AEK Athens vs Real Madrid Prediction & Odds – Nov 4, 2026

Where the money is

1723 EUR matched · captured 4 hours, 59 minutes ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1521 EUR

Away 1.32 · implied 75.8%

89.8%

+14.0 vs price

Draw 6.6 · implied 15.2%

9.4%

-5.8 vs price

Home 9.8 · implied 10.2%

0.8%

-9.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 5 EUR

Under 3.65 · implied 27.4%

100.0%

+72.6 vs price

3 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Coaches

Marko Nikolić

José Mourinho

Injuries & suspensions

Real Madrid

F. Valverde

Hamstring Injury · back 2026-11-10

injured

R. Asencio

Leg Injury · back 2027-01-10

injured

Rodrygo

Cruciate Ligament Injury · back 2026-12-31

injured

Recent form

AEK Athens

WHGFS Panetolikos5-0

LAManchester City1-5

LAShakhtar Donetsk1-3

WHOFI Crete3-0

WANPS Volos2-1

Real Madrid

WAFC Barcelona2-1

WHRB Leipzig4-1

WHSevilla4-1

WAAS Roma4-3

WHVillarreal1-0

Where to watch

Disney+ (AR)ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Allwyn Arena

City

Athens

Kickoff

04 Nov, 17:45 UTC

Competition

Champions League

🔮 AI-predicted lineup · 88% confidence — confirmed XI drops ~1h before kickoff

AEK Athens 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1 Real Madrid

91 A. Brignoli 7.1 3 S. Pilios 7.1 44 F. Relvas 7.4 2 H. Moukoudi 7.0 12 L. Rota 7.0 14 L. Majer 7.4 18 R. Marin 7.4 27 M. Vitális 6.2 11 A. Koita 7.1 9 L. Jović 7.0 19 B. Varga 7.4 1 T. Courtois 7.2 17 M. Cucurella 5.9 16 I. Konaté 6.9 4 D. Huijsen 7.1 12 T. Alexander-Arnold 5.5 15 A. Güler 7.6 14 A. Tchouaméni 6.9 7 Vinícius Jr. 6.8 5 J. Bellingham 7.2 25 Y. Diomande 7.4 10 K. Mbappé 7.8

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 1 bookmaker

AEK 13%

15%

Real Madrid 72%

1X2Real Madrid to win 72% · 1.67 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Bet365

Who winsAEK to win (DNB) 72% · 6.50 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.10 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 52%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 64%

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.61 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59%

1X2Draw 15% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 51% · 1.91 @ Bet365

1X2AEK to win 13% · 7.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensusnext update 21:47 UTC

1X2consensus

7.50

AEK Athens

6.25

Draw

1.30

Real Madrid

Double Chanceconsensus

3.40

AEK Athens or Draw

1.12

AEK Athens or Real Madrid

1.10

Draw or Real Madrid

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.61

Yes

2.20

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

29.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.10

Over 1.50

7.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.33

Over 2.50

3.40

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.91

Over 3.50

1.91

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.00

Over 4.50

1.40

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

6.50

AEK Athens

1.11

Real Madrid

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

7.00

AEK Athens

3.00

Draw

1.67

Real Madrid

Full odds via API →

Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 87.0% of these turn out right.

Real Madrid to win or draw

87%

Over 1.5 goals

86%

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

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