3
9
M. Bakrar
6.4
16
A. Martínez
6.7
Substitutes
24R. Hollingshead7.68M. Delgado6.730D. M. Morales6.929A. Smoliakov6.59O. Giroud6.512T. Hasal45K. Nielsen43A. Saldana77A. Wibowo
Coach: Marc Dos Santos
Substitutes
35M. Ilenič7.326A. Ojeda6.68A. Perea6.511J. Fernández6.913T. Martins6.530T. Romero2N. Cavallo32J. Shore29M. Carrizo
Coach: Pascal Jansen
47%Possession53%
0.49Expected goals (xG)0.37
8Total shots11
5Shots on target2
2Big chances0
5Corners5
9Fouls13
1Yellow cards2