Attempt missed. O. Pietuszewski (FC Porto), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.
1'
Kick-off: FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven.
Where the money is
113491 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 4 days ago
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it
should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds106897 EUR
Home
1.61 · implied 62.1%
86.0%
+23.9 vs price
Away
6.0 · implied 16.7%
9.2%
-7.5 vs price
Draw
4.8 · implied 20.8%
4.9%
-16.0 vs price
Half time138 EUR
Draw
2.72 · implied 36.8%
98.1%
+61.4 vs price
Away
5.6 · implied 17.9%
1.5%
-16.4 vs price
Home
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals1558 EUR
Under
2.82 · implied 35.5%
69.8%
+34.3 vs price
Over
1.55 · implied 64.5%
32.2%
-32.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals75 EUR
Under
1.22 · implied 82.0%
99.8%
+17.8 vs price
Over
0.0%
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shape
Shot map
xG sized
GoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
GoalOn targetOff targetBlocked● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
39'L. Geertruida· Foul
Half-time · 0–0
57'⚽G. Til· assist S. Mijnans0–1
58'🔁H. In-beom◂ G. Veiga
58'🔁B. Sainz◂ O. Pietuszewski
58'🔁A. Silva◂ S. Aghehowa
69'🔁Souza◂ Z. Sanusi
74'🔁A. Obispo◂ Y. Gasiorowski
75'M. Júnior· Time wasting
76'🔁S. Fofana◂ V. Froholdt
81'🔁D. Man◂ E. Bajraktarević
81'🔁N. Fernandez◂ M. Júnior
88'🔁R. Flamingo◂ F. Kostić
88'🔁A. Bouhamdi◂ I. Perišić
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Francesco Farioli
Peter Bosz
Recent form
FC Porto
LAReal Betis2-3
WACS Marítimo2-1
WADeportivo de A Coruña3-1
WHBenfica3-1
WACasa Pia4-1
PSV Eindhoven
LAADO Den Haag1-2
LARB Leipzig0-1
WHSC Heerenveen2-0
LAFC Twente2-3
WHSparta Rotterdam4-1
About this match
**Porto's rolling hot and PSV's in freefall** — the home side sits pretty at the Dragão while the Dutch visitors are leaking goals and confidence. 🔥
Porto's been rolling (4W in last 5), though that Real Betis loss shows they can slip. PSV, meanwhile, are spiraling with three losses in their last five, including a shocker to Leipzig. This feels like a mismatch.
Key storylines:
- **Porto's firepower vs PSV's injury crisis**: The hosts have Pepê, **B. Sainz**, and **A. Silva** firing on all cylinders while PSV are without **A. Pléa** (their creative spark) and **J. Schouten** (midfield anchor).
- **Home advantage in Champions League**: **Estádio do Dragão** is notoriously hostile; PSV will need steady heads they frankly don't have right now.
- **PSV's fragile defense under pressure**: Conceding at Leipzig and Den Haag shows **S. Dest** and Co. are vulnerable to Porto's pace.
Expected lineups:
- **FC Porto**: D. Costa, F. Moura, J. Kiwior, J. Bednarek, A. Costa, V. Froholdt, P. Rosario, G. Veiga, B. Sainz, A. Silva, Pepê
- **PSV Eindhoven**: M. Kovář, S. Dest, A. Obispo, M. Júnior, L. Geertruida, K. Sano, G. Til, R. van Bommel, I. Perišić, E. Bajraktarević, M. B. Hansen
Prediction:
**Porto 2–0 PSV**. The hosts have the edge in form, fitness, and familiarity with European nights. 👑
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