Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽R. Sordo
14'
F. Pereira
20'
⚽J. Ocejo
assist H. Ortega
assist H. Ortega
27'
S. Aceves
30'
J. Ocejo
35'
V. Arteaga
39'
⚽Helinho
assist N. Castro
assist N. Castro
43'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
J. Ocejo
45'+3
🔁D. Barbosa ◂ S. Aceves
46'
🔁O. Virgen ◂ F. Pereira
46'
🔁J. Domínguez ◂ V. Arteaga
46'
🔁C. Lozano ◂ F. Villalba
46'
🔁E. Gutiérrez ◂ K. Balanta
46'
⚽Helinho
assist O. Virgen
assist O. Virgen
48'
J. Abella
54'
⚽H. Ortega
55'
🔁C. Dájome ◂ R. Sordo
57'
E. Echeverría
62'
⚽R. Morales
assist Helinho
assist Helinho
63'
🔁J. Carrillo ◂ E. Echeverría
69'
🔁D. Medina ◂ J. Abella
69'
🔁A. Vega ◂ Helinho
77'
L. García
88'
🔁L. García ◂ H. Gonzalez
88'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
⚽R. Morales
assist J. Domínguez
assist J. Domínguez
90'+5
Form
Santos Laguna
W
CD Toluca
W
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio TSM Corona
City
Torreon
Referee
Salvador Perez Villalobos
Kickoff
17 Jul, 03:05 UTC
Santos Laguna
5-3-2
1
C. Acevedo
6.6
4
J. Abella
6.9
19
H. Ortega
7.0
35
K. Balanta
6.6
2
B. Amione
6.7
17
E. Echeverría
5.9
5
A. Lopez Vargas
6.6
21
F. Villalba
6.6
6
J. Güemez
6.6
26
R. Sordo
⚽1
6.7
13
J. Ocejo
⚽1
6.5
Substitutes
23
E. Gutiérrez
6.5
11
C. Lozano
6.7
7
C. Dájome
6.7
9
J. Carrillo
6.8
24
D. Medina
6.7
33
H. Holguin
22
R. Prieto
3
I. Govea
20
K. Palacios
10
F. Fagúndez
CD Toluca
3-1-4-2
1
H. Gonzalez
6.3
4
Bruno Méndez
7.0
6
F. Pereira
6.3
25
E. López
6.8
33
V. Arteaga
6.4
184
S. Aceves
6.7
16
H. Herrera
7.1
8
N. Castro
7.5
17
M. Isais
6.9
11
Helinho
⚽2
9.5
31
R. Morales
⚽2
8.0
Substitutes
2
D. Barbosa
6.7
7
J. Domínguez
7.7
23
O. Virgen
7.0
9
A. Vega
7.1
22
L. García
13
Luan
20
J. Gallardo
5
F. Romero
14
M. Ruíz
10
J. R. Angulo
Coach: Omar Tapia
Coach: Antonio Mohamed
33%Possession67%
1.1Expected goals (xG)2.58
11Total shots20
6Shots on target10
3Big chances6
5Corners4
8Fouls20
4Yellow cards4