FC Porto vs Manchester City — live & stats

Where the money is

6475929 EUR matched · captured 17 hours, 25 minutes ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 5018651 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

92.3%

-6.7 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.4%

+4.3 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.3%

+3.2 vs price

Half time 6948 EUR · live

Away 3.05 · implied 32.8%

41.9%

+9.1 vs price

Draw 1.82 · implied 54.9%

31.3%

-23.7 vs price

Home 8.2 · implied 12.2%

26.9%

+14.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 383306 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

80.9%

-17.1 vs price

Over 32.0 · implied 3.1%

19.1%

+15.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 7592 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

74.5%

-23.5 vs price

Over 29.0 · implied 3.4%

25.5%

+22.0 vs price

20 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

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Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

37' J. Gvardiol · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

47' ⚽ E. Haaland · assist E. Fernández0–1

48' 🔁 A. Khusanov ◂ J. Gvardiol

49' G. Donnarumma · Foul

62' 🔁 E. Anderson ◂ R. Cherki

62' 🔁 I. Ndiaye ◂ A. Semenyo

68' 🔁 B. Sainz ◂ W. Gomes

68' 🔁 H. In-beom ◂ A. Varela

73' 🔁 S. Giménez ◂ A. Silva

73' 🔁 F. Moura ◂ M. Fernandes

75' 🔁 R. Aït-Nouri ◂ P. Foden

75' 🔁 M. Kovačić ◂ A. Bouaddi

83' 🔁 S. Fofana ◂ G. Veiga

86' F. Farioli · Argument

Full-time · 0–2

90'⁺¹ ⚽ E. Haaland · assist R. Aït-Nouri0–2

90'⁺³ E. Haaland · Argument

90'⁺³ P. Rosario · Argument

Coaches

Francesco Farioli

Enzo Maresca

Recent form

FC Porto

WHMoreirense2-1

WAAcadémico Viseu FC3-0

WHFC Arouca2-0

WARio Ave2-0

WHFC Alverca2-0

Manchester City

WHCoventry City1-0

WACrystal Palace4-1

WHBournemouth2-1

WHAtlético Madrid3-1

WAK-League Allstars3-1

About this match

**Porto's perfect start meets City's machine** — two sides sitting pretty at 5-0-0, but only one of them has faced serious Champions League heat lately. 🔥

Porto have been ruthless at home, while City just demolished Crystal Palace 4-1 away. The visitors' pedigree in Europe is undeniable, yet the Dragão is one of the toughest venues in the competition. This should tell you everything.

Key storylines:

- **Manchester City's defensive tweaks** with Khusanov and Guéhi holding the line against a Porto attack led by **Pepê** and **Sainz**
- **Haaland in the Dragão** — City's striker will hunt, but Porto's backline (missing **Varela**) has been compact
- **Home fortress vs. European royalty** — Porto unbeaten at the Estádio, City's away form immaculate

Expected lineups:

- **FC Porto**: D. Costa, F. Moura, J. Kiwior, N. Pérez, A. Costa, P. Rosario, V. Froholdt, G. Veiga, B. Sainz, A. Silva, Pepê
- **Manchester City**: G. Donnarumma, J. Gvardiol, A. Khusanov, M. Guéhi, R. Lewis, R. Dias, E. Anderson, A. Semenyo, P. Foden, E. Haaland

Prediction:

**1-2 to City** — lean to the visitors nicking it in a tight contest. Porto will make them work, but City's experience and firepower edge out a stubborn home side.

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 2

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio do Dragão

City

Porto

Referee

Szymon Marciniak

3.57 yellows/match · 44 matches

Kickoff

08 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Competition

Champions League

Highlights & clips

FC Porto 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1 Manchester City

99 D. Costa 9.5 20 A. Costa 6.2 18 N. Pérez 6.7 4 J. Kiwior 7.4 74 F. Moura 6.4 ↑ 73' 13 P. Rosario 6.4 16 H. In-beom 6.3 ↑ 68' 42 S. Fofana 6.4 ↑ 83' 17 B. Sainz 6.6 ↑ 68' 29 S. Giménez 6.8 ↑ 73' 11 Pepê 6.3 1 G. Donnarumma 6.9 27 M. Nunes 6.7 6 M. Guéhi 7.2 3 R. Dias 7.1 45 A. Khusanov 6.8 ↑ 48' 21 R. Aït-Nouri 6.8 ↑ 75' 17 E. Fernández 7.2 8 M. Kovačić 7.0 ↑ 75' 7 I. Ndiaye 6.7 ↑ 62' 5 E. Anderson 7.3 ↑ 62' 9 E. Haaland 8.2

Substitutes

14GC. Ramos 24GJ. Costa 52DM. Fernandes↓ 73'6.5 33DSouza 64DL. Gomes 22MA. Varela↓ 68'6.8 10MG. Veiga↓ 83'6.8 57MD. Cunha 92MJ. Teixeira 58MT. Silva 19FA. Silva↓ 73'6.8 7FW. Gomes↓ 68'6.6

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Substitutes

28GG. Rulli 13GM. Bettinelli 24DJ. Gvardiol↓ 48'7.1 82DR. Lewis 22DV. Reis 10MR. Cherki↓ 62'7.0 32MA. Bouaddi↓ 75'6.9 47MP. Foden↓ 75'6.9 42MA. Semenyo↓ 62'6.6 56MR. McAidoo 37MAllan

Coach: Enzo Maresca

Top stats

36%Possession64%

0.28Expected goals (xG)2.32

5Total shots20

0Shots on target10

0Big chances6

2Corners5

Shots

4Shots off target6

1Blocked shots4

3Shots inside box13

2Shots outside box7

0Big chances scored2

0Big chances missed4

1.39Goals prevented0.0

Attack

8Touches in box29

39Final third entries67

7Offsides1

17Free kicks10

1Fouled in final third3

Passing

353Passes635

285Accurate passes589

25/47 (53%)Long balls19/33 (58%)

2/6 (33%)Crosses7/19 (37%)

12Throw-ins13

Duels

53Duels47

37/69 (54%)Ground duels32/69 (46%)

12/24 (50%)Aerial duels12/24 (50%)

2/13 (15%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)

7Dispossessed12

Defending

19Tackles18

63Tackles won44

3Interceptions8

17Clearances14

45Recoveries49

Discipline

10Fouls17

1Yellow cards3

Goalkeeping

8Saves0

2Big saves0

7Goal kicks8

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Porto 20%

24%

Man City 56%

1X2Man City to win 56% · 2.00 @ 10bet

Who winsPorto to win (DNB) 72% · 4.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 4.00 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.10 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.65 @ betfair

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.93 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 24% · 2.76 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle

1X2Porto to win 20% · 4.55 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.60

FC Porto

3.98

Draw

1.70

Manchester City

Double Chanceconsensus

2.10

FC Porto or Draw

1.20

FC Porto or Manchester City

1.18

Draw or Manchester City

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.70

Yes

2.10

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

5.25

YES

1.12

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

2.70

YES

1.40

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

8.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.02

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.18

Over 1.50

4.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.66

Over 2.50

2.20

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.64

Over 3.50

1.46

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.00

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.50

FC Porto

1.25

Manchester City

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.34

Over 7.50

2.90

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.58

Over 8.50

2.25

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.95

Over 9.50

1.77

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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