Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Inter host Shakhtar in a clash of contrasting CL vibes** — the Nerazzurri are all swagger and firepower at home, while the Ukrainians roll up with their trademark defensive solidity and draw-heavy form. 🔵
Inter's recent stretch has been vintage: they've spanked Bologna and Parma, though that mad 3-4 loss to Brugge at home feels like a scare. Shakhtar, meanwhile, haven't tasted defeat in five but are drawing **a lot** — three of those games ended level, including a 1-1 away to PSV.
Key storylines:
- **Inter's attacking depth** (Thuram, Esposito, Barella, Diouf) faces a Shakhtar backline anchored by Bondar and Matvienko who know how to hold the line
- **Home advantage is huge** — Inter are 3-0 unbeaten H2H vs Shakhtar over the last seven, and San Siro is a fortress in Europe
- **Shakhtar's draw tendency** could be a trap; they rarely lose but rarely blow teams away either, especially on the road
Expected lineups:
- **Inter**: J. Martínez, A. Bastoni, Y. Bisseck, M. Akanji, C. Augusto, D. Spence, N. Barella, A. Diouf, F. Dimarco, M. Thuram, F. P. Esposito
- **Shakhtar Donetsk**: D. Riznyk, P. Henrique, V. Bondar, M. Matvienko, V. Tobias, Pedrinho, Alisson, M. Gomes, O. Ocheretko, Y. Nazaryna, K. Elias
Prediction:
**Inter 2-0 Shakhtar**. The hosts are too slick at home; Shakhtar will frustrate but won't break through. Lean Inter.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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