Atlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Atlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United.

90+6'

H. Maguire

Attempt blocked. H. Maguire (Manchester United), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90+4'

Manchester United

Offside, Manchester United.

90+3'

M. Cunha

Attempt saved. M. Cunha (Manchester United), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

90+3'

Manchester United

Corner, Manchester United.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

88'

G. Simeone

Substitution, Atlético Madrid: R. Le Normand comes on for G. Simeone.

88'

R. Le Normand

Yellow card for R. Le Normand (Atlético Madrid) for foul.

81'

Manchester United

Corner, Manchester United.

81'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

80'

A. Heaven

Substitution, Manchester United: H. Maguire comes on for A. Heaven.

80'

B. Fernandes

Substitution, Manchester United: M. Cunha comes on for B. Fernandes.

79'

J. David

Attempt saved. J. David (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.37.

79'

A. Lookman

Goal! Atlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United. A. Lookman (Atlético Madrid) scores.

75'

Atlético Madrid

Offside, Atlético Madrid.

74'

L. Yoro

Red card! L. Yoro (Manchester United) is sent off for professional foul last man.

72'

L. Yoro

VAR: card upgraded for L. Yoro (Manchester United).

71'

A. Baena

Substitution, Atlético Madrid: A. Lookman comes on for A. Baena.

71'

J. Álvarez

Substitution, Atlético Madrid: M. Hjulmand comes on for J. Álvarez.

70'

B. Fernandes

Off the woodwork! B. Fernandes (Manchester United), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

70'

Manchester United

Corner, Manchester United.

69'

B. Fernandes

Attempt saved. B. Fernandes (Manchester United), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

66'

Y. Tielemans

Substitution, Manchester United: J. Zirkzee comes on for Y. Tielemans.

66'

C. Baleba

Substitution, Manchester United: M. Mount comes on for C. Baleba.

66'

M. Rashford

Substitution, Manchester United: A. Diallo comes on for M. Rashford.

65'

A. Baena

Attempt saved. A. Baena (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

61'

K. Lee

Substitution, Atlético Madrid: J. David comes on for K. Lee.

60'

A. Baena

Attempt missed. A. Baena (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

60'

P. Barrios

Substitution, Atlético Madrid: Pubill comes on for P. Barrios.

57'

B. Fernandes

Attempt missed. B. Fernandes (Manchester United), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.17.

55'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

54'

J. Álvarez

Off the woodwork! J. Álvarez (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

52'

M. Rashford

Yellow card for M. Rashford (Manchester United) for foul.

50'

Manchester United

Offside, Manchester United.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Atlético Madrid 1-0 Manchester United.

45+3'

A. Grimaldo

Attempt missed. A. Grimaldo (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

J. Cardoso

VAR check complete: the goal for Atlético Madrid stands.

42'

J. Álvarez

Attempt missed. J. Álvarez (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

37'

D. Simeone

Yellow card for D. Simeone (Atlético Madrid) for argument.

30'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

27'

A. Grimaldo

Off the woodwork! A. Grimaldo (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

25'

C. Baleba

Attempt saved. C. Baleba (Manchester United), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

24'

Manchester United

Corner, Manchester United.

24'

B. Mbeumo

Attempt saved. B. Mbeumo (Manchester United), left-footed shot. xG 0.22.

15'

M. Rashford

Attempt missed. M. Rashford (Manchester United), right-footed shot. xG 0.31.

12'

Manchester United

Corner, Manchester United.

12'

B. Mbeumo

Attempt blocked. B. Mbeumo (Manchester United), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

7'

A. Grimaldo

Attempt saved. A. Grimaldo (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

7'

A. Baena

Attempt blocked. A. Baena (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

P. Barrios

Goal! Atlético Madrid 1-0 Manchester United. P. Barrios (Atlético Madrid) scores, assisted by A. Baena.

1'

Kick-off: Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United.

Where the money is

4923125 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 3269945 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

87.1%

-11.9 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

7.8%

+7.7 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.1%

+5.0 vs price

Half time 11034 EUR · live

Home 1.25 · implied 80.0%

55.8%

-24.2 vs price

Draw 5.8 · implied 17.2%

36.4%

+19.1 vs price

Away 32.0 · implied 3.1%

7.9%

+4.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 588636 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

54.3%

-44.7 vs price

Over 90.0 · implied 1.1%

45.7%

+44.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 8471 EUR · live

Under 1.19 · implied 84.0%

66.4%

-17.6 vs price

Over 6.2 · implied 16.1%

33.6%

+17.5 vs price

20 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

1' ⚽ P. Barrios · assist A. Baena1–0

37' D. Simeone · Argument

Half-time · 1–0

45' VAR Goal not given after review · J. Cardoso

52' M. Rashford · Foul

60' 🔁 Pubill ◂ P. Barrios

61' 🔁 J. David ◂ K. Lee

66' 🔁 A. Diallo ◂ M. Rashford

66' 🔁 M. Mount ◂ C. Baleba

66' 🔁 J. Zirkzee ◂ Y. Tielemans

71' 🔁 M. Hjulmand ◂ J. Álvarez

71' 🔁 A. Lookman ◂ A. Baena

72' VAR Card check · L. Yoro

74' L. Yoro · Professional foul last man

79' ⚽ A. Lookman2–0

80' 🔁 M. Cunha ◂ B. Fernandes

80' 🔁 H. Maguire ◂ A. Heaven

88' R. Le Normand · Foul

88' 🔁 R. Le Normand ◂ G. Simeone

Full-time · 2–0

Coaches

Diego Simeone

Michael Carrick

Recent form

Atlético Madrid

WADeportivo Alavés2-1

WHReal Madrid2-1

WHOsasuna4-0

WAReal Sociedad3-0

LALiverpool FC1-2

Manchester United

DHTottenham Hotspur1-1

DAFulham1-1

LHBrighton & Hove Albion2-3

LHManchester City0-1

WHSabah FK4-0

About this match

**Atlético Madrid are rolling right now, and Manchester United look like they're figuring it out on the fly.** This is a proper Champions League clash between a side hitting form and a squad dealing with injuries. 🔥

Atlético have won four of their last five with back-to-back wins over Real Madrid and Osasuna — they're sharp, organized, and dangerous at home. United are wobbling: one win in five, draws against Tottenham and Fulham, and a bruising loss to Brighton. The missing list isn't helping — **B. Šeško, M. Ugarte, M. de Ligt, and P. Dorgu** are all sidelined.

