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Iñigo Pérez
injured
injured
injured
injured
injured
injured
injured
injured
Villarreal
Paris Saint-Germain
Villarreal
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Paris Saint-Germain
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
11013 EUR
Away
1.66 · implied 60.2%
95.0%
+34.8 vs price
Home
5.2 · implied 19.2%
3.2%
-16.0 vs price
Draw
4.7 · implied 21.3%
1.9%
-19.4 vs price
3 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Coaches
Iñigo PérezLuis Enrique 
Injuries & suspensions
Villarreal
C. Romero
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-03
I. Akhomach
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-20
N. Saliba
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-20
T. Buchanan
Hamstring Injury · back 2026-11-10
Paris Saint-Germain
K. Kvaratskhelia
Cruciate Ligament Injury
Marquinhos
Thigh Injury · back 2026-11-17
N. Mendes
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-14
O. Dembélé
Thigh Injury · back 2026-11-17
Recent form
VillarrealWACD Manacor5-0
WAValencia2-1
LALiverpool FC3-4
DHElche0-0
WHSSC Napoli3-1
Paris Saint-GermainWALe Havre5-1
WHOlympique Lyonnais2-0
WHFC Barcelona4-2
WARC Strasbourg3-1
WAManchester City4-2
Where to watch
M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Paramount+
HBO Max
DAZN
TV2 PlayTV3 MAXViaplay
M+ Liga de Campeones 3Movistar Plus+ (streaming)
MTV Katsomo
Canal+ Foot
HBO Max (UK)TNT Sports 4
Viaplay
TNT Sports 4
TV2 Play
V Sport ExtraViaplay
DAZN USParamount+
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio de la Ceramica
City
Villarreal
Kickoff
03 Nov, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Champions League
🔮 AI-predicted lineup · 72% confidence — confirmed XI drops ~1h before kickoff
Villarreal
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Paris Saint-Germain
1
L. Júnior
7.3
23
S. Cardona
7.1
12
R. Veiga
7.1
6
P. Navarro
6.7
3
A. Freeman
7.0
10
A. Moleiro
6.9
18
P. Gueye
7.1
14
S. Comesaña
6.8
19
N. Pépé
7.2
22
A. Pérez
6.7
9
G. Mikautadze
7.0
39
M. Safonov
7.4
2
A. Hakimi
7.2
51
W. Pacho
7.1
6
I. Zabarnyi
7.2
21
L. Hernández
7.1
11
M. Akliouche
7.1
17
Vitinha
7.7
33
W. Zaïre-Emery
6.6
9
F. Torres
7.2
14
D. Doué
7.9
22
M. Godts
7.2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 13 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 70% · 2.90 @ William Hill
1X2PSG to win 59% · 1.91 @ William Hill
Who winsPSG to win (DNB) 56%
BTTSBoth teams to score 65% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.57 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.36 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.58 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.03 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 21% · 3.15 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 50% · 1.96 @ 1xBet
1X2Villarreal to win 21% · 4.35 @ 1xBet
Odds consensusnext update 01:35 UTC
1X2consensus
4.60
Villarreal
4.40
Draw
1.61
Paris Saint-Germain
Double Chanceconsensus
2.20
Villarreal or Draw
1.17
Villarreal or Paris Saint-Germain
1.20
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.40
Yes
2.75
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
11.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.70
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
11.60
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.08
Over 1.50
6.92
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.36
Over 2.50
3.01
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.97
Over 3.50
1.88
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.04
Over 4.50
1.36
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50
2.80
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.67
Over 9.50
2.03
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.17
Over 10.50
1.58
Under 10.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
4.50
Villarreal
2.63
Draw
2.05
Paris Saint-Germain
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
4.33
Villarreal
3.00
Draw
1.85
Paris Saint-Germain
Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus
3.25
Yes
1.33
No
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 87.0% of these turn out right.
Over 1.5 goals
86%
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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