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Filippo Inzaghi
Palermo
Mantova
Palermo
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-2-1
Mantova
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
586059 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
77.6%
-21.4 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.5%
+11.4 vs price
Draw
490.0 · implied 0.2%
11.0%
+10.8 vs price
Half time
2655 EUR · live
Home
1.27 · implied 78.7%
63.9%
-14.8 vs price
Away
36.0 · implied 2.8%
26.7%
+23.9 vs price
Draw
5.5 · implied 18.2%
9.3%
-8.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
63185 EUR · live
Under
3.95 · implied 25.3%
59.5%
+34.2 vs price
Over
1.33 · implied 75.2%
40.5%
-34.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
10631 EUR · live
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
92.0%
+3.5 vs price
Over
7.8 · implied 12.8%
8.0%
-4.9 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
G. Strefezza · assist C. Gomes1–0
14'
🔁
R. Kouda ◂ S. Trimboli
43'
R. Ilie · Argument
Half-time · 2–0
45'+2
VAR
Goal not given after review · E. Gliozzi
45'+6
⚽
A. Palumbo (pen)2–0
46'
🔁
J. Silva ◂ F. Chinetti
46'
🔁
D. Johnsen ◂ G. Strefezza
46'
🔁
F. Ruocco ◂ I. Cajazzo
52'
⚽
F. Ruocco2–1
55'
⚽
R. Kouda · assist R. Ilie2–2
59'
A. Gabrielloni · Handball
60'
🔁
V. Vlahović ◂ E. Gliozzi
61'
🔁
P. Peda ◂ G. Magnani
61'
🔁
Hernani ◂ A. Palumbo
61'
🔁
J. Pohjanpalo ◂ A. Gabrielloni
62'
F. Ruocco · Foul
70'
⚽
J. Pohjanpalo · assist D. Johnsen3–2
73'
🔁
J. Segre ◂ C. Gomes
77'
🔁
B. Tomašević ◂ T. D. Lungo
89'
⚽
D. Johnsen · assist J. Segre4–2
Full-time · 5–2
90'+5
⚽
J. Pohjanpalo · assist D. Vavassori5–2
Coaches
Filippo InzaghiFrancesco Modesto 
Recent form
PalermoWHLecce2-0
LHJuventus0-2
WAMelbourne City2-0
DHPOT Iraklis1-1
DH1. FC Nürnberg2-2
MantovaWALazio2-0
LHCarpi0-1
WALegnago Salus3-1
WHAlcione Milano6-2
LAVenezia0-4
Where to watch
DGO
Paramount+
Arena Sport Premium 1
SportyNetYouTube - SportyNet
DGO
DGO
Cytavision Sports 4HD
DAZN
DGO
Premier Sports 1 HD
Arena Sport 2 HR
Arena4
Premier Sports 1 HD
Italia 1
Arena Sport Premium 1
DGODIRECTV Sports
Arena Sport Premium 1
Italia 1
CBS Sports GolazoParamount+
DGO
DGO
Match facts
Stadium
Renzo Barbera
City
Palermo
Referee
Kickoff
03 Sep, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Coppa Italia
Highlights & clips
Palermo
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-2-1
Mantova
14
M. Fortin
7.2
84
T. Cassandro
6.7
29
P. Peda
7.0
↑ 61'
93
F. Barba
7.0
33
A. Bozzolan
6.8
24
N. Estévez
6.5
17
D. Johnsen
8.9
↑ 46'
23
Hernani
6.6
↑ 61'
8
J. Segre
7.1
↑ 73'
9
D. Vavassori
8.0
20
J. Pohjanpalo
8.8
↑ 61'
22
F. Bardi
5.6
5
B. Tomašević
5.5
↑ 77'
29
S. Cella
5.9
27
A. Castellini
5.5
41
J. Silva
6.6
↑ 46'
80
R. Kouda
7.7
↑ 14'
25
L. Ignacchiti
6.7
50
F. Benaissa-Yahia
6.6
19
F. Ruocco
6.8
↑ 46'
8
R. Ilie
6.6
99
V. Vlahović
6.4
↑ 60'
Top stats
44%Possession56%
2.57Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.87
13Total shots13
9Shots on target8
5Big chances1
3Corners2
Shots
3Shots off target5
1Blocked shots0
8Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork0
4Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
Attack
16Touches in box20
62Final third entries57
2Offsides6
13Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
338Passes440
257Accurate passes366
22/57 (39%)Long balls26/53 (49%)
1/10 (0%)Crosses1/8 (13%)
20Throw-ins15
Duels
57Duels43
48/83 (58%)Ground duels35/83 (42%)
16/29 (55%)Aerial duels13/29 (45%)
9/18 (50%)Dribbles9/17 (53%)
10Dispossessed18
Defending
26Tackles19
62Tackles won63
8Interceptions11
21Clearances24
55Recoveries60
Discipline
9Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
6Saves4
1Big saves2
10Goal kicks5
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsPalermo to win (DNB) 75% · 1.26 @ Betano
1X2Palermo to win 57% · 2.00 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.00 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 24% · 2.70 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.40 @ betfair
1X2Mantova to win 19% · 4.75 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.64
Palermo
3.95
Draw
4.82
Mantova
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Palermo or Draw
1.20
Palermo or Mantova
2.15
Draw or Mantova
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes
2.00
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.40
YES
1.50
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.00
YES
1.13
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.85
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.92
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.75
Over 2.50
2.05
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.37
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.55
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.25
Palermo
3.60
Mantova
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.32
Over 7.50
3.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.54
Over 8.50
2.27
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.80
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Palermo to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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