Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽B. Enow
8'
K. Long
17'
⚽J. Osorio
27'
⚽C. Benteke
assist J. Murrell
assist J. Murrell
35'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
S. Rosted
60'
🔁R. Petretta ◂ H. Wingo
62'
🔁R. Leal ◂ Gabriel Pirani
70'
⚽F. Bernardeschi (pen)
70'
🔁D. Dodson ◂ J. Murrell
71'
D. Flores
78'
🔁D. Kerr ◂ T. Corbeanu
80'
🔁D. Badji ◂ B. Servania
80'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
K. Rowles
90'+2
C. Benteke
90'+4
🔁Z. Monlouis ◂ S. Rosted
90'+6
Coaches
Rene WeilerRobin Fraser 
Match facts
Stadium
Audi Field
City
Washington, DC
Referee
Sergiy Boyko
Kickoff
23 Feb, 00:30 UTC
DC United
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-1-2
Toronto FC
1
J. Kim
7.7
22
A. Herrera
6.5
3
L. Bartlett
6.7
15
K. Rowles
6.3
17
J. Murrell
6.5
6
B. Enow
7.6
23
B. Servania
6.5
28
D. Schnegg
6.3
10
Gabriel Pirani
6.3
77
H. Kijima
6.9
20
C. Benteke
7.2
1
S. Johnson
6.4
2
H. Wingo
6.5
5
K. Long
6.8
17
S. Rosted
6.7
22
R. Laryea
7.1
14
A. Coello
7.2
20
D. Flores
6.4
71
M. Cimermancic
7.6
21
J. Osorio
7.4
10
F. Bernardeschi
7.8
7
T. Corbeanu
6.9
Substitutes
11R. Leal6.918D. Dodson6.714D. Badji6.413L. Barraza24J. Farr5L. MacNaughton16G. Tubbs48G. Turner4M. Peltola
Coach: Rene Weiler
Substitutes
28R. Petretta6.929D. Kerr6.412Z. Monlouis90L. Gavran19K. Franklin6K. Thompson8M. Longstaff16T. Spicer11D. Etienne
Coach: Robin Fraser
54%Possession46%
0.74Expected goals (xG)1.93
8Total shots12
3Shots on target7
2Big chances4
2Corners7
15Fouls13
2Yellow cards3