FC Porto vs SSC Napoli Prediction, Odds & Lineups

Where the money is

65 EUR matched · captured 4 hours, 17 minutes ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 35 EUR

Draw 3.7 · implied 27.0%

49.6%

+22.5 vs price

Away 3.4 · implied 29.4%

26.1%

-3.3 vs price

Home 2.36 · implied 42.4%

24.4%

-18.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 2 EUR

Under 2.14 · implied 46.7%

100.0%

+53.3 vs price

2 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Coaches

Francesco Farioli

Massimiliano Allegri

Injuries & suspensions

FC Porto

J. Costa

Meniscus Injury · back 2026-12-10

injured

W. Gomes

Ankle Injury · back 2026-11-20

injured

SSC Napoli

A. Buongiorno

Meniscus Injury · back 2026-11-20

injured

A. Santos

Thigh Injury · back 2026-11-20

injured

B. Badiashile

Muscle Injury · back 2026-12-10

injured

C. Favasuli

Thigh Injury · back 2026-11-20

injured

D. Neres

Thigh Injury · back 2026-11-20

injured

L. Spinazzola

Thigh Injury · back 2026-11-20

injured

S. Lobotka

Ankle Injury · back 2026-12-31

injured

Recent form

FC Porto

WHAcadémico Viseu FC1-0

WAGil Vicente1-0

LHPSV Eindhoven0-1

LAReal Betis2-3

WACS Marítimo2-1

SSC Napoli

WAMonza4-1

DHAS Roma3-3

WHBodø/Glimt4-3

LAVenezia0-1

LAVillarreal1-3

Where to watch

M+ Liga de Campeones 3

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio do Dragão

City

Porto

Kickoff

04 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Competition

Champions League

🔮 AI-predicted lineup · 74% confidence — confirmed XI drops ~1h before kickoff

FC Porto 4-3-3 · 4-3-3 SSC Napoli

99 D. Costa 7.1 74 F. Moura 6.5 4 J. Kiwior 7.2 5 J. Bednarek 7.5 20 A. Costa 6.7 22 A. Varela 6.7 13 P. Rosario 7.0 8 V. Froholdt 6.6 17 B. Sainz 6.8 19 A. Silva 6.7 11 Pepê 6.9 1 A. Meret 7.1 22 G. Di Lorenzo 6.8 16 R. Marín 7.2 13 A. Rrahmani 7.0 17 M. Olivera 6.6 11 K. De Bruyne 7.4 21 M. Politano 7.2 8 S. McTominay 7.5 19 R. Højlund 6.9 70 N. Lang 7.3 23 Giovane 6.8

Substitutes

14GC. Ramos6.7 1GA. Nikolov 21DD. Prpić7.5 18DN. Pérez6.9 12DZ. Sanusi6.9 6DC. Smalling6.9 33DSouza6.6 52DM. Fernandes6.5 10MG. Veiga7.1 16MH. In-beom6.8 42MS. Fofana6.6 37MG. Mec6.3 15MV. Sousa 29FS. Giménez7.0 77FO. Pietuszewski7.0 9FS. Aghehowa6.6

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Substitutes

32GV. Milinković-Savić6.8 14GN. Contini 1GC. Pugliese 35DL. Marianucci7.0 31DS. Beukema6.5 6MB. Gilmour7.1 99MF. Anguissa5.5 20FL. Lucca6.5 26FA. Vergara6.4 9FM. Pereyra

Coach: Massimiliano Allegri

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 1 bookmaker

Porto 44%

28%

Napoli 29%

Who winsPorto to win (DNB) 84% · 1.57 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 1.61 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 28% · 2.25 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 59%

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.25 @ Bet365

1X2Porto to win 44% · 2.75 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64%

1X2Napoli to win 29% · 3.60 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52%

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.40 @ Bet365

Odds consensusnext update 21:42 UTC

1X2consensus

2.15

FC Porto

3.40

Draw

3.30

SSC Napoli

Double Chanceconsensus

1.33

FC Porto or Draw

1.30

FC Porto or SSC Napoli

1.67

Draw or SSC Napoli

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.61

Yes

2.20

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

12.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

4.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

2.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.00

Over 3.50

1.40

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.50

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.57

FC Porto

2.25

SSC Napoli

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.75

FC Porto

2.25

Draw

3.60

SSC Napoli

Full odds via API →

Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 87.0% of these turn out right.

FC Porto to avoid defeat

84%

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

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