Real Betis 3-2 FC Porto: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 14, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Real Betis 3-2 FC Porto.

90+5'

S. Giménez

Attempt missed. S. Giménez (FC Porto), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

90+4'

S. Giménez

Attempt saved. S. Giménez (FC Porto), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

90+3'

FC Porto

Corner, FC Porto.

90+3'

S. Giménez

Attempt saved. S. Giménez (FC Porto), header from a set piece. xG 0.10.

90+3'

Á. Ortiz

Yellow card for Á. Ortiz (Real Betis) for foul.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

P. Rosario

Attempt saved. P. Rosario (FC Porto), header from a throw-in. xG 0.01.

90'

Antony

Substitution, Real Betis: R. Riquelme comes on for Antony.

89'

A. Costa

Attempt blocked. A. Costa (FC Porto), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

87'

Real Betis

Corner, Real Betis.

87'

Isco

Substitution, Real Betis: F. Bernal comes on for Isco.

87'

M. Roca

Substitution, Real Betis: P. Fornals comes on for M. Roca.

86'

S. Giménez

Yellow card for S. Giménez (FC Porto) for foul.

85'

Pepê

Substitution, FC Porto: S. Giménez comes on for Pepê.

84'

Isco

Goal! Real Betis 3-2 FC Porto. Isco (Real Betis) converts the penalty.

82'

Á. Ortiz

VAR: no penalty for Real Betis.

77'

D. Ceballos

Yellow card for D. Ceballos (Real Betis) for argument.

74'

C. Hernández

Goal! Real Betis 2-2 FC Porto. C. Hernández (Real Betis) scores, assisted by Antony.

73'

A. Varela

Yellow card for A. Varela (FC Porto) for foul.

71'

G. Veiga

Substitution, FC Porto: H. In-beom comes on for G. Veiga.

69'

G. Veiga

Attempt missed. G. Veiga (FC Porto), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

68'

A. Varela

Attempt missed. A. Varela (FC Porto), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.

66'

Real Betis

Corner, Real Betis.

63'

FC Porto

Corner, FC Porto.

62'

N. Deossa

Substitution, Real Betis: D. Ceballos comes on for N. Deossa.

62'

T. Parrott

Substitution, Real Betis: C. Hernández comes on for T. Parrott.

61'

S. Aghehowa

Goal! Real Betis 1-2 FC Porto. S. Aghehowa (FC Porto) scores, assisted by Pepê.

59'

B. Sainz

Substitution, FC Porto: O. Pietuszewski comes on for B. Sainz.

59'

A. Silva

Substitution, FC Porto: S. Aghehowa comes on for A. Silva.

59'

M. Fernandes

Substitution, FC Porto: A. Costa comes on for M. Fernandes.

56'

N. Deossa

Yellow card for N. Deossa (Real Betis) for argument.

56'

A. Ezzalzouli

Yellow card for A. Ezzalzouli (Real Betis) for argument.

56'

A. Silva

Yellow card for A. Silva (FC Porto) for argument.

54'

G. Veiga

Goal! Real Betis 1-1 FC Porto. G. Veiga (FC Porto) scores.

50'

Antony

Off the woodwork! Antony (Real Betis), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

47'

A. Ezzalzouli

Goal! Real Betis 1-0 FC Porto. A. Ezzalzouli (Real Betis) scores, assisted by F. Garcia.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Real Betis 0-0 FC Porto.

45+2'

Antony

Attempt blocked. Antony (Real Betis), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

45'

Isco

Attempt blocked. Isco (Real Betis), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

45'

Real Betis

Corner, Real Betis.

42'

B. Sainz

VAR check complete: the goal for FC Porto stands.

42'

F. Farioli

Yellow card for F. Farioli (FC Porto) for argument.

34'

M. Roca

Attempt saved. M. Roca (Real Betis), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

31'

F. Garcia

Attempt saved. F. Garcia (Real Betis), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

28'

Antony

Attempt missed. Antony (Real Betis), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

27'

N. Deossa

Attempt missed. N. Deossa (Real Betis), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

24'

A. Ezzalzouli

Attempt missed. A. Ezzalzouli (Real Betis), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

21'

A. Ezzalzouli

Attempt missed. A. Ezzalzouli (Real Betis), header from a corner. xG 0.19.

