Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Aston Villa host Fenerbahçe in a heavyweight Champions League clash**, and Villa have the edge at home with serious European pedigree on show. 🏟️ Both teams are rolling — Villa won their last two continental tests, while Fener haven't dropped a game in their last five.
Villa's injury list is gnarly but they've still got the firepower. Fenerbahçe's attack, anchored by **R. Lukaku** and **M. Greenwood**, will test a Villa defence without key bodies.
Key storylines:
- **T. Abraham** leads Villa's charge upfront with strong recent form; can he find space against **M. Škriniar** and **N. Aké**?
- **N. Kanté** and **M. Guendouzi** anchor Fenerbahçe's midfield — Villa's **J. McGinn** and **B. Kamara** must control the tempo
- Villa unbeaten at home in Europe this season; Fener's *only* losses have come away from Turkey 🔴
Expected lineups:
- **Aston Villa**: Z. Suzuki, V. Lindelöf, T. Harwood-Bellis, T. Mings, T. Abraham, J. McGinn, B. Kamara
- **Fenerbahçe**: Ederson, M. Škriniar, N. Aké, N. Semedo, R. Lukaku, N. Kanté, M. Guendouzi
Prediction:
**Aston Villa 2-1 Fenerbahçe**
Villa slight favorites — home advantage and their recent European run tip the scales, but Fener will make them work for it.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.