Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Sporting CP rolls into this one as the heavy favorite**, but Marítimo's recent 5-0 mauling has them in proper funk. 🔴
Sporting are streaky—two wins sandwiched around draws and a loss—but at home in a cup tie they'll fancy their chances. Marítimo, meanwhile, are leaking goals for fun and haven't won since early in the window. This is a classic David vs Goliath setup, except David's been getting battered.
Key storylines:
- **Sporting's XI depth** will be tested with R. Zalazar and Z. Debast unavailable, but they've got the squad to rotate and still dominate
- **Marítimo desperately need to tighten up** after that 5-0 shellacking—B. Limbombe and the midfield have to stay compact or this gets ugly
- **Home advantage in a cup format** heavily favors **Sporting CP**; Marítimo travel with zero momentum
Expected lineups:
- **Sporting CP**: R. Silva, M. Araújo, G. Inácio, Quaresma, I. Fresneda, S. Altimira, I. Doumbia, F. Gonçalves, N. Irankunda, G. Catamo, L. J. Suárez
- **CS Marítimo**: A. Pastor, P. Henrique, R. Correia, R. Fernandes, I. Julião, R. Guzzo, V. Danilović, M. Tejón, R. Andrade, B. Limbombe, A. Butzke
Prediction:
**Sporting CP 3–0 CS Marítimo**. Marítimo lack the defensive cohesion and attacking bite to trouble the hosts; expect a routine cup night for the Lions. 🦁
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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