21'

Real Betis

Corner, Real Betis.

15'

Á. Ortiz

Attempt saved. Á. Ortiz (Real Betis), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

10'

Real Betis

Corner, Real Betis.

9'

A. Silva

Off the woodwork! A. Silva (FC Porto), header. xG 0.22.

9'

Antony

Attempt missed. Antony (Real Betis), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

6'

G. Veiga

Attempt blocked. G. Veiga (FC Porto), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

5'

A. Ezzalzouli

Attempt missed. A. Ezzalzouli (Real Betis), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

3'

M. Roca

Attempt missed. M. Roca (Real Betis), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

2'

A. Ezzalzouli

Attempt saved. A. Ezzalzouli (Real Betis), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

2'

Real Betis

Corner, Real Betis.

1'

Kick-off: Real Betis vs FC Porto.

Where the money is

1962615 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1421147 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

63.1%

-35.9 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

21.4%

+21.3 vs price

Draw 160.0 · implied 0.6%

15.6%

+15.0 vs price

Half time 1891 EUR · live

Home 3.45 · implied 29.0%

35.7%

+6.7 vs price

Away 5.5 · implied 18.2%

33.5%

+15.4 vs price

Draw 1.84 · implied 54.3%

30.8%

-23.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 101797 EUR · live

Over 1.48 · implied 67.6%

55.2%

-12.3 vs price

Under 3.15 · implied 31.7%

44.8%

+13.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 5613 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

92.2%

-4.0 vs price

Over 30.0 · implied 3.3%

7.8%

+4.5 vs price

19 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

42' VAR Goal not given after review · B. Sainz

42' F. Farioli · Argument

Half-time · 0–0

47' ⚽ A. Ezzalzouli · assist F. Garcia1–0

54' ⚽ G. Veiga1–1

56' A. Ezzalzouli · Argument

56' N. Deossa · Argument

56' A. Silva · Argument

59' 🔁 A. Costa ◂ M. Fernandes

59' 🔁 S. Aghehowa ◂ A. Silva

59' 🔁 O. Pietuszewski ◂ B. Sainz

61' ⚽ S. Aghehowa · assist Pepê1–2

62' 🔁 C. Hernández ◂ T. Parrott

62' 🔁 D. Ceballos ◂ N. Deossa

71' 🔁 H. In-beom ◂ G. Veiga

73' A. Varela · Foul

74' ⚽ C. Hernández · assist Antony2–2

77' D. Ceballos · Argument

82' VAR Penalty check · Á. Ortiz

84' ⚽ Isco (pen)3–2

85' 🔁 S. Giménez ◂ Pepê

86' S. Giménez · Foul

87' 🔁 P. Fornals ◂ M. Roca

87' 🔁 F. Bernal ◂ Isco

Full-time · 3–2

90' 🔁 R. Riquelme ◂ Antony

90'⁺³ Á. Ortiz · Foul

Coaches

Manuel Pellegrini

Francesco Farioli

Recent form

Real Betis

WHOsasuna5-2

DADeportivo de A Coruña1-1

WHGetafe1-0

WAVillarreal2-1

WALille3-2

FC Porto

WACS Marítimo2-1

WADeportivo de A Coruña3-1

WHBenfica3-1

WACasa Pia4-1

LHManchester City0-2

About this match

**Betis are rolling like a drum machine, and Porto just knocked Benfica off.** This is a proper Champions League scrap between two sides hitting form at exactly the right moment. 🔥

Betis have won four of their last five with a thundering 5-2 dismantling of Osasuna, while Porto's equally sharp — they put three past both A Coruña and Benfica recently. The Spanish hosts have home advantage and momentum, but the Portuguese visitors are hardly frightened.

Key storylines:

- **T. Parrott** and **I. Losada** lead the Betis attack and will need to find space against Porto's disciplined backline anchored by **J. Bednarek**.
- **Pepê** and **W. Gomes** provide the creative spark for Porto's dangerous front three; they've been clinical in the group stage so far.
- Betis missing **J. Firpo** and **M. Bartra** in defense, which opens gaps on the flank for Porto's wing play.

