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René Rosero
Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellín
Deportivo Pasto
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Independiente Medellín
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Deportivo Pasto 1-4 Independiente Medellín.
84'
Attempt missed. D. Chávez (Deportivo Pasto), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.
81'
Goal! Deportivo Pasto 1-4 Independiente Medellín. H. Palacios (Independiente Medellín) scores, assisted by J. Quintero.
74'
Goal! Deportivo Pasto 1-3 Independiente Medellín. J. Perlaza (Deportivo Pasto) scores, assisted by M. Garavito.
70'
Goal! Deportivo Pasto 0-3 Independiente Medellín. K. Klinger (Independiente Medellín) scores, assisted by J. Medina.
53'
Attempt saved. J. E. Montaño (Independiente Medellín), right-footed shot. xG 0.17.
47'
Attempt blocked. S. Jiménez (Deportivo Pasto), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Deportivo Pasto 0-2 Independiente Medellín.
45+2'
Attempt blocked. J. Quintero (Independiente Medellín), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.00.
43'
Attempt missed. J. Perlaza (Deportivo Pasto), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.00.
27'
Goal! Deportivo Pasto 0-2 Independiente Medellín. D. Moreno (Independiente Medellín) scores, assisted by J. Quintero.
26'
Attempt missed. J. Quintero (Independiente Medellín), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.00.
12'
Goal! Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Independiente Medellín. Y. González (Independiente Medellín) scores, assisted by A. Martegani.
1'
Kick-off: Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellín.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
20672 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
89.9%
-8.1 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.5%
+7.4 vs price
Home
500.0 · implied 0.2%
2.6%
+2.4 vs price
Half time
3870 EUR · live
Away
2.98 · implied 33.6%
76.8%
+43.3 vs price
Home
5.2 · implied 19.2%
11.6%
-7.7 vs price
Draw
2.0 · implied 50.0%
11.6%
-38.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
8666 EUR · live
Over
1.84 · implied 54.3%
55.1%
+0.8 vs price
Under
2.14 · implied 46.7%
44.9%
-1.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1544 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
83.0%
-9.6 vs price
Over
15.0 · implied 6.7%
16.9%
+10.2 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 7 clips
Match events
12'
⚽
Y. González · assist A. Martegani0–1
27'
⚽
D. Moreno · assist J. Quintero0–2
Half-time · 0–2
45'
N. Gil Uribe
46'
🔁
D. Chávez ◂ J. Méndez
46'
🔁
F. Leys ◂ J. Micolta
46'
🔁
H. Goyes ◂ H. Mancilla
60'
🔁
S. Córdoba ◂ P. Preciado
65'
🔁
K. Klinger ◂ J. E. Montaño
65'
🔁
H. Loboa ◂ A. Martegani
70'
⚽
K. Klinger · assist J. Medina0–3
72'
🔁
H. Palacios ◂ Y. González
72'
🔁
C. Lucumi Gonzalez ◂ J. Medina
74'
⚽
J. Perlaza · assist M. Garavito1–3
79'
🔁
F. Martínez ◂ E. Serje
81'
🔁
D. Moreno ◂ J. Quintero
81'
⚽
H. Palacios · assist J. Quintero1–4
83'
H. Loboa
Full-time · 1–4
Coaches
René RoseroLuis Perea 
Recent form
Deportivo PastoDACúcuta Deportivo2-2
LHDeportivo Pereira1-2
DAInternacional de Bogotá1-1
LHLlaneros FC0-1
LHDeportivo Cali0-2
Independiente MedellínWADeportivo Pereira3-0
WHLlaneros FC2-1
LHCúcuta Deportivo0-1
WADeportes Tolima3-2
WHDeportivo Cali1-0
About this match
**Medellín rolls in as heavy favorites here** — they're on a four-game winning streak while Pasto's struggling to string together a result. 🔴
Pasto have just one win in five and are leaking goals at home; Medellín's been clinical on the road and historically own this fixture. The head-to-head tilts decisively in the visitors' direction.