Key storylines:

- **J. Oblak** vs a United attack missing **B. Šeško** — Atlético's keeper gets a quieter night
- **A. Lookman** and **J. David** up front will test United's makeshift backline
- **B. Fernandes** and **Y. Tielemans** need to control the midfield or Atlético's press suffocates them

Expected lineups:

- **Atlético Madrid**: J. Oblak, D. Hancko, M. Llorente, C. Romero, R. Le Normand, A. Grimaldo, R. Mendoza, O. Vargas, G. Simeone, A. Lookman, J. David
- **Manchester United**: D. Mee, H. Amass, H. Maguire, D. Armer, S. Lammens, B. Fernandes, Y. Tielemans, B. Mbeumo, K. Mainoo, M. Cunha, M. Rashford

Prediction:

**Atlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United**

Home form and depth give Atlético a clean edge here. 🎯

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

City

Madrid

Referee

Glenn Nyberg

3.52 yellows/match · 56 matches

Kickoff

13 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Competition

Champions League

Highlights & clips

Atlético Madrid 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1 Manchester United

13 J. Oblak 7.8 14 M. Llorente 7.9 21 C. Romero 7.3 17 D. Hancko 7.4 22 A. Grimaldo 7.6 24 R. Le Normand 6.7 ↑ 88' 18 Pubill 6.6 ↑ 60' 5 J. Cardoso 6.8 23 M. Hjulmand 6.7 ↑ 71' 15 J. David 6.5 ↑ 61' 11 A. Lookman 7.2 ↑ 71' 1 S. Lammens 7.1 2 D. Dalot 6.6 15 L. Yoro 6.3 6 L. Martínez 7.4 5 H. Maguire 6.8 ↑ 80' 17 A. Santos 7.2 7 M. Mount 7.2 ↑ 66' 10 M. Cunha 6.8 ↑ 80' 16 A. Diallo 6.7 ↑ 66' 11 J. Zirkzee 6.4 ↑ 66' 19 B. Mbeumo 7.3

Substitutes

1GJ. Musso 30DD. Martinez 27DJ. Domínguez 8MP. Barrios↓ 60'8.4 10MA. Baena↓ 71'7.2 7MK. Lee↓ 61'6.7 20MG. Simeone↓ 88'6.3 4MR. Mendoza 16MA. Ortiz 46MJ. Castillo 19FJ. Álvarez↓ 71'6.2 9FA. Sørloth

Coach: Diego Simeone

Substitutes

12GK. Darlow 45GD. Mee 26DA. Heaven↓ 80'6.5 4DM. de Ligt 57DD. Armer 20MC. Baleba↓ 66'6.9 18MY. Tielemans↓ 66'6.5 8MB. Fernandes↓ 80'6.5 31MS. Lacey 39MT. Fletcher 41MH. Amass 9FM. Rashford↓ 66'5.7

Coach: Michael Carrick

Top stats

58%Possession42%

1.47Expected goals (xG)0.98

11Total shots9

5Shots on target4

2Big chances4

2Corners5

Shots

5Shots off target3

1Blocked shots2

6Shots inside box6

5Shots outside box3

2Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored0

1Big chances missed4

0.77Goals prevented0.59

Attack

17Touches in box14

66Final third entries47

1Offsides2

13Free kicks11

1Fouled in final third0

Passing

651Passes463

577Accurate passes396

32/55 (58%)Long balls11/31 (35%)

1/5 (20%)Crosses1/13 (8%)

16Throw-ins8

Duels

36Duels64

21/61 (34%)Ground duels40/61 (66%)

4/9 (44%)Aerial duels5/9 (56%)

3/13 (23%)Dribbles9/14 (64%)

11Dispossessed0

Defending

5Tackles21

60Tackles won48

10Interceptions6

12Clearances16

48Recoveries47

Discipline

11Fouls13

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

4Saves3

1Big saves0

4Goal kicks4

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Atlético Madrid 49%

24%

Man Utd 27%

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 3.80 @ William Hill

Who winsAtlético Madrid to win (DNB) 73% · 1.45 @ Unibet

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.90 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.92 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

1X2Atlético Madrid to win 49% · 2.21 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 24% · 2.75 @ Bet365

1X2Man Utd to win 27% · 3.74 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 57% · 1.67 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.90

Atlético Madrid

3.75

Draw

3.80

Manchester United

Double Chanceconsensus

1.25

Atlético Madrid or Draw

1.25

Atlético Madrid or Manchester United

1.84

Draw or Manchester United

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.59

Yes

2.25

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

7.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

14.25

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.45

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.67

Over 2.50

2.21

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.54

Over 3.50

1.50

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.67

Over 4.50

1.15

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.38

Atlético Madrid

2.83

Manchester United

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.24

Over 7.50

3.33

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.50

Over 8.50

2.40

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.85

Over 9.50

1.92

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.40

Over 10.50

1.52

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.09

Over 11.50

1.30

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

83% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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