Expected lineups:

- **Real Betis**: Á. Valles, Natan, H. Bellerín, F. Garcia, V. Gómez, Antony, P. Fornals, C. Hernández, M. Roca, T. Parrott, I. Losada
- **FC Porto**: D. Costa, Z. Sanusi, J. Kiwior, N. Pérez, J. Bednarek, G. Veiga, V. Froholdt, P. Rosario, Pepê, A. Silva, W. Gomes

Prediction:

**Betis 2-1 Porto.** Home form and firepower edge it, but expect a proper contest. ⚪

Where to watch

M+ Liga de Campeones 2

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio de la Cartuja

City

Seville

Referee

Clement Turpin

3.61 yellows/match · 56 matches

Kickoff

14 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Competition

Champions League

Highlights & clips

Real Betis 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3 FC Porto

1 Á. Valles 6.3 12 Á. Ortiz 6.9 5 M. Bartra 7.4 4 Natan 5.9 11 F. Garcia 7.1 25 D. Ceballos 7.1 ↑ 62' 6 F. Bernal 6.5 ↑ 87' 17 R. Riquelme ↑ 90' 8 P. Fornals 6.2 ↑ 87' 10 A. Ezzalzouli 8.4 9 C. Hernández 7.8 ↑ 62' 99 D. Costa 6.0 20 A. Costa 5.9 ↑ 59' 13 P. Rosario 6.1 4 J. Kiwior 6.3 74 F. Moura 5.6 8 V. Froholdt 6.7 22 A. Varela 6.6 16 H. In-beom 6.8 ↑ 71' 9 S. Aghehowa 7.4 ↑ 59' 77 O. Pietuszewski 6.8 ↑ 59' 29 S. Giménez 7.0 ↑ 85'

Substitutes

13GD. Conde 2DH. Bellerín 3DD. Llorente 16DV. Gómez 22MIsco↓ 87'7.4 7MAntony↓ 90'6.8 18MN. Deossa↓ 62'6.5 21MM. Roca↓ 87'6.5 15MÁ. Fidalgo 20MG. Lo Celso 27MJ. Morante 19FT. Parrott↓ 62'6.6

Coach: Manuel Pellegrini

Substitutes

14GC. Ramos 52DM. Fernandes↓ 59'6.6 12DZ. Sanusi 18DN. Pérez 33DSouza 64DL. Gomes 10MG. Veiga↓ 71'7.5 42MS. Fofana 92MJ. Teixeira 11FPepê↓ 85'7.0 19FA. Silva↓ 59'6.6 17FB. Sainz↓ 59'6.4

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Top stats

56%Possession44%

1.68Expected goals (xG)0.97

17Total shots11

7Shots on target5

2Big chances3

5Corners1

Shots

8Shots off target4

2Blocked shots2

12Shots inside box10

5Shots outside box1

1Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed2

-0.47Goals prevented-0.92

Attack

29Touches in box22

51Final third entries49

14Free kicks14

4Fouled in final third2

Passing

502Passes391

438Accurate passes319

20/44 (45%)Long balls9/25 (36%)

3/16 (19%)Crosses4/13 (31%)

9Throw-ins16

Duels

53Duels47

40/77 (52%)Ground duels37/77 (48%)

14/25 (56%)Aerial duels11/25 (44%)

10/19 (53%)Dribbles5/15 (33%)

9Dispossessed7

Defending

17Tackles18

53Tackles won56

10Interceptions12

20Clearances19

54Recoveries50

Discipline

14Fouls15

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

1Big saves2

4Goal kicks7

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Real Betis 46%

26%

Porto 28%

Who winsPorto to win (DNB) 60% · 2.50 @ Unibet

BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.80 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.91 @ 1xBet

1X2Real Betis to win 46% · 2.45 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 26% · 2.68 @ 1xBet

1X2Porto to win 28% · 3.50 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.80 @ betfair

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.05

Real Betis

3.70

Draw

3.40

FC Porto

Double Chanceconsensus

1.30

Real Betis or Draw

1.27

Real Betis or FC Porto

1.74

Draw or FC Porto

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.57

Yes

2.30

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.18

Over 1.50

4.37

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.69

Over 2.50

2.20

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.63

Over 3.50

1.44

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.00

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.52

Real Betis

2.37

FC Porto

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.31

Over 7.50

3.06

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.59

Over 8.50

2.19

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.98

Over 9.50

1.72

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.55

Over 10.50

1.45

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.23

Over 11.50

1.25

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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