Key storylines:
- **Independiente Medellín's offensive punch** has been deadly lately, especially after dismantling Pereira 3-0 away — they'll back themselves to breach a fragile Pasto backline
- **Pasto need a spark** after draws and losses; they've conceded in three straight and can't afford another defeat at home in a Copa knockout
- **D. Cataño's absence** for Medellín is a minor hiccup, but **D. Moreno** and the midfield partnership should keep things locked down
Expected lineups:
- **Deportivo Pasto**: E. Cabezas, H. Goyes, J. Ossa, N. Gil Uribe, M. Garavito, M. Gil, E. Serje, D. Chávez, S. Jiménez, J. Obregón, S. Córdoba
- **Independiente Medellín**: E. Chaux, J. Mena, K. Mantilla, J. Varela, E. Mena, D. Moreno, A. Martegani, J. E. Montaño, J. Quintero, J. Córdoba, Y. González
Prediction:
**Independiente Medellín 2–0 Deportivo Pasto**. Form, history, and Medellín's ruthless streak all point the same way. 🎯
Where to watch
Betano
Win Sports
Match facts
Kickoff
10 Sep, 01:10 UTC
Competition
Copa Colombia
Highlights & clips
Deportivo Pasto
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Independiente Medellín
1
E. Cabezas
33
M. Garavito
5
N. Gil Uribe
6
S. Jiménez
3
J. Ossa
27
H. Goyes
↑ 46'
10
D. Chávez
↑ 46'
25
F. Leys
↑ 46'
7
J. Perlaza
⚽1
29
S. Córdoba
↑ 60'
35
F. Martínez
↑ 79'
25
E. Chaux
30
H. Palacios
↑ 72'
5
J. Varela
4
K. Mantilla
18
F. Fabra
31
D. Moreno
↑ 81'
6
D. Moreno
⚽1
26
E. Mena
34
K. Klinger
↑ 65'
16
H. Loboa
↑ 65'
32
C. Lucumi Gonzalez
↑ 72'
Substitutes
12GG. Banguera
21DD. Osede
15MH. Mancilla↓ 46'
17MJ. Méndez↓ 46'
18MJ. Micolta↓ 46'
8ME. Serje↓ 79'
16MM. Gil
26MH. Valencia
19FP. Preciado↓ 60'
Coach: René Rosero
Substitutes
1GS. Ichazo
39DL. Escorcia
13DJ. Mena
21MA. Martegani↓ 65'
11MY. González↓ 72'
8MJ. Quintero↓ 81'
14MB. Perlaza
20FJ. E. Montaño↓ 65'
9FJ. Medina↓ 72'
Coach: Luis Perea
Top stats
51%Possession49%
0.85Expected goals (xG)1.56
19Total shots9
4Shots on target6
6Corners3
Shots
9Shots off target1
6Blocked shots2
7Shots inside box5
12Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
13Touches in box16
0Offsides3
3Free kicks2
Passing
455Passes430
398Accurate passes371
29/45 (64%)Long balls32/52 (61%)
5/22 (22%)Crosses3/9 (33%)
12Throw-ins10
Duels
43Duels55
41/91 (45%)Ground duels64/113 (57%)
5/14 (36%)Aerial duels8/17 (47%)
11/22 (50%)Dribbles4/16 (25%)
0Dispossessed4
Defending
7Tackles3
20Interceptions17
6Clearances17
Discipline
15Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
4Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
1X2Ind. Medellín to win 44% · 2.50 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.13 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 29% · 2.43 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.25 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.75 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.41 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.67 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.30 @ 888Sport
Who winsDep. Pasto to win (DNB) 53% · 2.65 @ 10bet
1X2Dep. Pasto to win 27% · 3.93 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.42
Deportivo Pasto
3.07
Draw
2.05
Independiente Medellín
Double Chanceconsensus
1.67
Deportivo Pasto or Draw
1.28
Deportivo Pasto or Independiente Medellín
1.28
Draw or Independiente Medellín
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.83
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50
3.02
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.67
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.85
Over 3.50
1.22
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.50
Deportivo Pasto
1.47
Independiente Medellín
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.40
Over 7.50
2.64
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.77
Over 8.50
1.94
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.16
Over 9.50
1.60
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.85
Over 10.50
1.35
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.96
Over 11.50
1.19
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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